Houston Rockets Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Beat Chicago 120-97, playoff odds up 4.9 to 58.3%

15-12 .556

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 97 Houston 120	+4.7		+0.4
LA Lakers 100 New York 94	-0.6		-0.0
LA Clippers 112 Denver 100	+0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota vs Houston	-5.5-5.4+5.4+5.5		-0.4-0.4+0.4+0.4
Portland vs Sacramento	-0.4-0.0+0.3+0.4
Phoenix vs New York	-0.3-0.6+0.4+0.4
Memphis vs Philadelphia	-0.2-0.4+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

58	-70				In		100															122	*
57		42	-	13	In		98			2												48
56		41	-	14	In		96	4		1												136
55		40	-	15	In		91	5		3	0											413
54		39	-	16	In		84	10	0	6												976
53		38	-	17	In		72	17	1	10	0											2,264
52		37	-	18	In		56	24	3	17	1											4,717
51		36	-	19	In		39	29	5	25	2	0										9,112
50		35	-	20	In		23	29	8	35	5	0										16,465
49		34	-	21	In		10	24	12	42	11	0	0									27,475
48		33	-	22	In		4	15	14	43	21	2	0									42,435
47		32	-	23	In		1	8	13	35	33	9	1	0								60,764
46		31	-	24	100.0	%	0	3	9	23	39	21	5	1	0							81,042
45		30	-	25	99.6		0	1	6	10	32	33	15	3	0	0						100,939
44		29	-	26	96.6			0	3	3	17	33	29	12	3	0	0					115,711
43		28	-	27	85.0			0	1	0	5	20	32	27	12	3	0	0	0			124,953
42		27	-	28	59.6				0	0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0			123,970
41		26	-	29	29.4				0		0	1	7	21	31	25	11	3	0	0		115,398
40		25	-	30	9.2				0		0	0	1	8	22	32	25	10	2	0	0	100,459
39		24	-	31	1.8				0			0	0	2	8	23	33	24	8	1	0	80,667
38		23	-	32	0.2				0				0	0	2	10	27	35	21	5	0	60,751
37		22	-	33	0.0									0	0	3	14	33	35	15	1	42,486
36		21	-	34	Out										0	0	5	21	41	29	4	27,234
35		20	-	35	Out											0	1	9	35	44	11	16,346
34		19	-	36	Out												0	4	22	52	22	9,081
33		18	-	37	Out											0		1	12	52	35	4,675
32		17	-	38	Out													0	5	44	50	2,197
31		16	-	39	Out													0	2	34	63	974
30		15	-	40	Out														0	23	77	385
29		14	-	41	Out															11	89	149
28		13	-	42	Out															4	96	45
15	-27				Out																100	120	*

Total:					58.3	%	2	3	3	8	11	11	11	11	10	9	8	6	5	3	1	1,172,509

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago 97 Houston 120	-0.7
LA Lakers 100 New York 94	+0.0
LA Clippers 112 Denver 100	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Houston	+0.8+0.8-0.7-0.8
Memphis vs Philadelphia	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1
Phoenix vs New York	+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit	+0.0-0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

58	-70				100
57		42	-	13	98						2
56		41	-	14	93	2	4				1
55		40	-	15	87	4	5				3		0
54		39	-	16	78	6	10		0		6
53		38	-	17	61	11	17	0	1		10		0
52		37	-	18	42	14	24	0	3		17		1
51		36	-	19	25	14	28	1	5		25	0	2		0
50		35	-	20	11	12	27	3	8	0	34	1	5		0
49		34	-	21	3	7	20	4	12	0	40	2	11	0	0		0
48		33	-	22	1	3	10	6	14	0	38	4	21	0	2		0
47		32	-	23	0	1	3	4	12	1	28	8	33	0	9		1		0
46		31	-	24	0	0	1	2	7	2	14	9	37	2	21	0	5		1		0
45		30	-	25		0	0	1	3	2	3	6	26	6	33	1	15	0	3		0	0
44		29	-	26			0	0	1	2	0	2	10	7	30	3	29	0	12	0	3	0	0
43		28	-	27				0	0	1	0	0	1	4	13	6	30	2	27	0	12	3	0	0	0
42		27	-	28					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	15	6	30	2	26	11	3	0	0
41		26	-	29					0	0				0	0	1	3	5	16	5	30	25	12	3	0	0	0
40		25	-	30						0				0		0	0	1	3	5	17	28	27	14	4	1	0	0
39		24	-	31						0						0		0	0	1	4	14	25	28	18	7	2	0	0	0
38		23	-	32						0								0	0	0	0	2	9	21	27	22	12	4	1	0	0
37		22	-	33																0	0	0	1	5	15	25	27	18	7	2	0	0
36		21	-	34																		0	0	0	3	11	23	29	22	10	2	0	0
35		20	-	35																		0		0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0
34		19	-	36																						0	2	7	20	31	26	11	2	0
33		18	-	37																							0	2	8	22	33	25	9	1
32		17	-	38																								0	2	10	27	33	23	4
31		16	-	39																									1	2	15	36	34	12
30		15	-	40																										0	5	23	45	28
29		14	-	41																											2	7	40	51
28		13	-	42																												9	40	51
27		12	-	43																													13	88
26		11	-	44																													33	67
15	-25																																	100

Total:					1	1	2	1	2	1	6	2	9	2	9	2	9	1	9	1	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0