Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 1st 50/50

Lost to Toronto 1-4, playoff odds down 2.1 to 47.6%
0 points   0 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 1 Toronto 4 -4.5
-0.9
-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Florida+0.3*-0.1*+0.4*+0.3*-0.1-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-162InYes100151*
1205617-8In98.3%98259*
1195517-9In98.8981185*
1185518-8In98.595131132*
1175418-9In96.796131184*
1165419-8In94.3922510314*
1155319-9In94.6892710447*
1145219-10In89.1874711653*
1135220-999.9%85.3856062000860*
1125120-1099.781.082791100001,166*
1115121-999.874.5769010310001,622*
1105021-1099.764.371121113100002,210*
1095022-999.555.365151124210002,996*
1084922-1099.244.961172013511000003,741*
1074923-998.834.151223014521000004,657*
1064823-1098.423.0442540146321000005,822*
1054824-998.013.936276016742110007,449*
1044724-1096.97.527298116953110000009,225*
1034725-995.33.32228111151053211000010,602*
1024625-1093.91.216271321610643211000012,606*
1014626-991.90.410241531512853211000014,403*
1004526-1088.80.17201751412864321100016,707*
994527-986.50.04161961412975331100018,682*
984427-1082.2No21218813121086432110020,680*
974428-978.2No19171012121097543210022,839*
964328-1074.0No16151110111097653211024,427*
954329-968.2No04121291111109764321026,099*
944229-1062.6No0291381010109875431027,210*
934230-957.4No0171379101010976532128,084*
924130-1051.3No0051268101010987643128,645*
914131-945.1No00312479101010108753128,632*
904031-1039.1No021046891010109874228,272*
894032-933.8No01935789111110986327,711*
883932-1028.0No017246891011111197426,433*
873933-923.2No0062357810111212119525,180*
863833-1019.1No051346791112121210723,666*
853834-915.1No041235781112141412821,655*
843734-1012.2No031234689121415151120,234*
833735-99.1No021123579111416171317,895*
823635-106.7No20113468111417181615,559*
813636-95.6No10112357101317192013,676*
803536-103.9No1001124681217222411,880*
793537-92.8No100112357131724279,962*
783437-101.9No000012347111623338,293*
773337-111.1No00000124591526367,044*
763338-100.8No00000113481525415,415*
753339-90.6No00000112481425464,411*
743239-100.5No000012361226503,610*
733240-90.2No000011251123572,710*
723140-100.1No0001241022612,145*
713141-90.1No000023721661,541*
703041-10OutNo0013618711,250*
692941-110.1No00001162072852*
682942-10OutNo011151776712*
672943-9OutNo0121681468*
662742-12OutNo1121087291*
652844-9OutNo021285231*
642744-10OutNo12692177*
632745-9OutNo1189101*
622544-12OutNo349376*
612646-9OutNo2488548*
602546-10OutNo128817*
0-59OutNo10096*
Total:47.6%2.5%5567666666667777603,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 1 Toronto 4 +1.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Los Angeles*-0.0+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Jersey*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-162100
1205617-8982
1195517-9991
1185518-8982
1175418-9973
1165419-89450
1155319-9955
1145219-1089110
1135220-985132
1125120-1081171
1115121-97522300
1105021-10643151
1095022-95535910
1084922-104538133000
1074923-9344020510
1064823-102339269200
1054824-9143331165100
1044724-108243223103100
1034725-931428281772000
1024625-1017202723145200
1014626-90311212621115100
1004526-10014122125201151000
994527-90015132124191152000
984427-100015122023191252000
974428-9000141118232013621000
964328-100014917222115831000
954329-9000137142022171051000
944229-1000025111822201362100
934230-9000138152122169410000
924130-10000126131922181252000
914131-90000141017212115831000
904031-1000137142022171041000
894032-9000025111923191262100
883932-1000001491722211572100
873933-900001381622231683100
863833-100001271522231893100
853834-900127152224188300
843734-100012715242417720
833735-901381826251551
823635-10001310212923112
813636-90015142630195
803536-10002819322810
793537-9001414293617
783437-10018243927
773337-11014174137
763338-1002123947
753339-900183458
743239-10042966
733240-9022375
723140-10011683
713141-911287
703041-100991
692941-110694
682942-100496
672943-9298
662742-12298
652844-90100
642744-10199
0-63100
Total:233333333333333333344444444444