Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances 1st

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 49.9%

0 points 0 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado 5 Anaheim 4 (so)			*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Boston vs Tampa Bay	-3.6-1.0-1.1+1.1+0.9+3.6		-0.9*-0.1-0.2+0.7+0.6+0.7		-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4
Dallas vs Florida	+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

128	-164						In		Yes		100																160	*
127		59	14		-	9	In		Yes		93				7												15	*
126		58	14		-	10	In		Yes		100																18	*
125		58	15		-	9	In		Yes		92				8												25	*
124		58	16		-	8	In		Yes		95				3	2											65	*
123		57	16		-	9	In		98.9	%	96				3			1									92	*
122		57	17		-	8	In		99.2		94				4	1	1										125	*
121		56	17		-	9	In		97.5		93	0			6		0										204	*
120		55	17		-	10	99.4	%	99.4		91	0			7	2	0					1					323	*
119		55	18		-	9	In		98.7		92				6	1	0	0									467	*
118		55	19		-	8	In		96.8		89	1			6	2	1	0									696	*
117		54	19		-	9	99.5		96.8		85	1			10	2	1	0	0	0	0						1,052	*
116		53	19		-	10	99.4		95.0		84	2			9	3	1	0	0	0	0		0				1,490	*
115		53	20		-	9	99.2		93.5		82	2			9	4	1	1	0	0	0			0			1,972	*
114		52	20		-	10	99.0		89.3		79	3	0		11	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			2,887	*
113		52	21		-	9	98.3		85.4		76	5	0		10	5	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0			3,875	*
112		51	21		-	10	98.3		79.8		71	6	0		12	5	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		0		5,363	*
111		51	22		-	9	97.4		71.8		67	8	0		12	5	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	7,275	*
110		50	22		-	10	97.0		63.3		63	10	0	0	12	6	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		9,217	*
109		50	23		-	9	95.9		52.0		57	13	1	0	12	7	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	11,988	*
108		49	23		-	10	95.0		41.7		51	15	1	0	13	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	15,063	*
107		49	24		-	9	93.9		31.2		44	18	2	0	13	8	5	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	19,171	*
106		48	24		-	10	92.4		21.2		38	20	3	0	13	9	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	22,899	*
105		48	25		-	9	91.2		12.8		32	22	4	0	13	9	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	27,733	*
104		47	25		-	10	88.9		6.4		26	23	6	0	13	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	33,354	*
103		47	26		-	9	87.0		2.8		20	23	8	1	13	10	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	38,799	*
102		46	26		-	10	84.2		1.1		15	23	10	1	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	44,661	*
101		46	27		-	9	81.7		0.3		11	21	12	2	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	50,724	*
100		45	27		-	10	78.4		0.1		8	18	13	3	11	10	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	57,290	*
99		45	28		-	9	75.5		0.0		5	16	14	4	11	10	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	63,307	*
98		44	28		-	10	72.0		No		3	13	15	5	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	68,686	*
97		44	29		-	9	68.2		No		2	10	15	6	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	3	2	1	73,918	*
96		43	29		-	10	64.6		No		1	7	14	8	8	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	78,315	*
95		43	30		-	9	60.9		No		1	5	12	9	8	9	9	8	8	7	6	6	5	4	3	1	82,244	*
94		42	30		-	10	56.3		No		0	3	11	10	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	84,308	*
93		42	31		-	9	52.3		No		0	2	9	10	6	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	2	85,371	*
92		41	31		-	10	48.1		No		0	1	7	11	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	3	84,976	*
91		41	32		-	9	43.9		No		0	1	6	11	5	6	7	8	8	9	8	8	8	6	5	3	84,277	*
90		40	32		-	10	40.0		No		0	0	4	10	4	6	7	8	8	9	9	9	8	8	6	4	82,338	*
89		40	33		-	9	36.2		No		0	0	3	10	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	5	79,204	*
88		39	33		-	10	32.5		No		0	0	2	9	3	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	6	74,526	*
87		38	33		-	11	28.7		No			0	1	8	3	4	5	7	8	8	9	10	10	10	9	7	69,514	*
86		38	34		-	10	25.5		No			0	1	8	2	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	10	11	11	9	64,359	*
85		38	35		-	9	22.2		No			0	0	7	2	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	12	10	58,386	*
84		37	35		-	10	19.3		No			0	0	6	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	10	11	12	13	12	52,234	*
83		36	35		-	11	16.6		No			0	0	5	1	2	4	4	6	7	8	10	11	13	15	14	46,401	*
82		36	36		-	10	14.3		No				0	4	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	10	11	14	15	16	40,200	*
81		36	37		-	9	12.3		No				0	3	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	12	13	17	18	34,587	*
80		35	37		-	10	10.0		No				0	3	1	1	2	3	4	6	7	9	11	14	18	21	29,117	*
79		34	37		-	11	8.4		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	11	14	19	24	24,431	*
78		34	38		-	10	7.3		No				0	2	0	1	2	2	3	4	6	8	11	14	20	27	19,847	*
77		33	38		-	11	5.6		No				0	2	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	10	14	21	29	16,349	*
76		33	39		-	10	4.6		No					1	0	0	1	2	2	3	5	7	9	14	21	33	13,162	*
75		32	39		-	11	3.7		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	13	21	37	10,462	*
74		32	40		-	10	2.7		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	2	4	6	9	13	21	41	8,005	*
73		32	41		-	9	2.3		No					1	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	13	23	43	6,287	*
72		31	41		-	10	2.1		No					1	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	5	7	12	22	47	4,687	*
71		30	41		-	11	1.4		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	4	7	11	22	50	3,451	*
70		30	42		-	10	1.4		No					0		0	0	1	1	1	2	3	6	10	21	54	2,646	*
69		30	43		-	9	1.0		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	9	20	59	1,848	*
68		29	43		-	10	0.4		No					0				0	0	1	1	2	3	9	22	62	1,365	*
67		28	43		-	11	0.5		No					0			0	0	0	1	1	2	4	10	17	64	1,009	*
66		28	44		-	10	0.3		No								0		0	1	1	1	3	6	18	70	694	*
65		28	45		-	9	0.2		No									0	1		1	1	3	5	14	75	477	*
64		27	45		-	10	0.4		No					0					0	0	0	2	3	5	14	76	281	*
63		27	46		-	9	Out		No											1		1	3	4	18	74	196	*
62		26	46		-	10	0.7		No					1							1	1	1	6	10	80	137	*
61		26	47		-	9	Out		No														3	1	14	82	87	*
60		25	47		-	10	Out		No														3	2	16	79	62	*
59		25	48		-	9	Out		No														2	2	9	87	45	*
58		25	49		-	8	Out		No																5	95	19	*
56	-57						Out		No																	100	19	*
55		21	48		-	13	Out		No														14	14		71	7	*
54		22	50		-	10	Out		No																	100	4	*
52		21	51		-	10	Out		No																50	50	2
0		0	82		-	0	Out		No																	100	150

