TheStationaryPebbles Playoff Chances 2016
Beat Pence 8-4, playoff odds up 1.1 to 25.8%
69 points 8-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ragzy 9 Oob 1 | -0.1 | |||
| Pence 4 Pebbles 8 | *+0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nimp vs Pence | -0.2+0.3 | |||
| Stargazer vs Ragzy | +0.2-0.1 | |||
| Oob vs Pebbles | -0.1+0.0 | -0.1+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Pebbles finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | |||
| 0 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 26.2 | % | 26 | 29 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3,727,781 | ||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 25.8 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3,649,006 | ||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 26.4 | 26 | 31 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2,688,425 | ||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 25.3 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2,585,024 | ||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 24.9 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1,335,847 | ||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 26.5 | 26 | 33 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1,295,320 | ||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 24.7 | 25 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 500,740 | ||||
| 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 26.4 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 375,698 | ||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 24.2 | 24 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 131,548 | ||||
| 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 26.8 | 27 | 37 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 52,821 | ||||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 24.4 | 24 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 23,258 | ||||
| 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 3,508 | ||||
| 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 23.7 | 24 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 2,456 | ||||
| Total: | 25.8 | % | 26 | 27 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 16,371,432 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Pence 4 Pebbles 8 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Oob vs Pebbles | +0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 0 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 10 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 9 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 7 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | ||
| 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 | ||
| 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | ||
| Total: | 11 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
