Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 1st

Beat Philadelphia 4-1, playoff odds up 5.9 to 60.7%

4 points 2 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia 1 Toronto 4	+3.3		+1.0		+0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Phoenix vs NY Rangers	+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Washington vs Calgary	-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

128	-164						In		Yes		100																239	*
127		58	15		-	7	In		Yes		97				3												58	*
126		57	15		-	8	In		Yes		98				2												101	*
125		57	16		-	7	In		Yes		98				1	1											146	*
124		56	16		-	8	In		99.6	%	94	0			5	0											248	*
123		56	17		-	7	In		99.5		96	0			4	0		0									391	*
122		55	17		-	8	In		Yes		95				4	1	0										530	*
121		55	18		-	7	In		99.4		94	0			5	1	0										824	*
120		54	18		-	8	99.8	%	99.2		92	0			5	1	0	0	0		0						1,277	*
119		53	18		-	9	99.9		98.5		92	1			5	1	0	0	0								1,729	*
118		53	19		-	8	99.6		97.8		90	1			6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0					2,500	*
117		52	19		-	9	99.7		96.4		89	1			7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0					3,417	*
116		52	20		-	8	99.4		95.0		87	1			7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			4,630	*
115		51	20		-	9	99.1		92.9		84	2	0		8	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			6,475	*
114		51	21		-	8	99.0		89.0		81	3	0		9	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		0		8,498	*
113		50	21		-	9	98.4		84.6		77	5	0		9	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		11,051	*
112		50	22		-	8	98.0		80.5		75	6	0		9	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		14,214	*
111		49	22		-	9	97.5		72.1		70	8	0		10	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	17,390	*
110		49	23		-	8	96.9		64.5		65	10	0		10	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	21,728	*
109		48	23		-	9	95.8		53.8		60	13	1	0	11	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	26,496	*
108		47	23		-	10	94.8		42.9		54	16	1	0	11	7	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	31,957	*
107		47	24		-	9	93.5		31.7		47	18	2	0	11	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	37,586	*
106		46	24		-	10	91.9		21.9		41	21	3	0	11	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	43,778	*
105		46	25		-	9	90.3		13.0		34	23	5	0	11	7	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	50,315	*
104		45	25		-	10	88.4		7.0		28	24	6	0	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	56,696	*
103		45	26		-	9	86.0		3.0		22	25	8	1	10	8	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	62,740	*
102		44	26		-	10	83.5		1.1		17	24	10	1	10	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	68,542	*
101		44	27		-	9	80.6		0.3		12	22	12	2	9	8	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	0	74,378	*
100		43	27		-	10	77.4		0.1		8	20	14	3	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	78,459	*
99		43	28		-	9	74.5		0.0		6	17	15	4	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	4	3	2	1	0	82,207	*
98		42	28		-	10	70.6		0.0		4	14	16	5	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	85,333	*
97		42	29		-	9	66.7		No		2	11	16	7	7	8	8	8	7	6	6	5	4	3	2	1	86,559	*
96		41	29		-	10	62.8		No		1	8	15	8	7	7	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	87,132	*
95		41	30		-	9	58.8		No		1	6	14	10	6	7	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	3	1	86,645	*
94		40	30		-	10	55.2		No		0	4	12	11	5	7	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	3	2	83,396	*
93		40	31		-	9	50.7		No		0	2	9	12	5	6	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	80,238	*
92		39	31		-	10	46.4		No		0	1	8	12	4	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	3	75,719	*
91		39	32		-	9	42.7		No		0	1	6	12	4	5	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	4	71,169	*
90		38	32		-	10	38.7		No		0	0	5	12	3	5	6	8	8	9	9	9	9	8	6	4	65,382	*
89		38	33		-	9	34.6		No		0	0	3	11	3	4	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	5	59,209	*
88		37	33		-	10	30.9		No		0	0	2	10	2	4	5	6	8	8	9	9	10	9	9	7	52,677	*
87		37	34		-	9	27.2		No			0	1	10	2	3	5	6	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	8	46,158	*
86		36	34		-	10	23.8		No			0	1	8	2	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	11	11	11	9	40,475	*
85		36	35		-	9	20.9		No			0	1	7	1	2	4	5	6	7	9	10	11	12	12	11	34,869	*
84		35	35		-	10	18.2		No			0	0	7	1	2	3	5	6	7	9	10	11	13	13	13	29,504	*
83		35	36		-	9	15.6		No				0	6	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	10	11	14	15	15	24,393	*
82		34	36		-	10	13.2		No				0	5	1	1	3	4	5	6	7	10	12	14	16	17	20,320	*
81		34	37		-	9	11.0		No				0	4	1	1	2	3	4	6	7	9	12	14	17	20	16,644	*
80		33	37		-	10	9.0		No				0	3	0	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	11	14	18	22	13,179	*
79		33	38		-	9	7.8		No				0	3	0	1	2	2	3	5	6	8	11	15	19	25	10,377	*
78		32	38		-	10	6.3		No				0	2	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	7	11	14	21	28	8,184	*
77		32	39		-	9	5.2		No					2	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	7	10	14	20	31	6,153	*
76		31	39		-	10	4.3		No					2	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	9	14	21	35	4,467	*
75		31	40		-	9	3.0		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	13	22	39	3,481	*
74		30	40		-	10	2.5		No					1	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	6	8	14	22	40	2,603	*
73		30	41		-	9	1.8		No					1		0	0	1	2	2	2	5	6	13	22	46	1,926	*
72		29	41		-	10	2.1		No					0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	4	8	9	23	49	1,313	*
71		29	42		-	9	1.4		No					1			0	0	1	2	2	3	6	9	20	55	874	*
70		29	43		-	8	1.0		No					0			0	0	1	1	2	4	5	10	20	56	627	*
69		28	43		-	9	0.4		No					0				0	0	1	1	3	4	10	19	60	473	*
68		27	43		-	10	Out		No										0		2	2	4	10	20	62	277	*
67		27	44		-	9	0.5		No									1	1		1	2	3	11	16	67	187	*
66		26	44		-	10	Out		No											1			4	5	18	73	102	*
65		25	44		-	11	Out		No												1	1	3	1	18	75	77	*
64		26	46		-	8	Out		No										2					8	19	71	63	*
63		25	46		-	9	Out		No											4				8	12	76	25	*
62		26	48		-	6	Out		No																27	73	15	*
61		23	46		-	11	Out		No																20	80	10	*
60		23	47		-	10	Out		No																20	80	5	*
59		22	47		-	11	Out		No														20		20	60	5	*
57		23	50		-	7	Out		No																33	67	3	*
4	-56						Out		No																	100	152	*