Total:							49.9	%	3.2	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	1,809,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Buffalo 4 (ot)	*+0.1
Colorado 5 Anaheim 4 (so)	*+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boston vs Tampa Bay	+1.1+0.1+0.2-0.8-0.8-0.9
San Jose vs Vancouver	-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

124	-164						100
123		57	16		-	9	99	1
122		57	17		-	8	99	1
121		56	17		-	9	98	2
120		55	17		-	10	99	1
119		55	18		-	9	99	1
118		55	19		-	8	97	3
117		54	19		-	9	97	3	0
116		53	19		-	10	95	5	0
115		53	20		-	9	94	6	0
114		52	20		-	10	89	10	0
113		52	21		-	9	85	14	1	0
112		51	21		-	10	80	19	1	0
111		51	22		-	9	72	25	3	0	0
110		50	22		-	10	63	31	5	1	0
109		50	23		-	9	52	36	10	1	0
108		49	23		-	10	42	40	15	3	0	0
107		49	24		-	9	31	41	21	6	1	0	0	0
106		48	24		-	10	21	38	27	11	2	0	0
105		48	25		-	9	13	31	31	17	6	1	0	0	0
104		47	25		-	10	6	23	32	24	11	3	1	0
103		47	26		-	9	3	14	27	28	18	8	2	0	0	0
102		46	26		-	10	1	7	18	26	25	15	6	2	0	0	0
101		46	27		-	9	0	3	10	20	26	22	13	5	1	0	0	0
100		45	27		-	10	0	1	4	11	21	25	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
99		45	28		-	9	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
98		44	28		-	10		0	0	1	5	11	19	23	20	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
97		44	29		-	9			0	0	1	4	10	18	23	20	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
96		43	29		-	10				0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
95		43	30		-	9				0	0	0	1	2	7	14	20	22	18	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
94		42	30		-	10						0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	19	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
93		42	31		-	9					0		0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	21	16	9	4	1	0	0	0	0
92		41	31		-	10							0	0	0	0	1	2	6	13	19	22	18	12	5	2	0	0	0		0
91		41	32		-	9									0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
90		40	32		-	10										0	0	0	0	1	3	7	14	20	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
89		40	33		-	9										0		0	0	0	0	2	5	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
88		39	33		-	10													0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0
87		38	33		-	11														0	0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
86		38	34		-	10																0	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
85		38	35		-	9																	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	23	23	17	8	2	0	0
84		37	35		-	10																	0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	24	24	16	7	1	0
83		36	35		-	11																				0	0	1	3	9	18	26	24	14	4	1
82		36	36		-	10																				0	0	0	1	4	11	22	28	23	10	2
81		36	37		-	9																					0	0	0	1	5	15	27	29	18	4
80		35	37		-	10																						0	0	0	2	8	21	32	27	9
79		34	37		-	11																							0	0	1	4	14	30	34	16
78		34	38		-	10																							0	0	0	2	8	25	39	25
77		33	38		-	11																							0	0	0	1	5	19	41	35
76		33	39		-	10																									0	0	2	13	39	46
75		32	39		-	11																									0	0	1	8	34	56
74		32	40		-	10																									0	0	0	5	29	66
73		32	41		-	9																											0	3	23	74
72		31	41		-	10																											0	1	18	80
71		30	41		-	11																											0	1	14	85
70		30	42		-	10																											0	0	10	90
69		30	43		-	9																												0	6	94
68		29	43		-	10																												0	4	96
67		28	43		-	11																													4	96
66		28	44		-	10																													2	98
65		28	45		-	9																													2	98
64		27	45		-	10																													1	99
63		27	46		-	9																													2	98
62		26	46		-	10																													1	99
61		26	47		-	9																													1	99
0	-60																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3