Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678Avg.ChangeRPI
Redlegs3-2-0.600342.560.7%+10.7121617161412954.0+0.524Cincinnati Redlegs
Hamel3-2-0.6001552.560.6+10.6121717151412954.0+0.512Hamel Time
Please2-3-0.400-3255.539.4-10.6591214151717125.0-0.535Please Let Me Win
Farrell2-3-0.400-936.539.3+9.0591214151717125.0+0.517Farrell Instinct

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/29
Outlaws 7053 Please 5012
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Redlegs+0.6
Hamel+0.6
Please-9.0
-0.5
Farrell+0.5
King 5109.5 Hamel 5708
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Redlegs-0.2
Hamel+9.4
+0.5
Please-0.2
Farrell-0.2
Sexon 5052.5 Redlegs 5530.5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Redlegs+9.7
+0.5
Stockings 3849.5 Farrell 3874
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Redlegs-0.4
Hamel-0.4
Please-0.4
Farrell+7.9
+0.5
Week of 5/6
Redlegs vs StockingsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Redlegs69.5*60.751.9
3.54.04.4
Hamel59.8*60.361.4
Please38.6*39.840.3
Farrell38.539.940.2
Farrell vs OutlawsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Redlegs59.9*60.661.5
Hamel59.7*60.561.4
Please38.7*39.540.2
Farrell48.0*39.330.6
4.65.05.5
Please vs KingHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Please48.9*39.729.9
4.6*5.05.5
Farrell*39.439.839.3
Hamel vs SexonHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hamel70.2*60.251.0
3.54.04.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.