Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make next roundChance will finish group at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Colombia72-1-13In1001.011.699Colombia
Senegal411-1-10In1002.019.496Senegal
Japan41-1-2-1Out1003.015.448Japan
Poland311-0-2-3Out1004.025.242Poland

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/14
Colombia 1 Japan 2
3:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Colombia-25.0
-0.6
Senegal-0.2
Japan+25.5
+0.6
Poland-0.2
Poland 1 Senegal 2
6:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Colombia-0.2
Senegal+25.4
+0.6
Japan-0.2
Poland-25.0
-0.6
Morocco 0 Iran 1
6:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Poland*+0.1
Week of 6/21
Poland 0 Colombia 3
9:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Colombia+17.8
+0.6
Senegal-4.6
-0.0
Japan+2.7
-0.0
Poland-15.9
-0.6
Japan 2 Senegal 2
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Colombia-3.8
-0.1
Senegal+3.8
+0.1
Japan+3.8
+0.1
Poland-3.9
-0.1
Mexico 0 Sweden 3
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Japan+0.1
Week of 6/28
Senegal 0 Colombia 1
6:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
ColombiaIn
+0.6
Senegal-42.7
-0.6
Japan+2.5
+0.0
Japan 0 Poland 1
5:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Colombia+12.1
+0.2
Senegal+23.0
+0.4
Japan-35.0
-0.8
Poland+0.1
Belgium 3 Japan 2
9:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Colombia+0.1
SenegalIn
+0.3
JapanOut
-0.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.