Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 1st

Lost to Buffalo 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 5.7 to 44%

1 points 0 0-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit 3 Buffalo 4 (ot)	-1.0		-0.3		-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Washington vs Calgary	-0.3-0.3-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.3
Dallas vs Florida	+0.3+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

125	-163						In		Yes		100																177	*
124		57	15		-	9	In		Yes		95				5												21	*
123		56	15		-	10	In		Yes		97				3												35	*
122		56	16		-	9	In		Yes		96				4												49	*
121		56	17		-	8	In		98.9	%	90				7	1	1	1									90	*
120		55	17		-	9	In		Yes		95				3	2											132	*
119		54	17		-	10	In		99.6		93				4	2											228	*
118		54	18		-	9	In		97.5		85	1			10	2	1										367	*
117		54	19		-	8	99.5	%	95.4		85	1			10	1	1	0	1								548	*
116		53	19		-	9	99.8		96.1		84	1			10	3	2	1	0		0						820	*
115		52	19		-	10	99.5		93.5		79	3			11	3	2	1	0	0	0	0					1,151	*
114		52	20		-	9	99.0		88.5		77	4			11	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0				1,602	*
113		51	20		-	10	98.4		85.8		74	4			11	6	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			2,319	*
112		51	21		-	9	98.1		79.1		69	6	0		13	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			3,244	*
111		50	21		-	10	97.5		72.7		66	7	0		13	6	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		4,294	*
110		50	22		-	9	97.2		63.3		61	10	0	0	13	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5,860	*
109		49	22		-	10	95.8		53.1		53	12	1		15	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		7,550	*
108		49	23		-	9	94.9		42.4		49	14	1	0	15	8	5	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0		10,139	*
107		48	23		-	10	93.4		31.1		43	17	2	0	14	9	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	12,868	*
106		48	24		-	9	92.6		20.7		36	20	3	0	15	9	6	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	16,292	*
105		47	24		-	10	90.1		12.8		30	21	4	0	14	10	6	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	20,106	*
104		47	25		-	9	88.6		6.6		24	22	5	0	14	10	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	24,763	*
103		46	25		-	10	86.1		2.9		19	21	8	1	14	11	7	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	29,329	*
102		46	26		-	9	83.8		1.2		14	21	9	1	14	11	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	35,155	*
101		45	26		-	10	80.8		0.3		10	19	11	2	13	11	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	41,039	*
100		45	27		-	9	77.9		0.1		7	17	12	3	12	11	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	47,174	*
99		44	27		-	10	74.8		0.0		5	15	13	4	12	11	9	7	6	5	4	3	3	2	1	0	53,162	*
98		44	28		-	9	71.4		No		3	12	13	5	11	11	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	59,602	*
97		43	28		-	10	67.5		No		2	9	13	6	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	2	1	65,409	*
96		43	29		-	9	63.4		No		1	7	12	7	9	10	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	71,111	*
95		42	29		-	10	59.7		No		1	5	11	8	9	9	9	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	3	1	76,064	*
94		42	30		-	9	55.3		No		0	3	10	9	8	9	9	8	8	8	7	6	6	5	3	2	79,825	*
93		41	30		-	10	51.0		No		0	2	8	9	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	83,157	*
92		40	30		-	11	47.3		No		0	1	6	10	6	7	8	9	8	8	8	8	7	6	4	3	85,054	*
91		40	31		-	10	43.0		No		0	1	5	10	5	7	8	8	8	9	8	8	8	7	6	3	86,541	*
90		39	31		-	11	39.0		No		0	0	3	9	5	6	7	8	8	9	9	9	8	8	6	4	85,795	*
89		39	32		-	10	35.1		No		0	0	2	9	4	6	7	8	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	5	84,388	*
88		38	32		-	11	31.1		No		0	0	2	8	3	5	6	7	8	8	9	10	10	10	9	6	81,593	*
87		38	33		-	10	27.7		No			0	1	7	3	4	5	7	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	8	77,756	*
86		38	34		-	9	24.5		No			0	1	7	2	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	10	11	11	9	73,215	*
85		37	34		-	10	21.0		No			0	0	6	2	3	4	5	7	8	9	10	11	12	12	11	67,704	*
84		36	34		-	11	18.5		No			0	0	5	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	10	11	12	14	13	62,283	*
83		36	35		-	10	15.8		No			0	0	4	1	2	3	4	6	7	8	10	11	13	15	15	56,257	*
82		35	35		-	11	13.4		No			0	0	3	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	17	49,367	*
81		35	36		-	10	11.4		No			0	0	3	1	2	2	4	4	6	7	9	12	14	17	19	44,015	*
80		35	37		-	9	9.6		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	11	14	18	22	37,909	*
79		34	37		-	10	8.1		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	3	5	6	8	11	14	19	25	32,153	*
78		33	37		-	11	6.4		No				0	2	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	11	14	20	28	27,335	*
77		33	38		-	10	5.5		No				0	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	10	14	21	31	22,666	*
76		32	38		-	11	4.3		No					1	0	1	1	1	2	3	5	7	9	14	21	34	18,471	*
75		32	39		-	10	3.3		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	14	21	38	14,625	*
74		31	39		-	11	2.5		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	13	22	40	11,816	*
73		31	40		-	10	2.2		No					0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	5	7	13	21	45	9,119	*
72		31	41		-	9	1.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	7	12	22	49	7,167	*
71		30	41		-	10	1.3		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	11	21	53	5,427	*
70		29	41		-	11	1.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	10	21	55	4,058	*
69		29	42		-	10	0.7		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	5	10	19	60	3,109	*
68		28	42		-	11	0.6		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	8	18	65	2,241	*
67		29	44		-	8	0.4		No					0				0	0	0	1	2	4	8	18	65	1,616	*
66		27	43		-	11	0.5		No						0			0	0	0	0	2	3	7	17	69	1,105	*
65		27	44		-	10	0.3		No							0	0			1	1	1	3	5	17	73	781	*
64		27	45		-	9	Out		No											0	1	2	2	5	17	73	544	*
63		26	45		-	10	Out		No												1	2	1	4	16	76	349	*
62		25	45		-	11	Out		No												0	0	1	3	11	83	269	*
61		26	47		-	8	Out		No													2		4	14	80	148	*
60		25	47		-	9	Out		No														2	1	10	88	115	*
59		25	48		-	8	Out		No															1	4	95	78	*
58		23	47		-	11	Out		No														3	3	5	90	39	*
57		22	47		-	12	Out		No													4	4	8	4	81	26	*
56		22	48		-	11	Out		No																	100	14	*
55		22	49		-	10	Out		No																9	91	11	*
54		21	49		-	11	Out		No																50	50	2	*
1	-53						Out		No																	100	157	*

