Dallas Stars Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.006 to 0.009%

100 points 27-4-0 34-11

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary 1 Los Angeles 4			-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Boston vs Dallas	OutOutOutOut*-0.0+0.0		-0.2-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.4
Winnipeg vs Anaheim			-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

118	6	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	3.7	%	No								4	96	1							19,867
117	5	-	1	-	0	0		-	0	1.1		No								1	98	1	0						18,075
116	5	-	0	-	0	0		-	1	Out		No									97	3	0						71,049	*
115	5	-	0	-	0	1		-	0	Out		No									91	9	0						193,929	*
114	4	-	1	-	0	1		-	0	Out		No									86	13	0						112,401
	4	-	0	-	0	0		-	2	Out		No									85	14	1						104,673	*
113	4	-	0	-	0	1		-	1	Out		No									73	24	2						269,937
	4	-	0	-	1	1		-	0	Out		No									75	24	2						209,593	*
112	4	-	0	-	0	2		-	0	Out		No									59	36	6						419,842
	3	-	1	-	0	1		-	1	Out		No									59	36	6						172,778
	3	-	1	-	1	1		-	0	Out		No									59	36	6						155,994	*
111	3	-	1	-	0	2		-	0	Out		No									49	42	9						267,556
	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	2	Out		No									45	44	11						195,728
	3	-	0	-	1	1		-	1	Out		No									45	44	11						177,075
	2	-	2	-	0	1		-	1	Out		No									47	43	10						128,339	*
110	3	-	0	-	0	2		-	1	Out		No									30	50	21						609,752
	3	-	0	-	1	2		-	0	Out		No									30	50	21						274,608
	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	2	Out		No									30	50	21						177,888	*
	2	-	2	-	0	2		-	0	Out		No									34	49	17						117,860	*
109	3	-	0	-	0	3		-	0	Out		No									17	49	34						628,323
	2	-	1	-	0	2		-	1	Out		No									17	49	34						290,173
	2	-	1	-	1	2		-	0	Out		No									17	48	34						130,459
	2	-	0	-	1	1		-	2	Out		No									17	48	35						96,122
	2	-	0	-	0	1		-	3	Out		No									17	49	35						161,457	*
108	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	2	Out		No									9	43	48						307,111
	2	-	1	-	0	3		-	0	Out		No									12	45	44						300,402
	2	-	0	-	1	2		-	1	Out		No									9	43	48						297,988
	2	-	0	-	2	2		-	0	Out		No									10	43	47						209,504	*
107	2	-	0	-	0	3		-	1	Out		No									4	31	65						636,800
	2	-	0	-	1	3		-	0	Out		No									4	31	65						309,471
	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	2	Out		No									4	31	65						97,665
	1	-	1	-	1	2		-	1	Out		No									4	32	65						94,891
	1	-	2	-	0	3		-	0	Out		No									5	34	62						131,485	*
106	2	-	0	-	0	4		-	0	Out		No									1	20	78						493,591
	1	-	1	-	0	3		-	1	Out		No									1	20	78						201,356
	1	-	0	-	1	2		-	2	Out		No									1	20	79						100,679
	1	-	1	-	1	3		-	0	Out		No									1	20	78						98,055
	1	-	0	-	0	2		-	3	Out		No									1	20	79						146,811	*
105	1	-	0	-	1	3		-	1	Out		No									0	12	88						207,496
	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	2	Out		No									0	12	88						196,146
	1	-	1	-	0	4		-	0	Out		No									1	14	85						157,297
	1	-	0	-	2	3		-	0	Out		No									0	13	87						114,548	*
104	1	-	0	-	0	4		-	1	Out		No									0	5	95						305,170
	1	-	0	-	1	4		-	0	Out		No									0	5	94						161,440
	0	-	1	-	1	3		-	1	Out		No									0	6	94						110,777	*
103	1	-	0	-	0	5		-	0	Out		No										2	98						189,313
	0	-	1	-	0	4		-	1	Out		No										2	98						142,923	*
102	0	-	0	-	1	4		-	1	Out		No										1	99	0					135,057	*
101	0	-	0	-	0	5		-	1	Out		No										0	100	0					83,405	*
100	0	-	0	-	0	6		-	0	Out		No											100	0					28,141

