Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 1st 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 57.3%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose vs Vancouver-4.2*-0.6-0.9+0.9+0.8+4.1
-0.9*-0.2*-0.2+0.8+0.6+0.8
-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4
Phoenix vs NY Rangers-0.3*-0.2*-0.2*+0.4*-0.3+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-164InYes100115*
1225616-10InYes98340*
1215718-7InYes97367*
1205618-8In98.9%10095*
1195518-9In98.79712149*
1185519-8In98.39712239*
1175419-9In97.3971200335*
1165420-899.8%96.99414100481*
1155320-9In92.9912610679*
1145321-8In89.9903510898*
1135221-999.886.886482001,281*
1125121-1099.981.98360811001,781*
1115122-9100.073.780800921002,419*
1105022-1099.966.0751010113100003,065*
1095023-999.755.2711210113100003,902*
1084923-1099.644.3631711341100004,954*
1074924-999.332.85720201252100006,292*
1064824-1099.021.949233014621000007,452*
1054825-998.613.841275014732100009,288*
1044725-1097.97.43428701584211000010,915*
1034726-997.13.4262991169532100012,731*
1024626-1096.21.2202912215105421100014,625*
1014627-994.70.3142615215117431100016,641*
1004527-1092.50.192417415118532110018,786*
994528-990.10.061919514129643210021,041*
984428-1087.0No41519713129763211022,759*
974429-984.0No212199121210864321024,508*
964329-1079.8No181711111211976421026,016*
954330-975.9No0515121012121086531027,185*
944230-1070.9No031313911111098642128,252*
934130-1165.6No0210147101111109753128,575*
924131-1059.5No017146911111110864128,259*
914031-1154.0No005135810111211975228,133*
904032-1047.9No003134791112111196327,343*
893932-1142.6No021136911121212108426,516*
883933-1036.7No011035810121313129524,995*
873934-931.2No01824791112141411723,407*
863834-1025.9No01723681013141514921,634*
853734-1121.8No06135710121416151119,588*
843735-1017.6No0412469111517171417,401*
833635-1114.3No0412357111417191715,474*
823636-1011.4No030124791318212013,409*
813536-118.9No020124691217232411,658*
803537-106.3No010113571217252810,015*
793538-95.2No01001246101725338,259*
783438-103.9No100123691625376,895*
773439-92.5No000112481526425,611*
763339-101.8No000012471325484,473*
753239-111.0No00011361225523,544*
743240-101.2No00001251024572,838*
733140-110.7No000023823632,141*
723141-100.6No000113922641,590*
713142-90.2No00012720701,219*
703042-100.1No000242074884*
693043-90.3No0001251578643*
682943-10OutNo00141381419*
672944-9OutNo121484323*
662844-10OutNo11287242*
652744-11OutNo31186182*
642745-10OutNo249493*
632746-9OutNo199068*
622747-8OutNo109049*
612546-11OutNo109030*
602446-12OutNo59520*
0-59OutNo10079*
Total:57.3%3.3%77777777777777603,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Buffalo 4 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Vancouver+1.1+0.2+0.1-0.8-0.8-0.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-164100
1205618-8991
1195518-9991
1185519-8982
1175419-9973
1165420-8973
1155320-9937
1145321-89091
1135221-987121
1125121-10821620
1115122-97423300
1105022-106629510
1095023-955341010
1084923-10443814300
1074924-9334121510
1064824-10223927102000
1054825-9143233155100
1044725-107243223103100
1034726-93152727177200
1024626-10172027241351000
1014627-90311212522125100
1004527-10014122125201141000
994528-9001512212419115100
984428-100025122023191252000
974429-90014101823201462100
964329-100001391622211583100
954330-9000137142022171041000
944230-1000151218221913721000
934130-11000013815212115941000
924131-10000126131922191152000
914031-11000014101721211583100
904032-10000137142022171041000
893932-11000025121922191262000
883933-1000001491722211473100
873934-900001391621221683100
863834-100001271522221893100
853734-1100127142224188300
843735-100012716242417720
833635-11001381725251651
823636-10001310212824112
813536-110015142630196
803537-10002820322710
793538-9001313313518
783438-100028234126
773439-9014184037
763339-10002123848
753239-110173556
743240-10042868
733140-11022276
723141-1021881
713142-9011485
703042-1011090
693043-90694
682943-10496
672944-9298
662844-100100
652744-11199
0-64100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333