Total:							44.0	%	2.1	%	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	1,809,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Buffalo 4 (ot)	+0.2

Thursday	None

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

122	-163						100
121		56	17		-	8	99	1
120		55	17		-	9	100
119		54	17		-	10	100	0
118		54	18		-	9	98	2	0
117		54	19		-	8	95	4	0
116		53	19		-	9	96	4
115		52	19		-	10	93	6	0
114		52	20		-	9	88	11	0
113		51	20		-	10	86	13	1	0
112		51	21		-	9	79	19	1	0
111		50	21		-	10	73	24	3	0
110		50	22		-	9	63	31	5	0
109		49	22		-	10	53	36	9	2	0
108		49	23		-	9	42	40	15	3	0	0
107		48	23		-	10	31	41	21	6	1	0
106		48	24		-	9	21	38	28	11	3	0	0
105		47	24		-	10	13	31	31	17	6	1	0	0
104		47	25		-	9	7	23	32	24	11	3	1	0	0
103		46	25		-	10	3	14	26	28	18	8	2	0	0	0
102		46	26		-	9	1	7	18	27	24	15	6	2	0	0	0
101		45	26		-	10	0	3	9	20	26	22	12	5	1	0	0	0
100		45	27		-	9	0	1	4	11	20	25	21	12	5	1	0	0	0	0
99		44	27		-	10	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
98		44	28		-	9		0	0	1	5	11	19	23	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
97		43	28		-	10			0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
96		43	29		-	9			0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
95		42	29		-	10					0	0	1	2	7	14	20	22	18	10	5	1	0	0	0	0
94		42	30		-	9						0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	19	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
93		41	30		-	10						0	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	21	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
92		40	30		-	11						0		0	0	0	1	2	6	13	19	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0	0	0
91		40	31		-	10									0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	21	21	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
90		39	31		-	11									0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0		0
89		39	32		-	10												0	0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
88		38	32		-	11											0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0
87		38	33		-	10														0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
86		38	34		-	9															0	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	23	16	8	3	1	0
85		37	34		-	10																	0	0	0	1	2	7	15	23	24	17	8	2	0	0
84		36	34		-	11																		0	0	0	1	3	8	16	24	24	16	7	2	0
83		36	35		-	10																			0	0	0	1	3	9	18	26	24	14	4	1
82		35	35		-	11																					0	0	1	4	11	22	28	22	10	2
81		35	36		-	10																					0	0	0	1	5	15	26	29	18	4
80		35	37		-	9																						0	0	0	2	9	21	32	27	9
79		34	37		-	10																							0	0	1	4	14	30	34	16
78		33	37		-	11																								0	0	2	9	25	39	25
77		33	38		-	10																								0	0	1	5	19	41	35
76		32	38		-	11																									0	0	2	13	39	46
75		32	39		-	10																									0	0	1	8	34	56
74		31	39		-	11																									0	0	0	5	29	66
73		31	40		-	10																										0	0	3	24	73
72		31	41		-	9																											0	2	18	80
71		30	41		-	10																												1	13	86
70		29	41		-	11																												1	9	90
69		29	42		-	10																												0	8	92
68		28	42		-	11																												0	6	94
67		29	44		-	8																												0	4	96
66		27	43		-	11																												0	2	98
65		27	44		-	10																													1	99
64		27	45		-	9																													1	99
63		26	45		-	10																													1	99
62		25	45		-	11																													0	100
61		26	47		-	8																													1	99
60		25	47		-	9																													1	99
1	-59																																			100

Total:							2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5