GYSA BU14 Classic I Playoff Chances Fall2013

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Promoted			Chance will finish regular season at seed																Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg.	Change	%	Change	RPI	Strength

United FA 00 El	62		12	-	1	-	0	44	In			Yes			100														1.0		No		1	.940	United FA 00 Elite
Storm SA 99 Boy	57		11	-	1	-	1	19	In		+5.4	Yes		+5.4		100													2.0	+0.05	No		2	.818	Storm SA 99 Boys Black


GSA 00 Premier	49		9	-	2	-	2	17	Out		-5.4	No		-5.4			100												3.0	-0.05	No		3	.802	GSA 00 Premier
Ambush B00 Red	44		8	-	2	-	3	14	Out			No						100											4.0		No		4	.766	Ambush B00 Red
GSA 01 Premier	39		7	-	2	-	4	1	Out			No							100										5.0		No		5	.519	GSA 01 Premier
NASA B18 Elite	34		6	-	2	-	5	0	Out			No								100									6.0		No		6	.498	NASA B18 Elite
Con Fir Eli	28		4	-	4	-	5	1	Out			No									100								7.0		No		7	.523	Con Fir Eli
Alianza Elite	26		4	-	3	-	6	8	Out			No										100							8.0	+0.30	No		8	.650	Alianza Elite
SSA Chelsea 00B	22		4	-	1	-	8	-24	Out			No											100						9.0	-0.09	No		10	.134	SSA Chelsea 00B Elite
00 Norcross Fur	21		3	-	3	-	7	-12	Out			No												100					10.0	-0.21	No		9	.254	00 Norcross Fury Premier
SSA Savannah Un	18		2	-	4	-	7	-27	Out			No													100				11.0		No		12	.094	SSA Savannah United Premier 99/00
CSA Impact Gold	16		2	-	3	-	8	-6	Out			No														100			12.0		No		11	.379	CSA Impact Gold

Georgia FC 00 B	14		2	-	2	-	9	-17	Out			No															100		13.0		Yes		13	.186	Georgia FC 00 Boys Elite
Con Fir Bla	9		1	-	2	-	10	-18	Out			No																100	14.0		Yes		14	.153	Con Fir Bla

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 11/2
United FA 00 El 4 Storm SA 99 Boy 0
1:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
United FA 00 El	+8.8		+8.8				+0.5
Storm SA 99 Boy	-1.3		-1.3				-0.4
GSA 00 Premier	-7.1		-7.1
Ambush B00 Red	-0.4		-0.4

Ambush B00 Red 2 GSA 00 Premier 4
7:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
United FA 00 El	-2.3		-2.3
Storm SA 99 Boy	-3.2		-3.2
GSA 00 Premier	+5.6		+5.6				+0.3
Ambush B00 Red	Out		No				-0.4

00 Norcross Fur 1 United FA 00 El 4
2:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
United FA 00 El	+3.3		+3.3
GSA 00 Premier	-3.0		-3.0
Ambush B00 Red	-0.2		-0.2
GSA 01 Premier					*No
NASA B18 Elite	Out		No
SSA Chelsea 00B					-0.2
00 Norcross Fur					+0.5		-0.2
Georgia FC 00 B					-0.2

Alianza Elite 1 Ambush B00 Red 3
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
United FA 00 El			-0.2
GSA 00 Premier	-0.2		-0.2
Ambush B00 Red	+0.4		+0.4				+0.3
Alianza Elite							-0.5

Con Fir Bla 1 Ambush B00 Red 4
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Ambush B00 Red	+0.1		+0.1
Georgia FC 00 B					-1.2
Con Fir Bla					Yes

Con Fir Bla 2 NASA B18 Elite 3
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Chelsea 00B					-0.4
CSA Impact Gold					-0.7
Georgia FC 00 B					-1.5
Con Fir Bla					+2.8

CSA Impact Gold 3 Con Fir Eli 1
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
GSA 01 Premier							+0.2
Con Fir Eli							-0.8
SSA Chelsea 00B					+8.1		-0.2
00 Norcross Fur					+0.8
SSA Savannah Un					+3.3		-0.3
CSA Impact Gold					-21.2		+1.1
Georgia FC 00 B					+7.4		-0.2
Con Fir Bla					+1.3

GSA 01 Premier 1 Georgia FC 00 B 0
9:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
GSA 01 Premier							+0.5
SSA Chelsea 00B					-4.5
00 Norcross Fur					-0.9
SSA Savannah Un					-1.5		+0.2
CSA Impact Gold					-5.6		+0.2
Georgia FC 00 B					+14.3		-0.6
Con Fir Bla					-1.8

SSA Chelsea 00B 1 GSA 01 Premier 3
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Chelsea 00B					+10.8		-0.4
00 Norcross Fur					-0.4
SSA Savannah Un					-1.4
CSA Impact Gold					-0.3
Georgia FC 00 B					-8.3
Con Fir Bla					-0.4

Week of 11/9
Con Fir Eli 0 United FA 00 El 1
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
United FA 00 El	+3.8		+3.8
Storm SA 99 Boy	-0.7		-0.7
GSA 00 Premier	-3.1		-3.1

United FA 00 El 7 SSA Savannah Un 0
12:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
United FA 00 El	In		Yes
GSA 00 Premier	-0.9		-0.9
SSA Chelsea 00B					-0.3
00 Norcross Fur					No
SSA Savannah Un					+0.7		-0.2
Georgia FC 00 B					-0.2

CSA Impact Gold 1 SSA Chelsea 00B 2
1:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Chelsea 00B					-51.0		+1.5
00 Norcross Fur					+1.0
SSA Savannah Un					+2.0
CSA Impact Gold					+17.8		-1.6
Georgia FC 00 B					+30.2		-0.3

Georgia FC 00 B 0 Alianza Elite 3
3:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Alianza Elite					No		+0.2
SSA Chelsea 00B					No
00 Norcross Fur					No
SSA Savannah Un					No
CSA Impact Gold					-12.5
Georgia FC 00 B					+20.4		-0.4

Ambush B00 Red 1 Georgia FC 00 B 0
6:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Chelsea 00B					-3.0
00 Norcross Fur					-0.8
SSA Savannah Un					-0.6
CSA Impact Gold					-1.1
Georgia FC 00 B					+5.5		-0.2

00 Norcross Fur 2 SSA Savannah Un 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SSA Chelsea 00B					+0.8
00 Norcross Fur					-4.1		+0.7
SSA Savannah Un					+1.2		-0.7
Georgia FC 00 B					+2.1

SSA Chelsea 00B 2 00 Norcross Fur 0
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Con Fir Eli							+0.2
SSA Chelsea 00B					No		+1.6
00 Norcross Fur					+0.7		-1.4
SSA Savannah Un					+3.0		-0.4

00 Norcross Fur 1 CSA Impact Gold 1
7:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Con Fir Eli							+0.2
SSA Chelsea 00B							+0.2
00 Norcross Fur							+0.1
SSA Savannah Un							+0.5
CSA Impact Gold					No		-0.9
Georgia FC 00 B					Yes

GSA 01 Premier 5 NASA B18 Elite 1
9:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
GSA 01 Premier							+0.6
NASA B18 Elite							-0.7

Week of 11/16
United FA 00 El 2 GSA 00 Premier 0
12:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Storm SA 99 Boy	In		Yes
GSA 00 Premier	Out		No

00 Norcross Fur 0 Storm SA 99 Boy 1
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Storm SA 99 Boy	In		Yes
GSA 00 Premier	Out		No
SSA Chelsea 00B							+0.2
00 Norcross Fur							-0.2

Alianza Elite 0 Con Fir Eli 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Con Fir Eli							+0.9
Alianza Elite							-0.8

SSA Chelsea 00B 4 Alianza Elite 9
10:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Alianza Elite							+0.3
SSA Chelsea 00B							-0.3

Ambush B00 Red 3 NASA B18 Elite 1
4:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
GSA 01 Premier							+0.2
NASA B18 Elite							-0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you CT for adding this league.