Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 1st

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 63.1%
2 points   1 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Dallas vs Florida-0.3*-0.1*-0.2*+0.1*+0.2+0.3
Phoenix vs NY Rangers-0.2*-0.0*-0.1*+0.2*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
128-164InYes100176*
1275713-11InYes92825*
1265815-8InYes10046*
1255816-7InYes98263*
1245716-8InYes982110*
1235616-9InYes9721197*
1225617-8InYes9631263*
1215517-9In98.3%950400408*
1205417-10In99.39461594*
1195418-999.9%98.591062100960*
1185419-899.898.09106200001,411*
1175319-9100.096.5901621002,008*
1165320-899.794.587272100002,596*
1155220-999.592.485208310003,754*
1145221-899.890.583293110004,963*
1135121-999.285.6804010411000006,743*
1125021-1099.379.8785010421000008,862*
1115022-998.671.372701152110000011,558*
1104922-1098.163.469901152110000014,715*
1094923-997.854.16411101163211000018,096*
1084823-1096.942.25814101264211000022,257*
1074824-996.631.05317201274221100027,339*
1064724-1095.220.94619201285321100032,619*
1054725-994.312.73922301285422110037,989*
1044625-1092.86.63324501296432110044,124*
1034626-991.13.22725711296532210050,752*
1024526-1089.11.12125911297543211057,286*
1014527-987.50.3162411112108643211062,965*
1004427-1085.00.1122313211108754321069,010*
994428-982.40.082015311108764321174,282*
984328-1079.6No51716510109865432178,363*
974329-976.4No3141769109876532182,214*
964229-1073.0No211167999887543185,159*
954230-969.0No18169899987653286,383*
944130-1065.9No161411799998754286,021*
934131-961.9No041212789998765385,354*
924031-1058.0No0210136891099875382,938*
914032-954.1No0281367910109986479,630*
903932-1049.6No01613578910101097575,145*
893933-945.5No005134689101010108669,900*
883833-1042.0No003134689101011119764,619*
873834-937.9No0021235781010111211958,817*
863734-1034.1No021134789101212121052,354*
853735-930.3No011024679111213131246,274*
843635-1026.6No01823579101214151440,546*
833636-923.4No00723568101214161634,624*
823536-1020.3No0613468101214181929,202*
813537-917.7No0051245791215182124,658*
803437-1014.9No051234791115192420,271*
793438-913.3No041234681115202616,379*
783338-1010.9No030124581015213012,800*
773339-99.2No20123571014213410,365*
763239-107.5No201234791422367,898*
753240-95.9No201124681423406,025*
743140-104.9No100123581323434,552*
733141-94.0No101113571323463,564*
723041-103.6No101112471022512,553*
713042-92.7No100112361123531,917*
702942-101.6No0011235920591,337*
692943-92.1No1001135112058931*
682843-100.8No00013481764603*
672743-110.4No004252366457*
662744-100.4No011391769282*
652745-9OutNo1251775212*
642544-12OutNo1242073142*
632545-11OutNo6138272*
622445-12OutNo52118244*
612345-13OutNo3378730*
602447-10OutNo79314*
592549-7OutNo1008*
582247-12OutNo109010*
2-57OutNo100162*
Total:63.1%5.1%1098777777766651,809,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Buffalo 4 (ot)+0.1
ThursdayNone

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-164100
1215517-9982
1205417-10991
1195418-9991
1185419-8982
1175319-9973
1165320-89450
1155220-99270
1145221-89090
1135121-9861410
1125021-10801820
1115022-9712540
1104922-106331600
1094923-954351010
1084823-10424015300
1074824-93141216100
1064724-10213828112000
1054725-9133132176100
1044625-107223124113100
1034626-9314262818820000
1024526-10171827241462000
1014527-9031020262212510000
1004427-10014112125201251000
994428-900151220242012520000
984328-1000151119232012620000
974329-9000141018232014621000
964229-1000013916222115831000
954230-900012714202217105100000
944130-100000251118222013621000
934131-900014916212116931000
924031-10000126131922181152000
914032-90000141017222014731000
903932-10000137152022171041000
893933-9000125121922191262000
883833-10000014101722211472100
873834-90000139162222158310
863734-100001381522231683100
853735-9000137152324178200
843635-1000013816242416710
833636-900001391826241451
823536-10001411222822102
813537-900015152729184
803437-1000282132279
793438-9001514303416
783338-100029254025
773339-90015204035
763239-10003133946
753240-90193356
743140-10162965
733141-9032373
723041-10021881
713042-9011585
702942-1001189
692943-9892
682843-10496
672743-11496
662744-10298
652745-9298
642544-12199
632545-11199
2-62100
Total:554444444444333333333333332222