Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make next roundChance will finish group at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPI
Uruguay124-0-06In1001.01Uruguay
Russia72-1-14In1002.07Russia
Saudi Arabia311-0-2-5Out1003.018Saudi Arabia
Egypt010-0-3-4Out1004.024Egypt

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/14
Uruguay 1 Saudi Arabia 0
6:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
UruguayIn
+0.5
RussiaIn
-0.1
Saudi ArabiaOut
-0.5
EgyptOut
+0.1
Russia 3 Egypt 1
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Uruguay+3.5
-0.0
Russia+23.9
+0.5
Saudi Arabia-1.7
Egypt-25.7
-0.5
Russia 5 Saudi Arabia 0
6:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Uruguay-0.2
Russia+25.5
+0.6
Saudi Arabia-25.0
-0.6
Egypt-0.2
Egypt 0 Uruguay 1
5:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Uruguay+25.4
+0.6
Russia-0.3
-0.0
Saudi Arabia*-0.1
Egypt-24.9
-0.6
Week of 6/21
Saudi Arabia 2 Egypt 1
5:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Saudi Arabia+0.6
Egypt-0.6
Uruguay 3 Russia 0
6:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Uruguay+0.6
Russia-0.6
Week of 6/28
Uruguay 2 Portugal 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Uruguay+0.2
Russia-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.