Minnesota Timberwolves Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 48.9%

13-12 .520

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 97 Houston 120	-0.6
LA Lakers 100 New York 94	-0.5		-0.0
LA Clippers 112 Denver 100	+0.4		+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota vs Houston	+5.5+5.3-5.5-5.5		+0.4+0.4-0.4-0.4
Portland vs Sacramento	-0.4-0.4+0.4+0.4
Phoenix vs New York	-0.4+0.2+0.5+0.3
Utah vs Golden State	-0.3-0.3+0.5+0.3
Memphis vs Philadelphia	-0.3+0.1+0.0+0.3
San Antonio vs Toronto	-0.2+0.1+0.4+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

57	-70				In		100															116	*
56		43	-	14	In		96	4														56
55		42	-	15	In		91	8		1												171
54		41	-	16	In		86	11		3												458
53		40	-	17	In		76	16	1	8	0											1,137
52		39	-	18	In		60	26	2	13	0											2,559
51		38	-	19	In		41	32	5	20	1											5,268
50		37	-	20	In		25	35	9	28	2	0										9,847
49		36	-	21	In		12	31	16	35	6	0	0									17,350
48		35	-	22	In		4	21	20	38	15	2	0									28,373
47		34	-	23	100.0	%	1	11	21	33	27	7	1	0	0							43,142
46		33	-	24	100.0		0	4	17	22	34	18	4	0	0							61,079
45		32	-	25	99.7		0	1	10	10	30	31	14	3	0	0						81,054
44		31	-	26	97.0			0	5	3	16	32	28	12	3	0	0					99,212
43		30	-	27	86.0			0	2	0	5	20	32	26	11	3	0	0				113,934
42		29	-	28	61.8			0	1	0	1	7	21	32	25	11	2	0	0			122,405
41		28	-	29	31.6				0	0	0	1	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0		122,398
40		27	-	30	10.6				0		0	0	2	9	23	33	24	8	1	0		114,105
39		26	-	31	2.1							0	0	2	10	25	34	21	6	1	0	99,198
38		25	-	32	0.3								0	0	2	12	30	34	18	3	0	81,243
37		24	-	33	0.0									0	0	4	17	36	32	10	1	61,697
36		23	-	34	Out										0	1	7	26	41	23	3	42,790
35		22	-	35	Out										0	0	2	13	39	39	8	28,555
34		21	-	36	Out											0	0	5	29	49	17	16,955
33		20	-	37	Out												0	2	17	52	30	9,951
32		19	-	38	Out													0	8	47	45	4,993
31		18	-	39	Out														4	36	60	2,512
30		17	-	40	Out													0	1	27	72	1,092
29		16	-	41	Out														0	14	85	484
28		15	-	42	Out															4	96	187
27		14	-	43	Out														1	1	97	67
26		13	-	44	Out															6	94	16
13	-25				Out																100	105	*

Total:					48.9	%	1	2	4	5	7	9	10	11	11	10	10	8	7	4	1	1,172,509

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Miami 103 Oklahoma City 97	-0.1
Chicago 97 Houston 120	+0.0
LA Clippers 112 Denver 100	-0.0
LA Lakers 100 New York 94	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Houston	-0.8-0.8+0.8+0.8

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

57	-70				100
56		43	-	14	96		4
55		42	-	15	89	2	8				1
54		41	-	16	78	8	11				3
53		40	-	17	65	11	16	0	1		8		0
52		39	-	18	45	14	26	0	2		13		0
51		38	-	19	26	16	31	1	5	0	20	0	1
50		37	-	20	11	14	32	3	9	0	28	1	2		0
49		36	-	21	3	9	25	6	16	0	33	2	6		0		0
48		35	-	22	1	4	13	8	20	1	33	5	15	0	2		0
47		34	-	23	0	1	4	6	19	2	25	8	26	0	7	0	1		0		0
46		33	-	24	0	0	1	3	13	4	12	10	32	2	18	0	4		0		0
45		32	-	25		0	0	1	6	5	3	7	24	6	30	1	14	0	3	0	0	0
44		31	-	26			0	0	2	3	0	2	9	8	28	4	28	0	12	0	3	0	0
43		30	-	27				0	0	2	0	0	1	4	12	7	29	3	26	0	11	2	0	0
42		29	-	28				0	0	1		0	0	1	2	5	14	7	30	2	25	10	2	0	0
41		28	-	29					0	0		0	0	0	0	1	3	5	16	7	30	25	11	2	0	0	0
40		27	-	30						0				0		0	0	1	3	6	17	29	26	13	4	1	0	0	0
39		26	-	31												0	0	0	0	2	4	14	27	27	17	7	2	0	0	0
38		25	-	32														0	0	0	0	3	10	21	27	22	12	4	1	0	0
37		24	-	33																0	0	0	1	6	16	25	26	17	7	2	0	0
36		23	-	34																		0	0	1	4	12	23	27	21	10	2	0	0	0
35		22	-	35																				0	0	2	9	21	29	24	12	3	0	0
34		21	-	36																					0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	2	0
33		20	-	37																						0	0	2	8	22	32	25	9	1
32		19	-	38																							0	0	2	10	26	36	22	5
31		18	-	39																									0	3	14	32	36	15
30		17	-	40																										0	4	22	48	25
29		16	-	41																											1	11	45	44
28		15	-	42																												6	28	66
27		14	-	43																												3	21	76
26		13	-	44																													25	75
25		12	-	45																													13	88
13	-24																																	100

Total:					0	0	1	1	3	1	3	2	6	2	7	2	8	2	9	2	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0