"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances 1st 50/50

Beat Anaheim 5-4 (so), playoff odds up 0.6 to 58%
2 points   1 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Colorado 5 Anaheim 4 (so)+1.6
+1.0
+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Calgary+0.3*+0.3*-0.2*-0.1*+0.0-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-164InYes100139*
1225617-8InYes98246*
1215618-7InYes982105*
1205518-8InYes973135*
1195418-9In99.0%9641200*
1185318-10In97.49713313*
1175319-9In97.496030431*
1165320-8In95.693151630*
1155220-9In94.5922610848*
1145221-8In91.890261001,227*
1135121-9In87.1864082001,646*
1125021-10In81.1835092102,243*
1115022-999.8%74.6797010210002,842*
1104922-1099.765.17410011311003,719*
1094923-999.855.369131124110004,654*
1084823-1099.543.8611610144210005,996*
1074824-999.233.05620201352100007,245*
1064724-1098.723.34823301473110008,848*
1054725-998.214.04026401584210000010,636*
1044625-1097.57.5332870149521100012,457*
1034626-996.43.3252891159632110014,438*
1024526-1094.91.2182712115116422100016,536*
1014527-993.50.4132614215117532110018,796*
1004427-1091.20.192316314118643110020,909*
994428-988.70.061917514129753210022,482*
984328-1085.2No315186121210864311024,669*
974329-981.4No211188111211975321025,889*
964229-1077.5No1816101011111086431026,883*
954230-972.8No051411911111197532128,244*
944130-1067.0No0311128101111108743128,585*
934131-962.2No02913791112119863128,645*
924031-1055.7No017135811111111974228,615*
914032-949.5No051247101112121086327,690*
903932-1043.8No0031147911121211107326,732*
893933-937.7No002935810121213129525,383*
883833-1033.6No019257101113131310623,505*
873834-927.6No01723691113141413821,879*
863734-1022.6No006135810121416141019,887*
853735-918.8No0512479121416171317,868*
843635-1014.9No0412358111417191615,681*
833535-1112.2No0311357101418211813,675*
823536-109.4No020124691317222311,844*
813537-97.0No02012357121824279,929*
803437-105.5No01011247101725318,495*
793337-114.0No1001236101526366,934*
783338-102.8No000023581426425,627*
773339-91.9No100012471226464,549*
763239-101.4No00012361225513,554*
753240-90.9No000011341125552,696*
743140-100.5No000124922612,124*
733141-90.8No0000114721661,602*
723041-100.3No00113620691,214*
713042-90.3No000251874887*
702942-10OutNo0161776685*
692943-9OutNo00061480466*
682944-8OutNo1131184291*
672743-11OutNo0012987215*
662845-8OutNo12890160*
652745-9OutNo1594112*
642645-10OutNo109071*
632545-11OutNo259358*
622647-8OutNo339436*
612547-9OutNo10023*
602548-8OutNo79314*
2-59OutNo10063*
Total:58.0%4.1%88767777777777603,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 5 Anaheim 4 (so)-1.0
Detroit 3 Buffalo 4 (ot)*+0.0
ThursdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-164100
1195418-9991
1185318-10973
1175319-9973
1165320-89640
1155220-99450
1145221-89280
1135121-987121
1125021-10811710
1115022-9752320
1104922-10653050
1094923-95535910
1084823-10444014300
1074824-93341205100
1064724-1023382610200
1054725-914333116510
1044625-107243223103000
1034626-93152728177200
1024526-1017202724145100
1014527-903102126211251000
1004427-1001412212420114100
994428-90015122124191151000
984328-10001512202320125200
974329-9000151018232013621000
964229-1000149162121158310000
954230-900137142022171041000
944130-10000251118222013621000
934131-9000138162121168410000
924031-10000126121922181252000
914032-900014101721201573100
903932-1000013714212117104100
893933-9000025121922201352100
883833-10000014101722211473100
873834-90001381622221683100
863734-10000137152223179310
853735-9000127152224179300
843635-100013716232517720
833535-110001281726251551
823536-10001310212823112
813537-900015132631195
803437-10002820322810
793337-1101313303517
783338-100017244028
773339-914184037
763239-10002123848
753240-90183358
743140-10052768
733141-9022275
723041-1011682
713042-901386
702942-100991
692943-9694
682944-8496
672743-11397
662845-8199
652745-9100
642645-10397
2-63100
Total:444444444333333333333333333333