Hamel Time Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Beat King 5708-5109.5, playoff odds up 10.6 to 60.6%
3-2-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
King 5109.5 Hamel 5708 +9.4
+0.5
Outlaws 7053 Please 5012 +0.6
Stockings 3849.5 Farrell 3874 -0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hamel vs Sexon+9.6*-0.4-9.6
+0.5-0.0-0.5
Farrell vs Outlaws-0.9*-0.1+0.9
Redlegs vs Stockings-0.8*-0.3+0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hamel finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678Count
18.5-19In1003,141*
1815-1-0In10001,984*
17.514-1-1In100598
1714-2-0In99115,188*
16.513-2-1In9914,213*
1613-3-0In955069,694
12-2-2In964584
15.512-3-1In937018,314*
1512-4-0In85150225,070
11-3-2In85152,219*
14.511-4-1In78220055,250
10-3-3In74251149
1411-5-0In613620541,279
10-4-2In6435205,961*
13.510-5-1In484660120,441
9-4-3In45505389
1310-6-0100.0%28551610993,868
9-5-2100.02954161012,054*
12.59-6-199.914533030201,327
8-5-399.915533020721
129-7-099.15364513101,416,979
8-6-299.25374513118,067*
11.58-7-195.8116483040257,713
7-6-396.4118463240959*
118-8-081.305314517201,594,387
7-7-282.1043246171021,029*
10.57-8-152.2010423980257,370
6-7-351.91104138100939*
107-9-025.803234625301,416,012
6-8-224.2022247263018,452*
9.56-9-15.1053247151200,908
5-8-34.0043348151772
96-10-01.4011747314992,729
5-9-21.101154633412,204*
8.55-10-10.103305115120,299
4-9-3Out6314815409
85-11-00.001185328542,550
4-10-2Out11653316,063*
7.54-11-1Out05435254,705
3-10-3Out153956177
74-12-0Out023364226,483
3-11-2Out131672,212*
6.53-12-1Out0178318,388*
63-13-0Out0128869,603
2-12-2Out1090560
5.52-13-1Out4964,190*
52-14-0Out39715,168*
4.51-14-1Out0100605*
41-15-0Out01001,961*
3-3.5Out1003,151*
Total:60.6%121717151412959,547,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs