GYSA BU14 Classic I Title Chances Fall2016

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed															Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

SA / CFA Dalton	47	1	9	-	1	-	0	32	Yes		+0.4	Yes		+0.0	100													1.0		No			1	.893	SA / CFA Dalton 03 Elite
KSA 03 Premier	29	2	5	-	2	-	2	5	No		-0.3	37.7	%	-12.7		38	22	19	13	6	2	0						3.3	-0.20	No			3	.627	KSA 03 Premier

UFA 03B Premier	29	2	5	-	2	-	2	7	No		-0.1	25.4		+13.9		25	35	20	12	6	2	0						3.4	+1.01	No			5	.663	UFA 03B Premier
Atlanta Fire -	31	1	5	-	3	-	2	4	No			29.0		+10.1		29	23	29	14	4	1							3.4	+0.48	No			2	.597	Atlanta Fire - 2003 Elite
Ambush SC B03 Red	21	3	3	-	3	-	2	1	No		-0.0	6.5		-4.8		7	10	16	20	20	21	5	2	0	0	0		5.3	-0.25	0.0	%	-0.1	4	.527	Ambush SC B03 Red
NTH NASA 03 Elite	28	1	4	-	4	-	2	2	No			0.5		-2.4		1	3	10	28	27	30	2	0					5.7	-0.04	No			6	.551	NTH NASA 03 Elite
Con Fir Sou Bl	22	2	4	-	1	-	4	1	No		-0.0	0.8		-4.1		1	6	7	13	30	26	12	5	1	0	0		6.2	-0.88	0.0			7	.518	Con Fir Sou Bl
AFC Lightning 0	20	1	2	-	5	-	3	-8	No			No					0	0	1	6	11	44	20	11	5	1		8.4	+0.23	0.9		-0.5	8	.289	AFC Lightning 03 Gold
Con Fir Cen El	17	1	3	-	1	-	6	-7	No			No		-0.0						1	4	17	29	16	23	11	0	9.7	-0.74	10.9		+5.5	10	.323	Con Fir Cen El
SSA Chelsea 03B	13	2	1	-	4	-	4	-4	No			No		-0.0					0	1	2	13	18	18	24	20	3	10.2	+0.51	23.7		-13.6	11	.387	SSA Chelsea 03B Elite
UFA Norcross Ea	16		2	-	3	-	6	-7	No			No										2	18	37	21	18	3	10.4	+0.11	20.9		-0.5	9	.317	UFA Norcross Eagles 03B Premier

SSA Savannah UT	10	3	2	-	0	-	6	-12	No			No						0	0	0	0	5	7	11	18	34	25	11.4	-0.02	58.3		+3.0	13	.213	SSA Savannah UTD 03B Premier
GSA 03 Premier	7	2	1	-	1	-	7	-14	No			No									0	0	1	5	8	16	69	12.5	-0.20	85.3		+6.2	12	.184	GSA 03 Premier

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 10/29
Con Fir Sou Bl 3 SA / CFA Dalton 6
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SA / CFA Dalton	+0.4		Yes
KSA 03 Premier	-0.2		+1.4
UFA 03B Premier	No
Atlanta Fire -			+0.9
Ambush SC B03 Red	No
Con Fir Sou Bl	No		-3.2				-0.3

UFA 03B Premier 1 AFC Lightning 0 1
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			+5.0
UFA 03B Premier	-0.3		-10.2				-0.5
Ambush SC B03 Red			+2.0
NTH NASA 03 Elite			+2.1
AFC Lightning 0			No		-3.3		+0.3

KSA 03 Premier 1 NTH NASA 03 Elite 1
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier	-0.2		-6.7				-0.1
UFA 03B Premier			+2.2
Atlanta Fire -			+4.3
Ambush SC B03 Red			+1.6
NTH NASA 03 Elite			-2.1				-0.1
Con Fir Sou Bl			+0.6

NTH NASA 03 Elite 0 Atlanta Fire - 2
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			+2.0
UFA 03B Premier			+1.5
Atlanta Fire -			+6.8		No		+1.1
NTH NASA 03 Elite	No		-10.9				-1.0

UFA Norcross Ea 1 Ambush SC B03 Red 1
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			+2.5
UFA 03B Premier			+1.8
Ambush SC B03 Red			-6.0				-0.4
NTH NASA 03 Elite			+1.0
AFC Lightning 0					+0.4
SSA Chelsea 03B					+1.4
UFA Norcross Ea					-3.2		+0.0
SSA Savannah UT					+1.8
GSA 03 Premier					-0.2

Con Fir Cen El 2 UFA 03B Premier 5
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			-2.7
UFA 03B Premier	+0.1		+5.8				+0.6
Atlanta Fire -			-1.6
Con Fir Cen El			No		+2.8		-0.5
SSA Savannah UT					-1.0

SSA Chelsea 03B 2 Ambush SC B03 Red 2
6:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			+2.2
UFA 03B Premier			+1.0
Atlanta Fire -			+1.4
Ambush SC B03 Red	No		-5.1		-0.1		-0.3
Con Fir Cen El					+1.1
SSA Chelsea 03B					-5.0		+0.1
UFA Norcross Ea					+0.9
SSA Savannah UT					+2.0
GSA 03 Premier					+1.2

