Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.97%

123 points 31-9-3 24-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Montreal vs Florida	+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.1		+0.3+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4
Nashville vs Toronto			+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
Boston vs Dallas			-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Ottawa			+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season. Explain

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

139	-141										In		No		100															294,470	*
138		5	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	In		No		100		0													285,267
		4	-	1	-	0	0		-	1	In		No		100		0													125,330	*
137		4	-	1	-	0	1		-	0	In		No		100		0													228,228
		4	-	0	-	1	0		-	1	In		No		100		0													196,668	*
136		4	-	0	-	0	1		-	1	In		No		100		0													358,664
		4	-	0	-	1	1		-	0	In		No		100		0													234,589
		3	-	2	-	0	1		-	0	In		No		100		0													178,362	*
135		4	-	0	-	0	2		-	0	In		No		98		2		0											557,653
		3	-	1	-	0	1		-	1	In		No		98		2		0											228,944
		3	-	1	-	1	1		-	0	In		No		98		2		0											185,991	*
		3	-	0	-	2	0		-	1	In		No		98		2													84,769	*
134		3	-	1	-	0	2		-	0	In		No		97		3		0											354,431
		3	-	0	-	1	1		-	1	In		No		96		3		0											234,997
		3	-	0	-	0	1		-	2	In		No		96		4		0											178,967
		3	-	0	-	2	1		-	0	In		No		97		3		0											130,487	*
		2	-	2	-	1	1		-	0	In		No		97		3		0											81,278	*
133		3	-	0	-	0	2		-	1	In		No		92		7		0		0									556,647	*
		3	-	0	-	1	2		-	0	In		No		92		7		0											365,431
		2	-	1	-	1	1		-	1	In		No		92		7		0											112,482
		2	-	1	-	0	1		-	2	In		No		92		7		0											85,430
		2	-	2	-	0	2		-	0	In		No		92		8		0											163,165	*
132		3	-	0	-	0	3		-	0	In		No		84		15		1		0									573,431
		2	-	1	-	0	2		-	1	In		No		84		15		0		0									264,033
		2	-	1	-	1	2		-	0	In		No		85		15		1		0									173,845
		2	-	0	-	1	1		-	2	In		No		82		17		1		0									147,332	*
		2	-	0	-	2	1		-	1	In		No		83		16		1		0									110,750	*
131		2	-	1	-	0	3		-	0	In		No		76		23		1		0									273,430
		2	-	0	-	1	2		-	1	In		No		75		23		1		0									271,428
		2	-	0	-	0	2		-	2	In		No		75		23		1		0									204,574
		2	-	0	-	2	2		-	0	In		No		75		23		2		0									89,076
		1	-	2	-	0	2		-	1	In		No		75		23		1		0									141,633	*
130		2	-	0	-	0	3		-	1	In		No		61		34		4		0									423,330
		2	-	0	-	1	3		-	0	In		No		61		34		4		0									281,995
		1	-	1	-	1	2		-	1	In		No		60		35		5		0									158,904	*
		1	-	1	-	0	2		-	2	In		No		60		35		4		0									115,542	*
129		2	-	0	-	0	4		-	0	In		No		45		45		10		1									327,786
		1	-	1	-	0	3		-	1	In		No		45		44		10		1									134,799
		1	-	1	-	1	3		-	0	In		No		43		45		11		1									157,255	*
		1	-	0	-	2	2		-	1	In		No		43		45		11		1									111,538	*
128		1	-	0	-	1	3		-	1	100.0	%	No		30		49		19		2	0								138,540
		1	-	1	-	0	4		-	0	100.0		No		31		49		18		2	0								104,508
		1	-	0	-	0	3		-	2	100.0		No		31		49		18		2	0								103,123
		1	-	0	-	2	3		-	0	100.0		No		30		49		19		2	0								91,500	*
127		1	-	0	-	0	4		-	1	100.0		No		17		47		30		5	0								159,548
		1	-	0	-	1	4		-	0	100.0		No		17		47		31		6	0								177,132	*
126		1	-	0	-	0	5		-	0	99.9		No		8		38		42		12	0	0							180,416	*
125		0	-	0	-	1	4		-	1	99.3		No		3		27		47		22	1	0							70,230	*
124		0	-	0	-	0	5		-	1	97.6		No		1		15		46		35	2	0							39,947	*
123		0	-	0	-	0	6		-	0	90.6		No		0		6		36		48	9	0	0						13,125

