Farrell Instinct Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Beat Stockings 3874-3849.5, playoff odds up 9 to 39.3%
2-3-0   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stockings 3849.5 Farrell 3874 +7.9
+0.5
Outlaws 7053 Please 5012 +0.5
King 5109.5 Hamel 5708 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Farrell vs Outlaws+8.7*+0.0-8.7
+0.4-0.0-0.4
Redlegs vs Stockings-0.9+0.5+0.9
Please vs King*+0.1+0.5-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Farrell finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678Count
17.5-18In1003,131*
1715-1-0In10001,964*
16.514-1-1In991562
1614-2-0In98214,969*
15.513-2-1In9644,303*
1513-3-0In8812069,320
12-2-2In9010532
14.512-3-1In8317018,333*
1412-4-0In643320225,887
11-3-2In673222,238*
13.511-4-1In52435054,671
10-3-3In444610166
1311-5-0100.0%28531810541,466
10-4-2In30531616,133*
12.510-5-199.915523030119,977
9-4-3In1255294431*
1210-6-098.6432461710994,629
9-5-298.943346151012,034*
11.59-6-194.9115473250200,241
8-5-393.1015473270724
119-7-074.003254623301,418,374
8-6-275.7032647222018,351*
10.58-7-147.5083942100257,587
7-6-343.793545110948*
108-8-018.502174532501,595,117
7-7-218.5021746315020,929*
9.57-8-14.1043049161257,088
6-7-34.142848181995
97-9-00.80113453651,417,531
6-8-20.801124636518,202*
8.56-9-10.003305214200,794
5-8-3Out3335013781
86-10-00.001175428992,679
5-9-2Out115542912,080*
7.55-10-1Out064648119,804
4-9-3Out54648401
75-11-0Out023661541,152
4-10-2Out0236626,020*
6.54-11-1Out00227854,964
3-10-3Out12178138
64-12-0Out01585226,342
3-11-2Out015852,216*
5.53-12-1Out079318,332*
53-13-0Out059569,200
2-12-2Out496534
4.52-13-1Out2984,294*
42-14-0Out19915,159*
3.51-14-1Out0100598
31-15-0Out01002,031*
2-2.5Out1003,136*
Total:39.3%591214151717129,547,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs