New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.01 to 9.6%

108 points 28-5-2 28-12

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders	-5.2-2.9-2.9-2.9+2.5+7.0		-0.3-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.3
Nashville vs Toronto	+2.1+0.6+0.5+0.5-2.0-2.9
Minnesota vs Ottawa	+0.9-0.2-0.1-0.2-1.1-1.4
Boston vs Dallas	-0.6-0.3+0.3+0.2+0.2+1.1
Tampa Bay vs Detroit	-0.4*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.5		-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs Columbus	-0.5-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.2+0.3		-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

129	7	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	99.4	%	No								99	1								11,424
128	6	-	1	-	0	0		-	0	98.2		No								98	2								11,738
127	6	-	0	-	0	0		-	1	93.2		No								93	7	0							43,029	*
126	6	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	86.8		No								87	13	0							114,845	*
125	5	-	1	-	0	1		-	0	74.4		No								74	25	0							144,335	*
124	5	-	0	-	0	1		-	1	55.1		No								55	44	1	0						154,450
	5	-	0	-	1	1		-	0	56.7		No								57	42	1	0						153,166	*
123	5	-	0	-	0	2		-	0	42.6		No								43	54	3	0						239,383
	4	-	1	-	0	1		-	1	41.4		No								41	56	3	0						249,770	*
122	4	-	1	-	0	2		-	0	28.5		No								28	64	7	0						191,269
	4	-	0	-	0	1		-	2	21.7		No								22	69	9	0						126,334
	4	-	0	-	1	1		-	1	23.7		No								24	68	8	0						248,116	*
121	4	-	0	-	0	2		-	1	12.1		No								12	71	16	1						390,029
	4	-	0	-	1	2		-	0	12.5		No								12	71	16	1						195,609
	3	-	1	-	1	1		-	1	12.8		No								13	71	15	1						278,954	*
120	4	-	0	-	0	3		-	0	6.7		No								7	65	26	3						404,485
	3	-	1	-	0	2		-	1	6.7		No								7	66	25	3						248,725
	3	-	1	-	1	2		-	0	5.8		No								6	66	26	3						219,180	*
	3	-	0	-	1	1		-	2	5.3		No								5	66	26	3						153,819	*
119	3	-	1	-	0	3		-	0	3.0		No								3	53	37	7						257,209
	3	-	0	-	1	2		-	1	1.7		No								2	54	38	7						254,800
	3	-	0	-	0	2		-	2	1.6		No								2	53	38	7						250,842
	3	-	0	-	2	2		-	0	2.1		No								2	55	37	6						253,937	*
118	3	-	0	-	0	3		-	1	0.5		No								1	40	46	14						517,109
	3	-	0	-	1	3		-	0	0.5		No								1	40	46	13						264,333
	2	-	1	-	1	2		-	1	0.5		No								1	41	46	13						241,314	*
	2	-	2	-	0	3		-	0	0.6		No								1	40	46	13						183,639	*
117	3	-	0	-	0	4		-	0	0.2		No								0	26	50	24						400,193
	2	-	1	-	0	3		-	1	0.2		No								0	27	50	23						246,569
	2	-	0	-	1	2		-	2	0.1		No								0	26	50	24						206,723	*
	2	-	1	-	1	3		-	0	0.1		No								0	26	50	24						267,064	*
116	2	-	0	-	1	3		-	1	0.0		No								0	15	48	37						252,833
	2	-	0	-	0	3		-	2	0.0		No								0	14	47	38						242,871
	2	-	1	-	0	4		-	0	0.0		No								0	15	48	37						191,640
	2	-	0	-	2	3		-	0	0.0		No								0	16	48	36						227,747	*
115	2	-	0	-	0	4		-	1	Out		No									8	40	52						376,705
	2	-	0	-	1	4		-	0	Out		No									8	41	51						196,645
	1	-	1	-	1	3		-	1	Out		No									8	41	51						157,599	*
	1	-	2	-	0	4		-	0	Out		No									7	40	53						128,317	*
114	2	-	0	-	0	5		-	0	Out		No									3	30	67						233,134
	1	-	1	-	0	4		-	1	Out		No									3	30	66						231,115	*
	1	-	0	-	1	3		-	2	Out		No									3	30	67						155,328	*
113	1	-	0	-	1	4		-	1	Out		No									1	19	79	1	0				238,781	*
	1	-	1	-	0	5		-	0	Out		No									1	20	78	1	0				155,324	*
112	1	-	0	-	0	5		-	1	Out		No									0	11	87	2	0				143,819
	1	-	0	-	1	5		-	0	Out		No									0	11	87	2	0				146,452	*
111	1	-	0	-	0	6		-	0	Out		No									0	5	90	5	0				152,187	*
110	0	-	0	-	1	5		-	1	Out		No									0	2	84	13	0				63,126	*
109	0	-	0	-	0	6		-	1	Out		No										1	76	22	1	0			34,324	*
108	0	-	0	-	0	7		-	0	Out		No										0	58	37	4	0			10,661