Total:							60.7	%	7.7	%	12	10	8	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	1,809,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia 1 Toronto 4	-0.9

Thursday	None

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

125	-164						100
124		56	16		-	8	100	0
123		56	17		-	7	99	1
122		55	17		-	8	100
121		55	18		-	7	99	1
120		54	18		-	8	99	1
119		53	18		-	9	98	2
118		53	19		-	8	98	2
117		52	19		-	9	96	4	0
116		52	20		-	8	95	5	0
115		51	20		-	9	93	7	0
114		51	21		-	8	89	11	0
113		50	21		-	9	85	14	1	0
112		50	22		-	8	80	18	2	0	0
111		49	22		-	9	72	25	3	0
110		49	23		-	8	64	30	5	1	0	0
109		48	23		-	9	54	36	9	1	0	0
108		47	23		-	10	43	40	14	3	0	0
107		47	24		-	9	32	41	21	6	1	0	0
106		46	24		-	10	22	38	27	10	2	0	0	0
105		46	25		-	9	13	32	31	17	5	1	0	0
104		45	25		-	10	7	23	31	24	11	3	1	0	0	0
103		45	26		-	9	3	14	27	28	18	7	2	0	0	0	0
102		44	26		-	10	1	7	19	27	24	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
101		44	27		-	9	0	3	10	21	26	22	12	5	1	0	0	0	0
100		43	27		-	10	0	1	4	12	21	25	20	11	5	1	0	0	0	0
99		43	28		-	9	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	11	5	1	0	0	0
98		42	28		-	10	0	0	0	1	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
97		42	29		-	9		0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	20	14	6	2	1	0	0	0
96		41	29		-	10			0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
95		41	30		-	9					0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
94		40	30		-	10					0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
93		40	31		-	9					0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	15	21	21	15	9	3	1	0	0	0		0
92		39	31		-	10							0	0	0	0	1	2	6	13	19	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
91		39	32		-	9									0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
90		38	32		-	10							0				0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
89		38	33		-	9												0	0	0	1	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
88		37	33		-	10												0	0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0
87		37	34		-	9															0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0
86		36	34		-	10																0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	17	9	3	1	0	0
85		36	35		-	9																		0	0	1	3	7	16	23	24	17	8	2	0	0
84		35	35		-	10																		0	0	0	1	3	8	17	24	24	16	6	1	0
83		35	36		-	9																				0	0	1	3	9	19	26	24	14	4	1
82		34	36		-	10																					0	0	1	4	11	22	28	22	10	2
81		34	37		-	9																					0	0	0	1	5	15	27	29	18	5
80		33	37		-	10																							0	0	2	8	21	32	26	9
79		33	38		-	9																							0	0	1	4	15	30	34	16
78		32	38		-	10																								0	0	2	9	26	39	24
77		32	39		-	9																									0	1	5	18	41	35
76		31	39		-	10																									0	0	2	13	39	46
75		31	40		-	9																											2	8	35	56
74		30	40		-	10																										0	0	5	29	65
73		30	41		-	9																											0	3	23	74
72		29	41		-	10																											0	2	19	79
71		29	42		-	9																											0	1	14	85
70		29	43		-	8																													10	90
69		28	43		-	9																													6	94
68		27	43		-	10																													6	94
67		27	44		-	9																													3	97
65	-66																																			100
64		26	46		-	8																													2	98
4	-63																																			100

Total:							8	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1