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Incredibly Average Playoff Chances 2016
Lost to Imperialists 3-7, playoff odds down 0.7 to 14%
59 points 5-4-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hard Times 7 Killer B’s 3 | -0.1 | |||
| Imperialists 7 Average 3 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Killer B’s vs Jesus | +0.2-0.1 | |||
| Hard Times vs Imperialists | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Average vs Belong | +0.1-0.0 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Average finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | |||
| 0 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 13.6 | % | 14 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 3,745,755 | ||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 13.6 | 14 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 3,210,095 | ||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 13.9 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 3,178,461 | ||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 13.8 | 14 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 1,987,573 | ||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 14.4 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 1,946,008 | ||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 14.2 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 866,780 | ||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 15.1 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 840,508 | ||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 14.7 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 253,026 | ||||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 16.0 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 243,314 | ||||
| 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 15.5 | 16 | 27 | 26 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 44,403 | ||||
| 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 16.7 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 27 | 41,878 | ||||
| 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 29.1 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 6,905 | ||||
| 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 9.0 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 66 | 6,726 | ||||
| Total: | 14.0 | % | 14 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 12 | 16,371,432 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Imperialists 7 Average 3 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Average vs Belong | -0.2+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 0 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | |
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 6 | ||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | ||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | ||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | ||
| 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 16 | ||
| 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 9 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 60 | ||
| Total: | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
