Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 1st

Lost to Toronto 1-4, playoff odds down 7.5 to 41.9%
0 points   0 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 1 Toronto 4 -3.5
-0.9
-0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Calgary-0.2*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.2
Dallas vs Florida+0.2*+0.2*+0.1*-0.1*-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
125-162InYes100166*
1245815-8InYes78229*
1235715-9InYes865922*
1225514-12In97.2%97336*
1215515-11InYes881269*
1205617-8In97.38114573*
1195517-999.3%Yes897211141*
1185417-10In98.48611020243*
1175418-998.897.985110210000341*
1165318-1099.596.9861831000556*
1155319-999.392.1783114110000823*
1145320-899.390.678312411101,149*
1135220-998.684.3735125210000001,635*
1125120-1098.378.9697012631100002,261*
1115121-997.671.96580156321100003,147*
1105021-1096.764.0611001373211000004,362*
1095022-996.453.75512115742111000005,810*
1084922-1095.342.249151015853211000007,821*
1074923-994.431.1421820159532211000010,086*
1064823-1092.321.0362030159543211000012,909*
1054824-990.912.53021401610643221100016,077*
1044724-1089.26.92522601510754321110019,997*
1034725-987.52.81922711511754322110024,405*
1024625-1084.91.11421911411865332110029,566*
1014626-982.00.311201121311865432211035,121*
1004526-1078.70.07181231310876543211040,857*
994527-975.80.05151341211976543221046,542*
984427-1072.50.03121451111987654321152,690*
974428-968.8No291461110987654321158,832*
964328-1064.8No171371010998765432165,296*
954329-961.0No1511899998766542170,790*
944229-1057.1No0310989988876543175,920*
934129-1152.8No0281079988887654280,216*
924130-1048.5No0161068889887764382,822*
914131-944.7No0151067889888765385,430*
904031-1040.7No0041056788999876485,661*
893931-1136.1No002946788999987585,957*
883932-1032.9No0029456788991098684,323*
873832-1129.1No001835678891010109781,934*
863833-1025.2No017345678910111111878,212*
853733-1122.3No0062356789101111121073,345*
843734-1019.4No0052345679101112131268,180*
833634-1116.5No0041335679101113141462,392*
823635-1014.3No04123457891214151656,163*
813535-1112.1No03123456891114171849,927*
803536-1010.0No03112345791114182144,086*
793436-118.3No02112345681114192438,373*
783437-106.9No2012234681115202732,296*
773337-115.7No1011234571014203027,277*
763338-104.5No1011234571014213322,525*
753238-113.9No101112347914213618,556*
743239-102.9No100112246914223914,792*
733139-112.6No100111235813224311,954*
723140-101.6No00001123571222479,435*
713141-91.4No00001113461121517,155*
703041-101.2No00000112361120545,499*
692941-110.7No000011235921594,043*
682942-100.6No00011125920613,021*
672943-90.4No0001123918652,216*
662843-100.6No000001123818671,702*
652844-90.2No0011113516721,162*
642744-100.3No00011261574786*
632644-110.4No0001251279562*
622645-10OutNo11231282380*
612545-110.4No0100141182265*
602647-8OutNo1141183151*
592547-9OutNo112889122*
582447-10OutNo11138572*
572347-11OutNo24128250*
562247-12OutNo339329*
0-55OutNo100177*
Total:41.9%1.6%34566666677778891,809,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 1 Toronto 4 +1.1
Colorado 5 Anaheim 4 (so)+0.0
ThursdayNone

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-162100
1225514-12973
1215515-11100
1205617-8973
1195517-9100
1185417-10982
1175418-9982
1165318-10973
1155319-99280
1145320-89190
1135220-984151
1125120-10792020
1115121-97225300
1105021-106430610
1095022-95435101000
1084922-10423915300
1074923-93140226100
1064823-1021372811300
1054824-9133131186100
1044724-107233124113100
1034725-931427281982000
1024625-1017182725156200
1014626-90392026221351000
1004526-10014112125201251000
994527-900151220242012520000
984427-10000141119232013620000
974428-900014101823201472100
964328-1000013916222115831000
954329-90001271420221811510000
944229-100001511182219136210000
934129-11000138162121169410000
924130-10000012612192218125200000
914131-9000141017212014831000
904031-100000137142022171041000
893931-110000025121922191262000
883932-10000014101722211472100
873832-1100001381622221683100
863833-1000001381522231783100
853733-11000137152324178200
843734-1000013816242416720
833634-110001391826241441
823635-100001411222822102
813535-1100015152630185
803536-10000282132279
793436-11001414303416
783437-100029253925
773337-110015194135
763338-100002133946
753238-1100183556
743239-100152966
733139-110032374
723140-100011880
713141-9011386
703041-1001089
692941-110892
682942-100595
672943-90397
662843-10397
652844-9199
642744-100100
632644-11298
622645-10199
612545-110100
602647-8100
592547-9199
0-58100
Total:222222233333333333444444445556