Total:											100.0	%	No		78		17		4		1	0	0	0						10,261,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal vs Florida	-0.6-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.9
Minnesota vs Ottawa	-0.2-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.4
Boston vs Dallas	+0.2+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3
Nashville vs Toronto	-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.2

What If

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

141	6	-	0	-	0	0		-	0			82	18
140	5	-	1	-	0	0		-	0			71	29
139	5	-	0	-	0	0		-	1			57	43
138	5	-	0	-	0	1		-	0			40	60			0	0
	4	-	1	-	0	0		-	1			41	59			0	0
137	4	-	1	-	0	1		-	0			28	72			0	0
	4	-	0	-	1	0		-	1			26	74			0	0
136	4	-	0	-	0	1		-	1			14	85			0	0
	4	-	0	-	1	1		-	0			14	85			0	0
	3	-	2	-	0	1		-	0			16	84			0	0
135	4	-	0	-	0	2		-	0			7	92			1	1			0
	3	-	1	-	0	1		-	1			7	92			1	1			0
	3	-	1	-	1	1		-	0			7	92			1	1			0
	3	-	0	-	2	0		-	1			7	91			1	1
134	3	-	1	-	0	2		-	0			3	94			1	2			0	0
	3	-	0	-	1	1		-	1			2	94			1	3			0	0
	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	2			2	94			1	3			0	0
	3	-	0	-	2	1		-	0			2	94			1	2			0
133	3	-	0	-	0	2		-	1			1	92			1	6			0	0			0
	3	-	0	-	1	2		-	0			1	92			1	6			0	0
	2	-	1	-	1	1		-	1			1	92			1	6			0	0
	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	2			1	92			1	6			0	0
	2	-	2	-	0	2		-	0			1	91			1	7			0	0
132	3	-	0	-	0	3		-	0			0	84			1	14			0	0			0
	2	-	1	-	0	2		-	1			0	84			1	14			0	0			0
	2	-	1	-	1	2		-	0			0	84			1	14			0	0			0
	2	-	0	-	1	1		-	2			0	82			1	16			0	0			0
	2	-	0	-	2	1		-	1			0	83			1	15			0	0			0
131	2	-	1	-	0	3		-	0			0	76			1	22			1	1			0
	2	-	0	-	1	2		-	1			0	75			0	23			1	1			0
	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	2			0	75			0	23			1	1			0
	2	-	0	-	2	2		-	0			0	75			0	23			1	1			0
	1	-	2	-	0	2		-	1			0	75			1	23			1	1			0
130	2	-	0	-	0	3		-	1			0	61			0	34			2	3			0	0
	2	-	0	-	1	3		-	0			0	61			0	34			2	3			0
	1	-	1	-	1	2		-	1				61			0	34			2	3			0
	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	2				59			0	36			2	3			0
129	2	-	0	-	0	4		-	0				45			0	44			3	8			1	0
	1	-	1	-	0	3		-	1				45			0	44			3	7			1	0
	1	-	1	-	1	3		-	0				44			0	45			3	8			1	0
	1	-	0	-	1	2		-	2				42			0	46			3	9			1	0
128	1	-	0	-	1	3		-	1				30			0	49			3	16			2	0	0
	1	-	1	-	0	4		-	0				31			0	49			3	15			2	0	0
	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	2				31			0	49			3	16			2	0	0
127	1	-	0	-	0	4		-	1				17				47			2	28			5	0	0
	1	-	0	-	1	4		-	0				17				47			2	28			5	0	0
126	1	-	0	-	0	5		-	0				8				38			2	40			11	1	0	0
125	0	-	0	-	1	4		-	1				3				27			1	46			17	5	1	0
124	0	-	0	-	0	5		-	1				1				15			0	46			23	12	2	0
123	0	-	0	-	0	6		-	0				0				6			0	36			24	24	9	0	0

Total:												7	71			1	16			1	4			1	0	0	0	0