Boston Celtics Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Beat Brooklyn 93-76, playoff odds up 5.4 to 69%

14-13 .519

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Brooklyn 76 Boston 93	+5.1		+0.4
Chicago 97 Houston 120	+0.5		+0.0
Miami 103 Oklahoma City 97			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Orlando vs New Orleans	-0.7*-0.4+0.8+0.6
Memphis vs Philadelphia	+0.6+0.4+0.1-0.6
San Antonio vs Toronto	+0.3+0.1-0.4-0.3
Phoenix vs New York			+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

56	-69				In		100															181	*
55		41	-	14	In		96	3		1												177
54		40	-	15	In		94	5		1												377
53		39	-	16	In		88	8		4												964
52		38	-	17	In		82	12	0	6												2,228
51		37	-	18	In		69	20	0	11	0											4,740
50		36	-	19	In		55	27	1	17	0											9,234
49		35	-	20	In		38	32	3	26	1	0										16,455
48		34	-	21	In		22	34	6	34	4	0										27,363
47		33	-	22	In		10	29	10	40	10	1	0	0								42,458
46		32	-	23	In		3	19	13	40	21	3	0	0								60,831
45		31	-	24	100.0	%	1	9	13	32	33	10	1	0	0							81,017
44		30	-	25	100.0		0	3	10	19	37	23	6	1	0							99,795
43		29	-	26	99.5		0	1	6	8	29	34	17	4	0	0	0					115,841
42		28	-	27	96.5		0	0	3	2	15	32	31	14	3	0	0					124,441
41		27	-	28	86.0			0	1	0	5	19	33	28	12	2	0	0				124,687
40		26	-	29	63.1				0	0	1	7	22	34	26	9	1	0	0			115,329
39		25	-	30	35.2				0		0	1	8	25	35	23	6	1	0	0		100,816
38		24	-	31	13.3				0		0	0	2	11	29	35	18	4	0	0	0	80,775
37		23	-	32	3.2				0			0	0	3	15	34	32	13	2	0		60,767
36		22	-	33	0.5								0	1	5	21	36	27	9	1	0	42,165
35		21	-	34	0.1								0	0	1	9	28	37	21	4	0	27,638
34		20	-	35	0.0									0	0	2	14	35	33	13	1	16,471
33		19	-	36	Out										0	0	5	23	41	26	5	9,122
32		18	-	37	Out											0	1	11	35	39	13	4,735
31		17	-	38	Out												0	4	25	45	26	2,240
30		16	-	39	Out													1	12	47	40	919
29		15	-	40	Out														6	37	57	409
28		14	-	41	Out														3	24	73	157
27		13	-	42	Out														5	23	72	57
26		12	-	43	Out															15	85	20
14	-25				Out																100	100	*

Total:					69.0	%	3	5	4	10	12	12	12	11	10	8	6	4	2	1	0	1,172,509

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Brooklyn 76 Boston 93	-0.8
Chicago 97 Houston 120	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Phoenix vs New York	-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Philadelphia	-0.1*-0.1+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs New Orleans	+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

57	-69				100
56		42	-	13	88	13
55		41	-	14	85	11	3				1
54		40	-	15	73	20	5				1
53		39	-	16	58	31	7	0			4	0
52		38	-	17	44	38	11	1	0		6	0
51		37	-	18	24	44	16	3	0		11	1	0
50		36	-	19	11	44	17	9	1	0	16	1	0
49		35	-	20	3	35	14	18	3	0	21	4	1	0	0
48		34	-	21	1	21	9	26	5	2	22	12	4	0	0
47		33	-	22	0	10	3	26	6	5	17	23	9	1	1	0	0		0
46		32	-	23	0	3	1	18	4	9	9	31	14	7	3	0	0		0
45		31	-	24		1	0	9	2	11	2	29	13	20	8	2	1	0	0		0
44		30	-	25		0	0	3	1	9	0	19	6	32	11	12	5	1	1	0	0
43		29	-	26		0		1	0	6	0	8	1	28	7	27	9	8	4	1	0	0	0
42		28	-	27		0		0	0	3		2	0	15	1	31	7	24	8	6	3	1	0	0
41		27	-	28				0	0	1		0		5	0	19	2	31	6	22	7	5	2	1	0	0	0
40		26	-	29						0		0		1	0	7	0	21	2	32	6	10	11	7	3	1	0	0	0
39		25	-	30						0				0		1	0	8	0	25	2	7	14	18	14	7	2	0	0	0
38		24	-	31						0				0		0		2	0	11	0	1	6	16	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
37		23	-	32						0						0		0		3	0	0	1	5	13	24	26	18	7	2	0	0
36		22	-	33														0		1	0	0	0	1	3	10	22	28	23	11	3	0	0
35		21	-	34														0		0				0	0	2	8	19	29	25	13	3	0	0
34		20	-	35																0					0	0	1	7	19	31	27	12	3	0
33		19	-	36																						0	0	1	6	20	34	26	11	2
32		18	-	37																							0	0	1	8	25	36	24	6
31		17	-	38																									0	2	12	32	38	15
30		16	-	39																										0	4	21	45	29
29		15	-	40																											0	11	40	49
28		14	-	41																												5	31	64
27		13	-	42																												5	26	68
26		12	-	43																													15	85
14	-25																																	100

Total:					0	2	1	4	1	3	2	7	3	9	3	10	2	10	2	9	2	2	3	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0