SSA Savannah UT 1 Con Fir Sou Bl 5
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Con Fir Sou Bl			+0.8				+0.6
Con Fir Cen El					-0.9
SSA Chelsea 03B					-2.6
UFA Norcross Ea					-2.1
SSA Savannah UT			No		+9.0		-0.5
GSA 03 Premier					-2.2

Atlanta Fire - 2 GSA 03 Premier 1
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			-1.5
UFA 03B Premier			-1.3
Atlanta Fire -			+5.0				+0.4
Ambush SC B03 Red			-1.0
Con Fir Sou Bl			-0.7
Con Fir Cen El					-0.5
SSA Chelsea 03B					-1.7
UFA Norcross Ea					-1.4
SSA Savannah UT					-1.1
GSA 03 Premier					+4.7		-0.2

SSA Chelsea 03B 3 GSA 03 Premier 1
10:30 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Chelsea 03B					-16.3		+0.6
UFA Norcross Ea					+0.5
SSA Savannah UT					+0.7
GSA 03 Premier					+14.1		-0.5

AFC Lightning 0 vs Con Fir Sou BlIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Con Fir Sou Bl			No0.01.3		0.0*NoNo		7.66.55.6
AFC Lightning 0					No0.01.4		7.18.28.9

Week of 11/5
Atlanta Fire - vs KSA 03 PremierIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			6.235.066.3				4.23.42.5
UFA 03B Premier			22.337.923.8				3.53.33.4
Atlanta Fire -			65.516.51.3				2.53.54.3

Ambush SC B03 Red vs KSA 03 PremierHomeDrawAway
8:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			16.132.553.6				4.23.42.7
UFA 03B Premier			33.431.018.4				3.43.33.5
Ambush SC B03 Red			18.02.90.1		NoNo0.0		4.15.36.1

Atlanta Fire - vs SSA Savannah UTHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			34.744.445.7				3.43.23.1
UFA 03B Premier			21.334.436.7				3.53.23.1
Atlanta Fire -			37.611.34.1				3.14.04.7
Con Fir Sou Bl			0.41.02.8		No*0.00.0		6.26.26.0
Con Fir Cen El					8.313.522.0		9.69.810.0
SSA Chelsea 03B					20.927.234.9		10.110.310.5
UFA Norcross Ea					18.724.128.9		10.310.510.7
SSA Savannah UT					67.048.323.7		11.711.110.1

KSA 03 Premier vs SSA Chelsea 03BHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			48.228.016.6				2.93.64.2
UFA 03B Premier			19.431.137.6				3.63.33.2
Atlanta Fire -			26.630.834.3				3.53.43.2
SSA Chelsea 03B					32.517.94.6		10.710.19.0
UFA Norcross Ea					18.221.827.4		10.310.410.8
SSA Savannah UT					54.461.766.6		11.311.511.6

UFA 03B Premier vs SSA Savannah UTHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
KSA 03 Premier			34.845.047.4				3.43.23.1
UFA 03B Premier			31.710.33.7				3.14.14.7
Atlanta Fire -			26.634.637.9				3.53.33.1
Con Fir Sou Bl					No0.00.0		6.26.16.1
Con Fir Cen El					8.713.922.2		9.79.810.0
SSA Chelsea 03B					21.327.635.1		10.110.310.5
UFA Norcross Ea					19.024.329.1		10.410.610.8
SSA Savannah UT					65.747.122.9		11.711.110.1

Ambush SC B03 Red vs NTH NASA 03 EliteHomeDrawAway
3:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Ambush SC B03 Red			14.42.80.8		NoNo0.0		4.25.36.3
NTH NASA 03 Elite			0.00.01.2				6.66.04.9

UFA Norcross Ea vs GSA 03 PremierHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Ambush SC B03 Red					0.0No0.0
Con Fir Sou Bl					No*No0.0
AFC Lightning 0					1.5No0.0		8.58.28.3
Con Fir Cen El					14.712.32.3		9.89.69.5
UFA Norcross Ea					0.613.467.1		9.710.711.7
SSA Savannah UT					61.258.952.0		11.511.311.3
GSA 03 Premier					97.591.756.3		12.812.611.7

GSA 03 Premier vs SSA Savannah UTHomeDrawAway
2:20 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Con Fir Sou Bl					0.0*NoNo
Con Fir Cen El					6.27.915.9		9.69.69.8
SSA Chelsea 03B					18.320.329.5		10.110.110.3
UFA Norcross Ea					23.914.520.6		10.410.310.5
SSA Savannah UT					84.063.535.2		12.311.510.6
GSA 03 Premier					67.393.297.4		11.812.712.9

AFC Lightning 0 vs SSA Savannah UTHomeDrawAway
12:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Con Fir Sou Bl					No*0.00.0		6.36.16.1
AFC Lightning 0					No0.02.6		7.78.49.4
Con Fir Cen El					5.410.419.4		9.89.69.7
SSA Chelsea 03B					17.824.432.4
UFA Norcross Ea					16.122.527.3		10.410.610.4
SSA Savannah UT					77.057.830.6		12.011.510.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you CT for adding this league.