Denver Nuggets Playoff Chances

Lost to LA Clippers 100-112, playoff odds down 8.1 to 68.4%

15-14 .517

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LA Clippers 112 Denver 100	-2.1		-0.1
Chicago 97 Houston 120	-0.7
LA Lakers 100 New York 94	-0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Denver vs LA Lakers	+4.4+4.3-6.7-6.5		+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.4
Utah vs Golden State	-0.3-0.8*+0.0+0.5
Portland vs Sacramento	-0.3*-0.2+0.9+0.6
Minnesota vs Houston	-0.2-0.3+0.3+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

60	-68				In		100															122	*
59		44	-	9	In		75			25												8
58		43	-	10	In		68	32														28
57		42	-	11	In		52	29	5	14												93
56		41	-	12	In		24	38	13	25	1											367
55		40	-	13	In		13	34	19	34	0											859
54		39	-	14	In		6	24	23	44	3											2,118
53		38	-	15	In		2	14	24	52	8	0										4,954
52		37	-	16	In		0	7	21	54	17	1										10,539
51		36	-	17	In		0	3	16	49	30	2	0									20,145
50		35	-	18	In		0	1	11	38	43	7	0									34,734
49		34	-	19	In			0	7	26	50	16	1	0								55,005
48		33	-	20	100.0	%		0	3	14	49	28	5	0	0							80,735
47		32	-	21	99.9			0	2	6	38	39	13	2	0	0						109,720
46		31	-	22	99.4				1	2	23	42	25	6	1	0						135,925
45		30	-	23	97.3				0	1	11	34	36	15	3	0	0					156,460
44		29	-	24	90.2				0	0	4	21	38	28	9	1	0					164,490
43		28	-	25	75.3				0	0	1	9	28	37	20	4	0	0				161,457
42		27	-	26	52.7				0	0	0	3	15	35	33	13	1	0				145,687
41		26	-	27	29.3						0	1	6	23	39	26	5	0	0			122,442
40		25	-	28	12.0						0	0	1	11	33	39	15	2	0			94,143
39		24	-	29	3.7							0	0	3	20	42	29	6	0	0		67,059
38		23	-	30	0.8								0	1	8	34	40	15	2	0		44,291
37		22	-	31	0.1									0	3	20	43	28	5	0		26,962
36		21	-	32	0.0									0	0	9	34	41	13	1	0	14,910
35		20	-	33	Out										0	3	23	45	26	3		7,986
34		19	-	34	Out											1	11	39	40	9	0	3,627
33		18	-	35	Out											0	5	29	48	18	0	1,541
32		17	-	36	Out												1	18	49	30	3	639
31		16	-	37	Out												0	6	48	42	3	241
30		15	-	38	Out													2	31	59	7	86
29		14	-	39	Out														12	72	16	25
28		13	-	40	Out															50	50	2
27		12	-	41	Out															100		3
15		0	-	53	Out																100	121

Total:					68.4	%	0	0	1	5	13	16	17	16	13	10	5	2	1	0	0	1,467,524

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
LA Clippers 112 Denver 100	+0.3
Chicago 97 Houston 120	+0.1
LA Lakers 100 New York 94	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Denver vs LA Lakers	-0.4-0.4+0.7+0.7
Portland vs Sacramento	+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0
Utah vs Golden State	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

60	-68				100
59		44	-	9	75						25
58		43	-	10	61	7	32
57		42	-	11	45	6	28	1	5		14
56		41	-	12	16	8	37	1	13		25		1
55		40	-	13	7	6	32	2	19		34		0
54		39	-	14	2	4	21	3	23	0	44	0	3
53		38	-	15	1	1	11	3	24	0	51	1	8		0
52		37	-	16	0	0	4	3	21	0	51	3	17		1
51		36	-	17	0	0	1	2	16	0	44	5	30	0	2		0
50		35	-	18		0	0	1	10	1	31	7	43	0	7		0
49		34	-	19			0	0	6	1	18	8	50	0	16		1		0
48		33	-	20			0	0	3	1	8	6	47	2	28	0	5		0		0
47		32	-	21				0	1	1	2	4	35	4	39	0	13	0	2		0	0
46		31	-	22					0	0	0	2	18	5	41	1	25	0	6		1	0
45		30	-	23					0	0	0	0	6	5	31	3	36	0	15	0	3	0	0
44		29	-	24					0	0	0	0	1	3	15	5	36	2	28	0	9	1	0
43		28	-	25					0	0		0	0	1	4	4	24	4	36	1	20	4	0	0
42		27	-	26						0		0	0	0	1	2	9	6	32	3	33	13	1	0
41		26	-	27										0	0	0	2	4	17	6	38	26	6	1	0
40		25	-	28										0		0	0	1	5	5	28	38	18	4	0	0	0
39		24	-	29												0	0	0	1	3	13	34	32	14	3	0	0
38		23	-	30														0	0	1	3	18	34	28	13	3	0	0	0
37		22	-	31															0	0	0	6	20	32	27	12	3	0	0
36		21	-	32																0	0	1	7	20	32	26	11	3	0	0
35		20	-	33																		0	1	8	23	33	24	9	2	0
34		19	-	34																			0	1	9	25	32	24	8	1	0
33		18	-	35																				0	3	11	29	33	18	5	1	0
32		17	-	36																					0	3	14	31	31	17	3	0
31		16	-	37																						0	4	19	33	34	10	1
30		15	-	38																							5	14	28	31	15	7
29		14	-	39																									12	40	24	20	4
28		13	-	40																											50	50
27		12	-	41																											67	33
15		0	-	53																														100

Total:					0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1	11	2	15	2	15	2	14	1	12	9	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0