Total:										0.0	%	No								0	23	31	46	0					10,261,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Calgary 1 Los Angeles 4	+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boston vs Dallas	+0.4+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.7
Winnipeg vs Anaheim	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders	+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Detroit	+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:										Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

118	6	-	0	-	0	0		-	0															0	4	38	46	11	1	0
117	5	-	1	-	0	0		-	0															0	1	23	50	23	3	0
116	5	-	0	-	0	0		-	1																	11	43	37	10	0	0
115	5	-	0	-	0	1		-	0																	4	28	45	21	2	0
114	4	-	1	-	0	1		-	0																	1	15	43	36	5	0
	4	-	0	-	0	0		-	2																	1	14	42	37	5	0
113	4	-	0	-	0	1		-	1																	0	5	30	49	14	1	0
	4	-	0	-	1	1		-	0																	0	6	31	48	13	1	0
	3	-	2	-	0	1		-	0																	0	6	32	48	12	1	0
112	4	-	0	-	0	2		-	0																	0	2	17	51	27	4	0
	3	-	1	-	0	1		-	1																	0	2	17	50	27	4	0
	3	-	1	-	1	1		-	0																	0	2	17	51	27	4	0
111	3	-	1	-	0	2		-	0																	0	0	8	47	37	8	0
	3	-	0	-	0	1		-	2																		0	7	44	39	10	0	0
	3	-	0	-	1	1		-	1																	0	0	7	44	39	10	0	0
110	3	-	0	-	0	2		-	1																		0	2	29	46	22	2	0
	3	-	0	-	1	2		-	0																		0	2	29	46	21	2	0
	2	-	1	-	0	1		-	2																		0	2	29	46	22	2	0
	2	-	2	-	0	2		-	0																		0	3	33	46	17	1	0
109	3	-	0	-	0	3		-	0																		0	0	16	45	35	4	0
	2	-	1	-	0	2		-	1																		0	0	16	45	35	4	0	0
	2	-	1	-	1	2		-	0																		0	0	16	44	35	4	0
	2	-	0	-	1	1		-	2																			0	15	44	36	5	0	0
108	2	-	0	-	0	2		-	2																			0	7	34	46	12	1	0
	2	-	1	-	0	3		-	0																			0	10	40	43	6	0
	2	-	0	-	1	2		-	1																			0	7	34	46	12	1	0
	2	-	0	-	2	2		-	0																			0	7	34	46	12	1	0
	1	-	2	-	0	2		-	1																			0	9	38	44	9	0
107	2	-	0	-	0	3		-	1																			0	2	20	51	24	3	0
	2	-	0	-	1	3		-	0																			0	2	21	50	24	3	0
	1	-	1	-	0	2		-	2																			0	2	20	50	24	3	0
	1	-	1	-	1	2		-	1																			0	2	20	50	24	3	0
	1	-	2	-	0	3		-	0																			0	3	24	50	20	2	0
106	2	-	0	-	0	4		-	0																			0	1	11	50	32	5	0
	1	-	1	-	0	3		-	1																				1	11	50	32	5	0
	1	-	0	-	1	2		-	2																				1	9	44	37	8	0
	1	-	1	-	1	3		-	0																				1	11	50	32	5	0
	1	-	0	-	0	2		-	3																				1	10	45	37	8	0
105	1	-	0	-	1	3		-	1																				0	4	31	47	17	1
	1	-	0	-	0	3		-	2																				0	4	31	47	17	1
	1	-	1	-	0	4		-	0																				0	7	44	40	9	0
	1	-	0	-	2	3		-	0																				0	4	34	45	15	1
104	1	-	0	-	0	4		-	1																				0	1	19	48	29	3
	1	-	0	-	1	4		-	0																				0	1	19	48	29	3
	0	-	1	-	1	3		-	1																				0	1	20	47	29	3
103	1	-	0	-	0	5		-	0																					0	13	45	37	5
	0	-	1	-	0	4		-	1																					0	10	42	41	7
102	0	-	0	-	1	4		-	1																					0	4	29	51	16	0
101	0	-	0	-	0	5		-	1																					0	1	17	55	27	0
100	0	-	0	-	0	6		-	0																						0	11	52	36	0

Total:																								0	0	0	2	6	17	25	28	16	6	1	0