Chicago Bulls Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Lost to Houston 97-120, playoff odds down 3.3 to 78.9%

15-12 .556

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 97 Houston 120	-3.1		-0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Indiana vs Chicago	-3.9-3.7+3.9+3.9		-0.4-0.4+0.5+0.4
Memphis vs Philadelphia	+0.4+0.9*-0.5-0.5		+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0
Orlando vs New Orleans	-0.4-0.6*+0.4+0.5
San Antonio vs Toronto	+0.3+0.4-0.5-0.3
Charlotte vs Miami	-0.2+0.0+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

57	-70				In		100															164	*
56		41	-	14	In		99	1														150
55		40	-	15	In		96	3		0												365
54		39	-	16	In		94	5	0	0												967
53		38	-	17	In		90	9	0	0												2,268
52		37	-	18	In		80	18	1	1												4,755
51		36	-	19	In		70	27	2	2	0											9,048
50		35	-	20	In		55	36	5	4	0											16,461
49		34	-	21	In		38	44	10	7	0	0										27,510
48		33	-	22	In		22	46	19	12	1	0										41,967
47		32	-	23	In		10	40	29	17	4	0	0									60,646
46		31	-	24	In		4	27	37	20	10	1	0	0								80,620
45		30	-	25	100.0	%	1	14	40	19	19	6	1	0	0							100,520
44		29	-	26	100.0		0	6	36	14	26	15	4	0	0							116,055
43		28	-	27	99.7		0	2	27	7	24	26	12	3	0	0						125,167
42		27	-	28	97.6			0	17	2	14	28	25	11	2	0	0					124,570
41		26	-	29	89.2			0	10	0	5	19	31	24	9	2	0	0				115,675
40		25	-	30	69.0			0	4	0	1	8	23	33	23	7	1	0	0			100,306
39		24	-	31	40.1				2	0	0	2	10	26	34	20	6	1	0			81,076
38		23	-	32	16.6				1		0	0	3	13	30	33	17	4	0	0		60,473
37		22	-	33	4.3				0			0	0	4	17	33	31	13	2	0	0	42,313
36		21	-	34	0.6				0				0	1	6	21	36	27	9	1	0	27,252
35		20	-	35	0.1				0					0	1	9	27	36	22	5	0	16,446
34		19	-	36	Out										0	2	13	34	34	14	2	9,251
33		18	-	37	Out											0	5	22	39	28	7	4,590
32		17	-	38	Out												1	10	33	41	15	2,243
31		16	-	39	Out												0	4	20	45	31	928
30		15	-	40	Out													1	12	46	41	398
29		14	-	41	Out													1	6	27	66	159
28		13	-	42	Out														4	25	71	48
27		12	-	43	Out														5	11	84	19
26		11	-	44	Out															33	67	3
15		0	-	55	Out																100	96

Total:					78.9	%	5	9	18	7	10	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0	0	1,172,509

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago 97 Houston 120	+0.7
LA Lakers 100 New York 94	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Indiana vs Chicago	+0.9+0.9-1.0-0.9
Milwaukee vs Brooklyn	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1
Orlando vs New Orleans	+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0
Phoenix vs New York	-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
Memphis vs Philadelphia	-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.0
San Antonio vs Toronto	-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

58	-70				100
57		42	-	13	94	6
56		41	-	14	92	7	1
55		40	-	15	82	15	3				0
54		39	-	16	74	20	5	0	0		0
53		38	-	17	56	34	9	1	0		0
52		37	-	18	38	42	16	2	1		1	0
51		36	-	19	21	48	21	6	2	0	2		0
50		35	-	20	8	47	22	15	5	0	3	0	0
49		34	-	21	2	36	17	27	9	1	6	1	0		0
48		33	-	22	0	22	10	36	13	6	8	4	1	0	0
47		32	-	23	0	10	3	37	15	14	7	10	4	1	0		0
46		31	-	24		4	1	27	11	26	4	16	7	3	1	0	0		0
45		30	-	25		1	0	14	6	34	1	18	7	12	4	1	1	0	0		0
44		29	-	26		0	0	6	2	34	0	13	4	22	7	8	3	1	0	0	0
43		28	-	27		0		2	0	26	0	7	1	23	5	21	7	6	2	0	0	0	0
42		27	-	28				0	0	17		2	0	14	1	27	5	20	6	5	2	0	0	0	0
41		26	-	29				0	0	10		0		5	0	19	1	29	5	19	5	3	2	1	0	0	0
40		25	-	30				0	0	4		0		1		8	0	23	2	31	5	8	9	6	2	1	0	0	0
39		24	-	31						2		0		0		2	0	10	0	26	1	6	13	17	13	6	2	0	0	0
38		23	-	32						1				0		0		3	0	13	0	1	6	15	23	21	12	4	1	0	0
37		22	-	33						0						0		0		4	0	0	1	5	14	24	26	17	7	2	0	0
36		21	-	34						0								0		1		0	0	1	3	11	21	28	22	10	3	0	0
35		20	-	35						0										0				0	0	2	8	19	29	25	12	3	0	0
34		19	-	36																						0	1	7	18	30	27	13	3	0
33		18	-	37																							0	1	7	20	32	28	11	2
32		17	-	38																								0	1	8	24	35	25	7
31		16	-	39																										1	12	27	42	17
30		15	-	40																										1	6	22	42	29
29		14	-	41																											2	9	33	55
28		13	-	42																												4	31	65
27		12	-	43																												5	16	79
26		11	-	44																													33	67
15		0	-	55																														100

Total:					1	4	2	8	3	15	1	6	2	8	2	9	2	9	2	8	1	2	2	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0