Please Let Me Win Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Lost to Outlaws 5012-7053, playoff odds down 10.6 to 39.4%
2-3-0   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws 7053 Please 5012 -9.0
-0.5
Stockings 3849.5 Farrell 3874 -0.4
King 5109.5 Hamel 5708 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Please vs King+9.5*+0.3-9.5
+0.5*+0.0-0.5
Redlegs vs Stockings-0.9*+0.4+0.9
Farrell vs Outlaws-0.8*+0.0+0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Please finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678Count
1816-0-0In10003,100
17.515-0-1In10034
1715-1-0In9912,004*
16.514-1-1In991599*
1614-2-0In964014,894*
15.513-2-1In9464,350*
1513-3-0In8515069,241
12-2-2In8812576
14.512-3-1In7920018,122*
1412-4-0In613630226,656
11-3-2In6236202,240*
13.511-4-1In50455054,660
10-3-3In49457179
1311-5-0100.0%26541910541,969
10-4-2In28541716,096*
12.510-5-199.914523140120,449
9-4-3In1554274409
1210-6-098.6431471710993,286
9-5-298.84334616112,216*
11.59-6-194.9115473250200,360
8-5-394.7114473250711*
119-7-074.403254623301,418,612
8-6-276.4032647212018,113*
10.58-7-148.0083942100258,077
7-6-346.707394212957
108-8-018.702174531501,594,929
7-7-218.3011746315020,746*
9.57-8-14.0043048171258,424
6-7-34.9143149151986
97-9-00.80113453751,416,453
6-8-20.71124538517,990*
8.56-9-10.003295315200,914
5-8-3Out3295315737
86-10-00.001165429991,939
5-9-2Out115543112,150*
7.55-10-1Out054549120,533
4-9-3Out064945424
75-11-0Out023662540,704
4-10-2Out234646,093*
6.54-11-1Out0217954,847*
64-12-0Out01585225,781
3-11-2Out012872,162*
5.53-12-1Out079318,582*
53-13-0Out049669,763
2-12-2Out397568
4.52-13-1Out2984,269*
42-14-0Out19914,933*
3.51-14-1Out0100558*
31-15-0Out01001,963*
2-2.5Out1003,130*
Total:39.4%591214151717129,547,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs