Memphis Grizzlies Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 89.9%

18-7 .720

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 97 Houston 120	-0.2
Miami 103 Oklahoma City 97			+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Memphis vs Philadelphia	+2.1+2.1-2.2-2.1		+0.3+0.3-0.3-0.3
San Antonio vs Toronto			-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Utah vs Golden State			+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Memphis finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

61	-75				In		100															188	*
60		42	-	15	In		99			1												182
59		41	-	16	In		100	0														496
58		40	-	17	In		99	1		0												1,162
57		39	-	18	In		98	1		0												2,584
56		38	-	19	In		95	4	0	1												5,171
55		37	-	20	In		90	8	0	2												9,823
54		36	-	21	In		83	13	0	4												17,023
53		35	-	22	In		72	20	1	7	0											28,293
52		34	-	23	In		57	28	3	12	0											42,979
51		33	-	24	In		41	35	6	18	0	0										61,340
50		32	-	25	In		25	36	11	26	1	0										80,990
49		31	-	26	In		12	32	17	35	4	0	0									99,347
48		30	-	27	In		5	23	21	40	11	1	0	0								114,945
47		29	-	28	In		1	12	22	38	22	4	0	0								122,795
46		28	-	29	100.0	%	0	5	19	28	32	13	2	0	0							122,165
45		27	-	30	99.8		0	1	13	15	34	26	9	2	0	0	0					114,387
44		26	-	31	98.2		0	0	8	5	22	32	22	8	2	0	0					99,400
43		25	-	32	89.7			0	4	1	9	24	31	21	8	2	0	0				80,637
42		24	-	33	67.7				1	0	2	10	24	30	22	9	2	0	0			60,540
41		23	-	34	36.3				0	0	0	2	10	24	31	22	9	2	0	0		42,847
40		22	-	35	12.6				0		0	0	2	10	23	31	23	9	2	0		28,247
39		21	-	36	2.7				0				0	2	10	24	32	23	7	1	0	17,347
38		20	-	37	0.2								0	0	2	11	27	34	20	5	0	9,902
37		19	-	38	Out										0	3	15	32	34	13	1	5,209
36		18	-	39	Out										0	0	4	20	41	29	5	2,546
35		17	-	40	Out												1	9	34	45	12	1,102
34		16	-	41	Out													3	22	49	27	488
33		15	-	42	Out													2	12	51	35	186
32		14	-	43	Out														6	41	54	71
31		13	-	44	Out														8	42	50	12
30		12	-	45	Out															33	67	6
18	-29				Out																100	99	*

Total:					89.9	%	12	13	11	19	13	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	1,172,509

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago 97 Houston 120	+0.0
Miami 103 Oklahoma City 97	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Memphis vs Philadelphia	-0.6-0.6+0.6+0.6
San Antonio vs Toronto	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Houston	-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
Utah vs Golden State	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

61	-75				100
60		42	-	15	99						1
59		41	-	16	100		0
58		40	-	17	99	0	1				0
57		39	-	18	97	1	1				0
56		38	-	19	93	2	4		0		1
55		37	-	20	86	4	8		0		2
54		36	-	21	77	6	13	0	0		4
53		35	-	22	62	9	20	0	1		7		0
52		34	-	23	45	13	28	0	3		12	0	0
51		33	-	24	26	14	34	1	6		18	0	0		0
50		32	-	25	12	13	33	3	11	0	26	1	1		0
49		31	-	26	4	9	26	6	17	0	33	2	4		0		0
48		30	-	27	1	4	15	8	20	1	35	5	11	0	1		0		0
47		29	-	28	0	1	5	7	20	2	29	9	21	0	4	0	0		0
46		28	-	29	0	0	1	4	15	4	16	12	30	2	12	0	2		0		0
45		27	-	30		0	0	1	8	5	5	10	27	7	25	1	9	0	2		0	0	0
44		26	-	31		0	0	0	3	5	1	5	12	10	29	4	22	0	8	0	2	0	0
43		25	-	32				0	1	3	0	1	2	7	15	8	28	3	21	0	9	2	0	0
42		24	-	33					0	1		0	0	2	3	7	16	8	28	2	22	8	2	0	0
41		23	-	34					0	0		0		0	0	2	3	7	17	7	29	22	10	2	0	0	0
40		22	-	35					0	0				0	0	0	0	2	4	6	17	28	25	13	4	1	0
39		21	-	36						0							0	0	0	2	4	13	25	27	18	8	2	0	0	0
38		20	-	37														0		0	0	2	9	20	26	23	14	5	1	0	0
37		19	-	38																	0	0	1	5	15	24	26	19	8	2	0	0
36		18	-	39																			0	1	2	10	20	30	23	10	3	0
35		17	-	40																					0	1	7	19	30	26	14	3	0
34		16	-	41																							1	6	17	31	25	16	3	1
33		15	-	42																								2	6	23	28	24	13	3
32		14	-	43																									1	8	28	32	20	10
31		13	-	44																											17	42	8	33
30		12	-	45																													67	33
29		11	-	46																													100
28		10	-	47																												100
18		0	-	57																														100

Total:					8	4	10	3	9	2	15	4	11	2	8	1	6	1	5	1	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0