Points
Chance Will Make Next Round
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| Chance will make next round | Chance will finish group at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| P | G | W | - | D | - | L | GD | % | Change | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Avg. | Change | RPI | ||||
| Spain | 6 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 100 | 1.0 | 5 | Spain | ||||||||
| Portugal | 5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 100 | 2.0 | 14 | Portugal | ||||||||
| Iran | 4 | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | 100 | 3.0 | 31 | Iran | |||||||
| Morocco | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | -2 | Out | 100 | 4.0 | 32 | Morocco | |||||||
Big Games
Who should we root for? Explain
| Week of 6/14 | ||||
| Portugal 1 Morocco 0 | ||||
| 3:00 PM Wed | 100.0* | Chance in next round | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain | -1.9 | -0.1 | ||
| Portugal | +31.7 | +0.8 | ||
| Iran | -1.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Morocco | Out | -0.7 | ||
| Iran 0 Spain 1 | ||||
| 9:00 PM Wed | 100.0* | Chance in next round | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain | +31.5 | +0.8 | ||
| Portugal | -3.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Iran | -25.7 | -0.7 | ||
| Morocco | -2.6 | -0.0 | ||
| Morocco 0 Iran 1 | ||||
| 6:00 PM Fri | 100.0* | Chance in next round | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain | -0.3 | |||
| Portugal | *-0.2 | |||
| Iran | +25.5 | +0.6 | ||
| Morocco | -25.0 | -0.6 | ||
| Portugal 3 Spain 3 | ||||
| 9:00 PM Fri | 100.0* | Chance in next round | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain | -0.8 | -0.0 | ||
| Portugal | -0.9 | -0.0 | ||
| Iran | +0.9 | |||
| Morocco | +0.8 | |||
| Week of 6/21 | ||||
| Iran 1 Portugal 1 | ||||
| 9:00 PM Mon | 100.0* | Chance in next round | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain | -21.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Portugal | In | +0.4 | ||
| Iran | -10.6 | -0.2 | ||
| Morocco | -0.2 | |||
| Spain 2 Morocco 2 | ||||
| 8:00 PM Mon | 100.0* | Chance in next round | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain | In | -0.1 | ||
| Portugal | -8.1 | |||
| Iran | -7.1 | +0.3 | ||
| Morocco | -0.2 | |||
| Serbia 1 Switzerland 2 | ||||
| 8:00 PM Fri | 100.0* | Chance in next round | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iran | *-0.1 | |||
| Week of 6/28 | ||||
| Spain 1 Russia 1 | ||||
| 5:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in next round | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain | +0.4 | |||
| Portugal | -0.4 | |||
| Uruguay 2 Portugal 1 | ||||
| 5:00 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in next round | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain | +0.3 | |||
| Portugal | -0.3 | |||
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
