Toronto Raptors Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 16.3%

9-19 .321

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 97 Houston 120	+0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
San Antonio vs Toronto	-3.0-3.0+3.0+3.0		-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3
Memphis vs Philadelphia	+0.4+0.5-0.4-0.4
Orlando vs New Orleans	-0.4-0.5+0.4+0.4		-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
Charlotte vs Miami			-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

52	-63				In		100															99	*
51		42	-	12	In		75	14		11												28
50		41	-	13	In		59	26		15												74
49		40	-	14	In		50	28	2	19	1											185
48		39	-	15	In		30	28	4	37	2											552
47		38	-	16	In		15	30	7	39	9	1	0									1,419
46		37	-	17	In		5	20	9	43	19	3	0									3,039
45		36	-	18	In		1	11	10	35	32	10	1	0								6,420
44		35	-	19	99.9	%	0	3	8	21	37	23	6	1	0							12,083
43		34	-	20	99.2		0	1	4	9	29	33	18	5	1	0						20,931
42		33	-	21	95.0			0	2	2	14	30	30	16	4	1	0					33,916
41		32	-	22	80.9			0	1	0	4	16	30	30	15	4	0	0				51,316
40		31	-	23	54.1				0	0	1	5	17	31	29	14	3	0	0			70,892
39		30	-	24	25.2				0		0	1	6	19	33	29	11	2	0	0		91,454
38		29	-	25	7.9				0			0	1	7	22	36	26	7	1	0		109,135
37		28	-	26	1.6							0	0	1	9	28	38	20	4	0	0	122,106
36		27	-	27	0.2								0	0	2	14	36	34	12	2	0	126,405
35		26	-	28	0.0									0	0	5	23	40	26	6	0	122,299
34		25	-	29	0.0									0	0	1	10	33	38	15	2	109,174
33		24	-	30	Out										0	0	4	21	41	28	6	91,079
32		23	-	31	Out											0	1	10	35	41	14	70,312
31		22	-	32	Out											0	0	4	23	46	27	50,745
30		21	-	33	Out												0	1	12	44	43	34,045
29		20	-	34	Out													0	6	35	59	20,845
28		19	-	35	Out													0	2	25	73	12,118
27		18	-	36	Out														0	15	84	6,350
26		17	-	37	Out														0	10	90	3,118
25		16	-	38	Out															4	96	1,331
24		15	-	39	Out															2	98	600
23		14	-	40	Out															1	99	254
22		13	-	41	Out															2	98	65
9	-21				Out																100	120	*

Total:					16.3	%	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	8	12	15	16	15	11	7	1,172,509

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Antonio vs Toronto	+0.6+0.7-0.6-0.6
Charlotte vs Miami	+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0
Memphis vs Philadelphia	-0.0-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Orlando vs New Orleans	+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

63		54	-	0	100
52		43	-	11	33	67
51		42	-	12	29	46	14				11
50		41	-	13	9	50	15	11			14	1
49		40	-	14	5	44	10	18	2		17	2	1
48		39	-	15	1	29	7	22	2	1	25	11	2
47		38	-	16	0	14	3	27	4	3	16	23	8	1	1	0	0
46		37	-	17		5	0	20	3	6	8	35	12	7	3	0	0
45		36	-	18		1	0	11	2	9	2	33	11	21	7	3	1	0	0
44		35	-	19		0		3	0	7	0	21	4	33	10	13	5	1	1	0	0
43		34	-	20		0		1	0	4		9	1	28	5	28	9	10	4	1	1	0	0
42		33	-	21				0	0	2		2	0	14	1	30	5	26	8	9	3	1	0	0	0
41		32	-	22				0		1		0		4	0	16	1	29	5	25	7	7	4	1	0	0
40		31	-	23						0		0		1		5	0	17	1	30	5	11	14	10	4	1	0	0	0
39		30	-	24						0				0		1	0	6	0	18	1	6	14	21	19	10	4	1	0	0
38		29	-	25						0						0		1	0	7	0	1	4	13	23	25	17	7	2	0	0
37		28	-	26												0		0		1	0	0	1	3	10	21	27	22	11	3	0	0	0
36		27	-	27														0		0			0	0	2	7	18	28	26	14	4	1	0
35		26	-	28																0			0	0	0	1	6	17	29	28	15	4	1	0
34		25	-	29																0					0	0	1	5	17	31	29	14	3	0
33		24	-	30																						0	0	1	6	19	33	28	11	2
32		23	-	31																							0	0	1	8	24	37	24	6
31		22	-	32																								0	0	2	12	33	38	15
30		21	-	33																									0	0	5	22	44	29
29		20	-	34																										0	1	11	40	47
28		19	-	35																										0	0	5	31	64
27		18	-	36																											0	2	21	78
26		17	-	37																												1	13	86
25		16	-	38																												0	6	94
24		15	-	39																													3	97
23		14	-	40																													1	99
22		13	-	41																													2	98
9	-21																																	100

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	0	4	1	5	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	9	8	7	4