Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 1st 50/50

Lost to Buffalo 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 0.8 to 49.1%
1 points   0 0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Detroit 3 Buffalo 4 (ot)*-0.9
*-0.2
-0.1
ThursdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
122-163InYes100160*
1215617-8InYes95561*
1205618-7InYes9711195*
1195417-10In98.3%93251121*
1185418-9In98.69603219*
1175318-10In97.294141327*
1165319-9In96.294240422*
1155320-8In91.69135100621*
1145220-9In89.28846200867*
1135120-1099.7%87.284508200001,229*
1125121-999.981.08070921001,603*
1115021-1099.873.87790103100002,214*
1105022-999.665.8711201141000002,842*
1094922-1099.455.266151011421000003,708*
1084923-999.143.357191013521000004,756*
1074823-1098.933.55121301472110000005,878*
1064824-998.122.0432440147421100007,262*
1054724-1097.213.93527601584211000008,962*
1044725-996.27.42827811585311100010,736*
1034625-1094.93.4212711115964211000012,413*
1024626-992.71.215261321510743211000014,489*
1014526-1090.20.310231531411864321100016,614*
1004527-987.50.16201641411965321100018,753*
994427-1083.70.04161761312976432110020,652*
984428-980.4No21217812121086532110022,869*
974328-1075.3No1816911111097653211024,526*
964329-970.3No151410101111108764321025,877*
954229-1065.2No03111281010109865321027,246*
944230-959.9No029127910109976431027,953*
934130-1053.8No0171268101010987642128,572*
924131-947.7No0151247910101098753128,652*
914031-1041.7No0031046891010109864228,164*
904032-936.0No029368910111010975227,687*
893932-1030.2No018246891011111096326,750*
883933-925.4No0172457910111111108424,931*
873833-1020.8No0061356891112121210623,512*
863834-916.6No0041245791012131312822,036*
853734-1013.3No041234681013131414919,975*
843735-99.9No031123579111316161217,734*
833635-108.1No020123468101416181515,866*
823636-95.7No010112457101417201813,873*
813536-104.3No10012346101317222211,870*
803436-113.3No01001124591217232510,292*
793437-102.3No100112357111725308,264*
783337-111.5No000011246101524366,842*
773338-101.1No00001123591526385,666*
763339-90.7No000112471426444,483*
753239-100.6No00000012371224503,542*
743139-110.3No00000011351124552,715*
733140-100.2No0000124923602,182*
723141-90.1No000023923631,652*
713041-10OutNo00112720691,207*
703042-9OutNo001251774873*
692942-10OutNo00141579622*
682842-11OutNo00131482502*
672944-8OutNo0121484354*
662743-11OutNo0021285252*
652744-10OutNo2692136*
642644-11OutNo1108988*
632645-10OutNo79360*
622646-9OutNo10045*
612546-10OutNo478927*
602446-11OutNo10019*
592548-8OutNo69416*
1-58OutNo10064*
Total:49.1%3.1%6666666666666666603,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Buffalo 4 (ot)*+0.2
Colorado 5 Anaheim 4 (so)*+0.1
ThursdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-163100
1195417-10982
1185519-7991
1175318-10973
1165319-9964
1155320-89280
1145220-98911
1135120-10871210
1125121-9811810
1115021-10742330
1105022-96629510
1094922-105536810
1084923-9434014300
1074823-10344120510
1064824-922392710200
1054724-10143231165100
1044725-97243123113100
1034625-103152728177200
1024626-917192825145100
1014526-100311212621125100
1004527-9014122225191141000
994427-100015122123191151000
984428-90015122023191252000
974328-10000141118232013720000
964329-90001391722211583100
954229-10000137142121171051000
944230-9000251118221913621000
934130-100000148152021169410000
924131-90000126121922191252000
914031-10000014101721201483100
904032-9000137142022171041000
893932-10000025111922191362000
883933-90000141017222114821000
873833-100001381622221683100
863834-90000137152223179310
853734-10000127152224188200
843735-9012716232517720
833635-10001381826241551
823636-9001310212824102
813536-1000015142629195
803436-11002820322810
793437-10001314293617
783337-110028234126
773338-10015184036
763339-9002123749
753239-100173459
743139-110142768
733140-10022474
723141-9011683
713041-1001387
703042-901090
692942-10793
682842-11595
672944-8397
662743-11298
652744-10199
1-64100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333