Oklahoma City Thunder Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Lost to Miami 97-103, playoff odds down 0.9 to 96.3%

21-6 .778

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Miami 103 Oklahoma City 97	-0.8		-0.2
LA Lakers 100 New York 94	-0.1
Chicago 97 Houston 120	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Portland vs Sacramento	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Phoenix vs New York	-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Oklahoma City finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

61	-76				In		100															662	*
60		39	-	16	In		100	0														955
59		38	-	17	In		100	0														2,226
58		37	-	18	In		99	1														4,726
57		36	-	19	In		98	2														9,036
56		35	-	20	In		97	3	0	0												16,421
55		34	-	21	In		93	7	0	0												27,009
54		33	-	22	In		87	13	0	0												42,820
53		32	-	23	In		78	21	1	0												60,733
52		31	-	24	In		65	31	3	1	0											81,015
51		30	-	25	In		49	42	7	2	0	0										100,357
50		29	-	26	In		33	48	15	3	0	0										115,429
49		28	-	27	In		18	48	27	6	1	0										124,050
48		27	-	28	In		8	39	40	10	4	0	0									124,577
47		26	-	29	100.0	%	2	24	49	13	9	2	0	0	0							116,381
46		25	-	30	100.0		0	12	50	11	17	8	2	0	0							100,558
45		24	-	31	99.9		0	4	41	7	20	19	8	2	0	0						81,452
44		23	-	32	98.0		0	1	28	2	14	25	20	8	2	0	0					60,776
43		22	-	33	89.1		0	0	15	0	5	19	28	21	9	2	0	0				41,975
42		21	-	34	64.5			0	6	0	1	7	21	29	23	10	2	0	0			27,420
41		20	-	35	32.5				2	0	0	1	8	22	30	24	11	3	0	0		16,237
40		19	-	36	9.4				1			0	1	7	21	32	25	10	2	0		9,027
39		18	-	37	1.4				0				0	1	8	23	32	25	9	1	0	4,701
38		17	-	38	0.2									0	2	8	24	37	24	5	0	2,257
37		16	-	39	Out										0	2	12	30	38	17	1	981
36		15	-	40	Out											0	6	18	43	31	2	405
35		14	-	41	Out												2	6	31	49	12	147
34		13	-	42	Out													4	20	52	24	50
33		12	-	43	Out															69	31	16
32		11	-	44	Out														8	46	46	13
21	-30				Out																100	97	*

Total:					96.3	%	27	25	24	5	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	1,172,509

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

61	-76				100
60		39	-	16	100	0	0
59		38	-	17	100	0	0
58		37	-	18	99	0	1
57		36	-	19	98	1	2
56		35	-	20	95	2	3		0		0
55		34	-	21	89	4	7	0	0		0
54		33	-	22	81	6	13	0	0		0
53		32	-	23	68	10	21	0	1		0
52		31	-	24	50	15	30	0	3		1	0	0
51		30	-	25	32	17	41	1	7	0	2	0	0		0
50		29	-	26	16	17	44	4	15	0	3	0	0		0
49		28	-	27	6	12	39	8	27	0	6	0	1		0
48		27	-	28	1	6	26	13	38	1	9	1	4	0	0		0
47		26	-	29	0	2	11	13	45	4	10	3	9	0	2		0		0		0
46		25	-	30	0	0	3	9	39	10	7	5	16	1	8	0	2		0		0
45		24	-	31		0	0	3	25	16	2	4	16	4	18	0	8	0	2		0	0
44		23	-	32		0	0	1	11	17	0	2	8	6	22	3	20	0	8	0	2	0	0
43		22	-	33		0		0	3	12	0	0	1	4	12	7	26	2	21	0	9	2	0	0
42		21	-	34				0	1	6		0	0	1	2	5	14	7	27	2	23	9	2	0	0
41		20	-	35					0	2		0		0	0	1	2	5	15	7	29	23	12	4	0	0
40		19	-	36						1						0	0	1	3	5	15	28	27	15	5	1	0	0
39		18	-	37						0								0	0	1	3	12	24	29	20	8	3	0	0
38		17	-	38																0	0	1	7	19	26	25	15	5	1	0
37		16	-	39																			1	3	12	25	29	19	9	2	1
36		15	-	40																				1	5	10	22	29	24	6	2	0
35		14	-	41																						4	10	20	25	27	10	4
34		13	-	42																						2	2	8	18	32	26	10	2
33		12	-	43																									6	19	44	19	13
32		11	-	44																										8	15	38	31	8
21	-30																																	100

Total:					20	7	20	5	20	4	4	1	4	1	4	1	3	0	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0