Golden State Warriors Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 81%

18-10 .643

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 97 Houston 120	-0.4
LA Clippers 112 Denver 100	+0.3		-0.0
LA Lakers 100 New York 94	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Utah vs Golden State	-3.9-3.6+3.6+3.9		-0.4-0.3+0.4+0.4
Phoenix vs New York	-0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2
Portland vs Sacramento	-0.2-0.4+0.4+0.2
Memphis vs Philadelphia			-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Golden State finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

60	-72				In		100															130	*
59		41	-	13	In		99			1												70
58		40	-	14	In		99	1		1												199
57		39	-	15	In		99	1														590
56		38	-	16	In		96	2		2												1,362
55		37	-	17	In		91	6		3												2,962
54		36	-	18	In		84	10	0	6												6,345
53		35	-	19	In		72	16	1	12	0											11,880
52		34	-	20	In		56	24	2	17	0											21,126
51		33	-	21	In		39	30	5	25	1											33,667
50		32	-	22	In		23	31	9	34	2	0										50,753
49		31	-	23	In		11	27	14	41	6	0	0									70,505
48		30	-	24	In		4	19	18	44	14	1	0									91,368
47		29	-	25	In		1	9	19	38	26	6	1	0								109,653
46		28	-	26	100.0	%	0	4	15	26	35	16	3	0	0							121,693
45		27	-	27	99.7		0	1	10	12	32	29	12	3	0	0						127,243
44		26	-	28	97.5		0	0	6	4	19	33	26	10	2	0	0					121,923
43		25	-	29	87.3			0	3	1	7	21	32	24	10	2	0	0	0			109,413
42		24	-	30	63.4			0	1	0	1	8	22	31	24	10	2	0	0			91,047
41		23	-	31	32.2				0	0	0	2	8	22	31	24	10	2	0	0		71,108
40		22	-	32	10.5				0		0	0	2	8	22	32	24	9	2	0		50,473
39		21	-	33	2.0				0			0	0	2	10	24	32	24	8	1	0	34,251
38		20	-	34	0.3								0	0	2	11	27	34	21	5	0	20,920
37		19	-	35	0.0									0	0	3	13	33	35	15	1	12,005
36		18	-	36	Out										0	0	4	21	41	29	4	6,256
35		17	-	37	Out											0	1	10	35	44	11	3,189
34		16	-	38	Out												0	3	24	51	23	1,376
33		15	-	39	Out													2	12	49	38	547
32		14	-	40	Out														7	44	49	240
31		13	-	41	Out														2	36	61	85
30		12	-	42	Out															15	85	20
29		11	-	43	Out															9	91	11
18	-28				Out																100	99	*

Total:					81.0	%	6	7	8	17	14	12	10	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	1,172,509

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
LA Clippers 112 Denver 100	+0.1
Chicago 97 Houston 120	+0.0
Miami 103 Oklahoma City 97	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Utah vs Golden State	+0.7+0.6-0.7-0.7
Memphis vs Philadelphia	+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0
Portland vs Sacramento	+0.0+0.1*-0.0-0.0
San Antonio vs Toronto	+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0
Charlotte vs Miami	+0.0-0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

62	-72				100
61		43	-	11	88	13
60		42	-	12	100
59		41	-	13	99						1
58		40	-	14	98	1	1				1
57		39	-	15	98	0	1
56		38	-	16	95	2	2				2
55		37	-	17	88	3	6				3
54		36	-	18	78	6	10		0		6
53		35	-	19	62	9	16	0	1		12	0	0
52		34	-	20	44	12	24	0	2		17	0	0
51		33	-	21	26	14	29	1	5	0	25	0	1
50		32	-	22	11	12	29	2	9	0	34	1	2		0
49		31	-	23	3	7	22	5	14	0	40	2	6		0		0
48		30	-	24	1	3	12	6	18	1	39	5	14	0	1		0
47		29	-	25	0	1	4	5	17	2	29	9	26	0	6		1		0
46		28	-	26	0	0	1	3	12	3	15	11	33	2	16	0	3		0		0
45		27	-	27		0	0	1	6	4	4	8	26	7	29	1	12	0	3		0	0
44		26	-	28		0		0	2	4	0	3	10	9	28	4	26	0	10	0	2	0	0
43		25	-	29				0	1	2	0	1	1	5	13	8	29	3	24	0	10	2	0	0	0
42		24	-	30				0	0	1		0	0	1	2	6	14	8	28	3	24	10	2	0	0	0
41		23	-	31					0	0		0	0	0	0	2	3	6	15	7	29	25	11	3	0	0
40		22	-	32						0				0	0	0	0	2	3	6	15	28	26	14	5	1	0	0
39		21	-	33						0						0	0	0	0	2	3	13	24	27	19	8	3	0	0	0
38		20	-	34														0		0	0	2	8	19	26	24	14	5	1	0	0
37		19	-	35																0		0	1	5	13	24	27	19	8	2	0	0
36		18	-	36																			0	0	3	9	21	29	23	11	3	0
35		17	-	37																					0	2	8	22	29	24	12	2	0
34		16	-	38																						0	2	8	20	29	26	12	2	0
33		15	-	39																								2	6	22	35	25	9	2
32		14	-	40																								0	4	9	23	39	19	5
31		13	-	41																										4	8	44	28	16
30		12	-	42																											10	20	30	40
29		11	-	43																												18	64	18
18	-28																																	100

Total:					4	2	6	2	7	2	13	4	11	2	10	2	8	1	7	1	6	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0