Riverboat Gambling Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to James McMillan 152-162, playoff odds down 0.7 to 2.9%
8 points 4-7-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +1.1 | -0.2 | ||||
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | -1.1 | *No | -0.1 | |||
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | -0.8 | |||||
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | +0.1 | |||||
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | Out-2.9+9.3 | -0.5+0.3+1.6 | ||||
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | +0.5-0.8-0.9 | |||||
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | +0.1+0.2-0.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +0.5+0.2-0.0 | -0.1-0.2+0.0 | ||||
| Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | +0.0-0.3-0.4 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Brent Golem finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Top | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | ||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 51.1 | % | No | 2 | 15 | 33 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2,691,271 | |||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 3 | 42 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 225,099 | |||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 48 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 17,003,303 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 46 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 4,700 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | No | 5 | 34 | 46 | 15 | 714,916 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | No | 50 | 50 | 26,927,303 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 2.9 | % | No | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 32 | 29 | 47,566,592 | |||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +0.2 | |
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | +0.1 | |
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | +0.1 | |
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | +0.5-0.3-1.6 | |
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | -0.0+0.3+0.4 | |
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +0.1+0.2-0.0 | |
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 48 | 41 | 9 | 1 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 46 | 43 | 9 | 1 | |||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 5 | 34 | 46 | 15 | |||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 50 | 50 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 32 | 29 | |||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
