Dallas Mavericks Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.5 to 23.3%

12-16 .429

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 97 Houston 120	-0.5
LA Lakers 100 New York 94	-0.4
LA Clippers 112 Denver 100	+0.4		+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Memphis vs Philadelphia	-0.3-0.4+0.3+0.3
Portland vs Sacramento	-0.2-0.4-0.1+0.2
Phoenix vs New York	-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

55	-66				In		100															102	*
54		42	-	12	In		81	11		7												27
53		41	-	13	In		79	14		7												70
52		40	-	14	In		64	25	1	10												222
51		39	-	15	In		45	29	4	21	1	0										532
50		38	-	16	In		28	32	8	29	4	0										1,447
49		37	-	17	In		12	27	12	38	10	0	0									3,202
48		36	-	18	In		4	18	15	40	20	3	0									6,221
47		35	-	19	In		1	9	13	34	32	9	1	0								11,889
46		34	-	20	100.0	%	0	3	10	21	38	22	5	1	0							20,622
45		33	-	21	99.5		0	1	6	9	30	34	16	4	0	0						33,868
44		32	-	22	95.9			0	3	2	15	32	30	14	4	0	0					50,557
43		31	-	23	82.1			0	1	0	4	17	31	28	14	4	0	0				70,985
42		30	-	24	55.1			0	0	0	1	5	18	31	28	14	3	0	0	0		91,212
41		29	-	25	25.2				0	0	0	1	6	18	31	28	13	3	0	0		109,144
40		28	-	26	7.4				0		0	0	1	6	19	32	28	12	2	0		122,065
39		27	-	27	1.4				0			0	0	1	7	22	34	27	9	1	0	127,329
38		26	-	28	0.1								0	0	2	9	26	36	22	5	0	122,185
37		25	-	29	0.0									0	0	2	13	33	36	14	1	110,046
36		24	-	30	0.0									0	0	0	4	21	42	28	4	91,011
35		23	-	31	Out										0	0	1	10	36	42	11	70,249
34		22	-	32	Out												0	4	24	51	21	50,824
33		21	-	33	Out											0	0	1	13	51	35	34,102
32		20	-	34	Out												0	0	6	44	49	20,999
31		19	-	35	Out														3	33	64	11,920
30		18	-	36	Out														1	22	76	6,234
29		17	-	37	Out														0	15	85	3,113
28		16	-	38	Out														0	8	92	1,360
27		15	-	39	Out															4	96	571
26		14	-	40	Out															1	99	218
25		13	-	41	Out															2	98	60
12	-24				Out																100	123	*

Total:					23.3	%	0	0	1	1	3	4	6	7	9	11	12	14	14	12	5	1,172,509

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

55	-66				100
54		42	-	12	67	15	11				7
53		41	-	13	64	14	14				7
52		40	-	14	50	14	25		1		10
51		39	-	15	28	17	28	1	4		21		1		0
50		38	-	16	12	16	29	3	8		29	0	4		0
49		37	-	17	4	9	21	6	12	0	36	2	10		0		0
48		36	-	18	1	3	10	8	14	1	35	5	20	0	3		0
47		35	-	19	0	1	3	5	12	2	25	9	32	1	9	0	1		0
46		34	-	20		0	0	3	7	3	11	10	35	3	22	0	5		1		0
45		33	-	21		0	0	1	3	3	3	7	22	8	33	1	16	0	4		0	0
44		32	-	22			0	0	1	2	0	2	7	8	26	5	29	1	14	0	4	1	0
43		31	-	23				0	0	1	0	0	1	4	9	8	27	4	28	0	14	4	0	0
42		30	-	24				0	0	0		0	0	1	1	4	10	8	27	4	27	14	3	0	0	0
41		29	-	25						0		0		0	0	1	1	5	11	7	27	28	15	4	0	0	0
40		28	-	26						0				0		0	0	1	2	5	13	27	29	17	5	1	0	0	0
39		27	-	27						0						0	0	0	0	1	3	11	24	29	20	9	3	0	0	0
38		26	-	28														0	0	0	0	2	7	19	27	25	14	5	1	0	0
37		25	-	29																0	0	0	1	5	14	25	28	19	8	2	0	0
36		24	-	30																0		0	0	0	3	10	22	29	23	10	2	0	0
35		23	-	31																			0	0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	2	0	0
34		22	-	32																				0	0	0	2	8	22	31	25	10	2	0
33		21	-	33																						0	0	2	9	24	34	23	8	1
32		20	-	34																							0	0	2	11	28	35	20	4
31		19	-	35																								0	0	4	16	35	33	12
30		18	-	36																									0	1	6	25	43	25
29		17	-	37																										0	2	14	44	40
28		16	-	38																											0	8	36	56
27		15	-	39																												2	27	71
26		14	-	40																													14	86
25		13	-	41																													13	87
12	-24																																	100

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	3	1	4	1	6	2	7	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	4	2	1	1