Total:										9.6	%	No								10	36	30	24	0	0	0			10,261,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders	+0.4+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.4
Tampa Bay vs Detroit	+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Columbus	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

129	7	-	0	-	0	0		-	0															99	0	1
128	6	-	1	-	0	0		-	0															96	2	2
127	6	-	0	-	0	0		-	1															88	5	7	0
126	6	-	0	-	0	1		-	0															77	10	13	0
125	5	-	1	-	0	1		-	0															58	17	25	0
124	5	-	0	-	0	1		-	1															36	19	44	1	0
	5	-	0	-	1	1		-	0															37	19	42	1	0
123	5	-	0	-	0	2		-	0															21	21	54	3	0
	4	-	1	-	0	1		-	1															21	21	55	3	0
	4	-	1	-	1	1		-	0															20	20	57	3	0
122	4	-	1	-	0	2		-	0															10	18	64	7	0
	4	-	0	-	0	1		-	2															8	14	69	9	0
	4	-	0	-	1	1		-	1															8	15	68	8	0
121	4	-	0	-	0	2		-	1															3	9	71	16	1
	4	-	0	-	1	2		-	0															3	9	71	16	1
	3	-	1	-	1	1		-	1															3	10	71	15	1
120	4	-	0	-	0	3		-	0															1	6	65	26	3
	3	-	1	-	0	2		-	1															1	6	66	25	3
	3	-	1	-	1	2		-	0															1	5	66	26	3
	3	-	0	-	1	1		-	2															1	5	66	26	3
119	3	-	1	-	0	3		-	0															0	3	53	37	7
	3	-	0	-	1	2		-	1															0	2	54	38	7
	3	-	0	-	0	2		-	2															0	1	53	38	7
	3	-	0	-	2	2		-	0															0	2	55	37	6
118	3	-	0	-	0	3		-	1															0	0	40	46	14	0
	3	-	0	-	1	3		-	0															0	0	40	46	13	0	0
	2	-	1	-	0	2		-	2															0	1	40	46	14	0
117	3	-	0	-	0	4		-	0															0	0	25	50	24	0	0
	2	-	1	-	0	3		-	1															0	0	26	50	24	0	0
	2	-	1	-	1	3		-	0															0	0	25	50	24	0	0
	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	3															0	0	25	50	25	0
116	2	-	0	-	1	3		-	1																0	14	46	38	2	0
	2	-	0	-	0	3		-	2																0	14	46	39	2	0
	2	-	1	-	0	4		-	0																0	14	47	38	1	0
	2	-	0	-	2	3		-	0																0	15	47	37	1	0
115	2	-	0	-	0	4		-	1																	7	36	51	6	0	0
	2	-	0	-	1	4		-	0																	7	37	51	6	0	0
	1	-	1	-	1	3		-	1																	7	37	51	6	0	0
	1	-	1	-	0	3		-	2																	7	36	51	6	0
114	2	-	0	-	0	5		-	0																	2	25	60	11	1	0
	1	-	1	-	0	4		-	1																	3	25	60	12	1	0
	1	-	0	-	1	3		-	2																	2	24	61	12	1	0
113	1	-	0	-	1	4		-	1																	1	13	59	24	3	0	0
	1	-	1	-	0	5		-	0																	1	13	60	23	3	0
112	1	-	0	-	0	5		-	1																	0	5	47	37	10	1	0
	1	-	0	-	1	5		-	0																	0	5	47	37	10	1	0
111	1	-	0	-	0	6		-	0																	0	2	35	43	18	3	0	0
110	0	-	0	-	1	5		-	1																	0	0	17	40	32	10	1	0
109	0	-	0	-	0	6		-	1																		0	7	28	39	22	4	0	0
108	0	-	0	-	0	7		-	0																			3	17	36	32	11	1

Total:																								5	4	35	28	21	4	1	0	0	0	0