Incredibly Average Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Lost to Imperialists 3-7, playoff odds down 1.6 to 15.1%
59 points 5-4-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Imperialists 7 Average 3 | -4.6 | -0.3 | ||
| Hard Times 7 Killer B’s 3 | +0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Average vs Belong | +4.5-4.5 | +0.3-0.3 | ||
| Hard Times vs Imperialists | +0.8-0.8 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Average finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | |||
| 0 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 10.7 | % | 11 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 1,302,493 | ||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 19.6 | 20 | 25 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1,117,820 | ||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 5.2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 1,116,388 | ||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 2.2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 28 | 28 | 698,886 | ||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 31.8 | 32 | 29 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 697,028 | ||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 41 | 311,069 | ||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 46.5 | 46 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 310,288 | ||||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 56 | 92,873 | ||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 61.3 | 61 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 92,813 | ||||
| 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 69 | 17,004 | ||||
| 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 74.6 | 75 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16,913 | ||||
| 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 91.7 | 92 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,603 | ||||
| 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 91 | 2,550 | |||||
| Total: | 15.1 | % | 15 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 5,778,728 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Imperialists 7 Average 3 | +0.5 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Average vs Belong | -0.6+0.6 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 0 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 3 | |
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 7 | ||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | ||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 25 | ||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 26 | 20 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 39 | ||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 41 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 55 | ||
| 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 56 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 84 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 85 | ||||||
| Total: | 7 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 6 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
