Agholorious Bastards (Josh Clarke) Send Email Joined Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Scott Sleightholm 169-87, playoff odds up 40.9 to 72%
10 points 5-6-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | +20.5 | +0.9 | ||||
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +3.2 | -0.0 | ||||
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +1.4 | +0.1 | ||||
| Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | -1.2 | |||||
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | +0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | -54.9-40.1+4.4 | NoNo+0.0 | -2.7-1.3+0.2 | |||
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | +6.0-11.3-11.4 | NoNo+0.5 | +0.1-0.4-0.1 | |||
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | -2.6-2.5+10.8 | -0.0-0.0+0.2 | ||||
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | +0.6+0.7-2.0 | NoNo+0.8 | ||||
| Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | +1.1-0.6-1.3 | |||||
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | +0.1*+0.0-1.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Agholorious Bas finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Top | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | ||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.6 | % | 0.8 | % | 1 | 17 | 63 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 15,869,314 | ||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 85.5 | No | 10 | 35 | 40 | 14 | 0 | 611,091 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 62.3 | No | 2 | 18 | 42 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28,751,366 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 53.0 | No | 1 | 13 | 40 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 4,622 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.6 | No | 1 | 33 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 330,298 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | No | 8 | 51 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1,999,901 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 72.0 | % | 0.3 | % | 0 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 47,566,592 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | -0.9 | |
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | -0.1 | |
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +0.0 | |
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +2.7+1.3-0.2 | |
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | -0.1+0.4+0.1 | |
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | +0.0+0.0-0.2 | |
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 14 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 17 | 63 | 15 | 3 | 0 | |||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 14 | 0 | ||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 38 | 9 | 0 | ||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 33 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 0 | |||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 7 | 0 | ||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
