Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 1st

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 56.4%
2 points   1 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Calgary+3.2+0.9+0.9-1.0-0.9-3.3
+1.1+0.9+0.9-0.3-0.4-1.3
+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4
Dallas vs Florida+0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.3*+0.1-0.2
Phoenix vs NY Rangers+0.2*+0.1*+0.2*-0.3*-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
128-164InYes100179*
1275814-9InYes94618*
1265916-6InYes98340*
1255816-7InYes10073*
1245615-10InYes9631113*
1235616-9InYes946159*
1225617-8InYes9730261*
1215517-9In98.8%93052434*
1205518-899.8%99.292061000664*
1195418-999.899.3920610000979*
1185419-8In97.890161101,345*
1175319-999.596.588172100001,975*
1165320-899.595.286173110002,711*
1155220-999.392.08438311000003,783*
1145221-899.089.6803932100000005,110*
1135121-998.884.878509421100006,873*
1125122-898.378.97460105211100008,739*
1115022-997.772.2698011532110000011,230*
1104922-1097.162.9641100116321100000014,402*
1094923-996.352.8581310126421110000018,139*
1084823-1095.042.4521610117432111000022,588*
1074824-994.231.6471920127532111000027,534*
1064724-1092.821.3402130128542211000032,800*
1054725-991.212.6332350128643211100038,174*
1044625-1089.36.7272561128653321110044,640*
1034626-987.33.0212581119754322110050,793*
1024526-1084.71.11624101119765432110056,415*
1014527-981.80.31222132119865432210063,103*
1004427-1079.30.1820143109875443211069,344*
994428-975.90.0517164109876543221074,688*
984328-1072.60.031416699877654321178,682*
974329-969.1No21116789887654322181,711*
964229-1065.0No1815978887765432185,311*
954230-961.4No16141078888766542186,416*
944130-1057.0No04121167888876543286,133*
934131-953.0No03101267888877654285,458*
924031-1048.8No0181257888887764382,409*
914032-944.5No0161246788888775379,001*
903932-1040.7No0041245788898876474,669*
893933-936.8No0031235678899987570,256*
883833-1032.5No0021134678899998664,516*
873834-928.8No0011024567891010109758,559*
863734-1025.9No019235678910101111852,869*
853735-922.2No0182345689101112121046,105*
843635-1019.6No0071245689101113131240,360*
833636-916.8No061234678101213141434,701*
823536-1014.7No005123456891113151629,288*
813537-912.5No04113446791114171824,465*
803437-1010.2No03112345791114172120,112*
793438-98.8No03112345781114192416,312*
783338-107.1No2011234681015202713,182*
773339-95.8No02011224571014213010,368*
763239-104.3No10011334791421348,005*
753240-93.8No10011234691322376,074*
743140-102.9No10011234581422394,633*
733141-92.0No10001123581222453,405*
723041-101.5No10001113481321462,587*
713042-91.2No00000122561021521,902*
702942-101.2No00000122371121521,267*
692943-90.8No10001236102156971*
682843-100.3No001134112160592*
672844-90.7No000122361868434*
662744-100.4No01111371768282*
652644-110.5No1112342070188*
642746-8OutNo126217097*
632545-11OutNo112158086*
622748-6OutNo224118255*
612648-7OutNo44296324*
602447-10OutNo6177818*
592448-9OutNo6187617*
582348-10OutNo11899*
2-57OutNo100165*
Total:56.4%5.1%98876666666655551,809,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Calgary-0.9-0.8-0.8+0.1+0.2+1.1

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-164100
1215517-9991
1205518-8991
1195418-9991
1185419-8982
1175319-99630
1165320-89550
1155220-99280
1145221-8901000
1135121-985141
1125122-8791920
1115022-9722430
1104922-106331610
1094923-9533610100
1084823-10424015300
1074824-932402161000
1064724-10213828112000
1054725-9133132176100
1044625-107223224113100
1034626-931426281882000
1024526-10171827241462000
1014527-903102026221351000
1004427-1001411212520125100
994428-900151220242012510000
984328-10000151119232012520000
974329-900141018222114721000
964229-1000013916222115831000
954230-90001271420221710410000
944130-100000251118222013621000
934131-90000139152121169310000
924031-100001261319221811520000
914032-9000001410172120147310000
903932-1000000137142022171041000
893933-90000126121922191252000
883833-10000014101722211472100
873834-900001391622221683100
863734-1000001381522221783100
853735-90000137162323178200
843635-100013816242416720
833636-900001391926231451
823536-10001410222822102
813537-90015152629184
803437-10000282132269
793438-9001415303416
783338-100029253925
773339-9015194035
763239-10002123946
753240-90183555
743140-100052866
733141-90032374
723041-1011980
713042-911386
702942-1001090
692943-90694
682843-100694
672844-9496
662744-10298
652644-111297
2-64100
Total:554444444444333333333333332222