Haiti Playoff Chances 2012

Beat ERI 4-3, Lost to ERI 4-6, playoff odds up 0.1 to 99.99%

22 points 11 9-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
ERI 6 HAI 4	-0.1		-0.4
ERI 3 HAI 4	+0.1		+0.6
NZ 9 LCH 7	-0.1
NZ 7 LCH 3	-0.1
SCO 3 EQ 0	-0.0		+0.1
SCO 5 EQ 2	-0.0		+0.1
IRE 2 T&T 4	-0.0
IRE 5 T&T 6	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
ERI vs VC			-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.1
ERI vs VC			-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.1
SCO vs LCH			+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0
SCO vs LCH			+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0

Chances based on how well the HAI finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

26	2	0		-	0	In			0	0	40	56	4	0						3,078,151
25	1	0		-	1	In				0	22	67	11	0						1,007,908
24	1	1		-	0	In				0	3	55	38	4	0					3,127,039
	0	0		-	2	In					3	54	39	4	0					82,680
23	0	1		-	1	100.0	%				1	33	50	16	1	0				513,381
22	0	2		-	0	99.9						13	44	35	8	0				797,813

Total:						100.0	%		0	0	18	52	24	6	1	0				8,606,972

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
ERI 3 HAI 4	-0.6
ERI 6 HAI 4	+0.4
SCO 3 EQ 0	-0.1
SCO 5 EQ 2	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
ERI vs VC	+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.1
ERI vs VC	+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.1
SCO vs LCH	-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0
SCO vs LCH	-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

26	2	0		-	0		0	0	40	56	4	0
25	1	0		-	1			0	22	67	11	0
24	1	1		-	0			0	3	55	38	4	0
	0	0		-	2				3	54	39	4	0
23	0	1		-	1				1	33	50	16	1	0
22	0	2		-	0					13	44	35	8	0

Total:							0	0	18	52	24	6	1	0