Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 1st 50/50

Lost to Colorado 4-5 (so), playoff odds down 0.7 to 56.6%

1 points 0 0-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado 5 Anaheim 4 (so)	*-0.6		*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Washington vs Calgary	+0.6-0.3-0.5+0.2-0.4-0.5		+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Phoenix vs NY Rangers	-0.4-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

125	-163						In		Yes		100																70	*
124		58	16		-	7	In		Yes		82				18												11	*
123		56	15		-	10	In		Yes		100																13	*
122		55	15		-	11	In		Yes		97				3												32	*
121		56	17		-	8	In		Yes		97				3												67	*
120		55	17		-	9	In		98.8	%	98				2												83	*
119		55	18		-	8	In		98.7		98				1	1											154	*
118		53	17		-	11	In		97.5		96	1			2												204	*
117		53	18		-	10	In		97.4		94	1			5												303	*
116		53	19		-	9	In		95.3		93	2			4	1	0										446	*
115		53	20		-	8	In		92.4		92	2			6	0											590	*
114		52	20		-	9	In		89.7		90	3			7	1		0									844	*
113		52	21		-	8	In		86.6		87	4	0		8	1	0	0									1,211	*
112		51	21		-	9	99.9	%	81.1		85	5	0		8	2	0				0						1,585	*
111		50	21		-	10	99.9		73.6		78	8	0		10	2	1	0	0								2,263	*
110		50	22		-	9	99.9		66.1		76	10	0		11	2	1	0	0								2,820	*
109		49	22		-	10	99.7		55.6		69	13	1	0	12	3	1	0	0		0		0				3,743	*
108		49	23		-	9	99.6		44.3		63	17	1	0	13	4	2	1	0	0	0						4,742	*
107		48	23		-	10	99.4		33.2		56	21	2	0	13	5	2	1	0	0	0	0					5,861	*
106		48	24		-	9	98.8		23.0		49	23	3	0	14	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0				7,312	*
105		47	24		-	10	98.6		13.8		40	26	5	0	15	7	3	2	1	0	0	0					8,851	*
104		47	25		-	9	98.2		7.2		33	28	7	0	15	8	5	2	1	1	0	0	0				10,450	*
103		46	25		-	10	96.8		3.7		26	29	9	1	16	9	5	2	2	1	0	0	0				12,387	*
102		46	26		-	9	96.0		1.0		20	28	11	1	15	10	6	3	2	1	1	0	0	0			14,537	*
101		45	26		-	10	94.5		0.3		13	26	14	2	16	11	7	5	3	2	1	0	0	0			16,745	*
100		45	27		-	9	92.8		0.1		9	23	17	4	15	12	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0			18,436	*
99		44	27		-	10	90.1		0.0		6	20	18	5	14	12	9	6	4	3	2	1	0	0			20,659	*
98		44	28		-	9	87.6		No		3	16	19	7	13	12	10	7	5	3	2	1	0	0			22,897	*
97		43	28		-	10	84.2		No		2	12	19	9	12	12	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0			24,175	*
96		43	29		-	9	79.7		No		1	8	17	10	12	12	11	9	7	5	4	2	1	0			25,864	*
95		42	29		-	10	75.7		No		0	5	15	12	10	12	11	10	8	7	5	3	1	0			27,302	*
94		42	30		-	9	70.8		No		0	3	12	13	9	11	11	11	9	8	6	4	2	1			28,176	*
93		41	30		-	10	64.9		No		0	2	10	13	7	10	11	12	10	9	7	5	3	1			28,619	*
92		41	31		-	9	59.5		No		0	1	7	14	6	9	11	12	11	10	8	6	4	2			28,905	*
91		40	31		-	10	53.4		No		0	1	5	13	5	8	10	11	12	11	9	7	5	2			28,552	*
90		40	32		-	9	47.5		No			0	3	12	4	7	10	11	12	12	11	9	6	3			27,983	*
89		39	32		-	10	41.8		No			0	2	11	3	6	9	10	12	12	12	10	8	4			26,712	*
88		38	32		-	11	35.9		No			0	1	9	3	5	8	10	12	13	13	12	9	6			25,304	*
87		38	33		-	10	30.5		No			0	1	8	2	4	7	9	11	13	14	14	11	7			23,427	*
86		38	34		-	9	26.0		No				0	7	1	3	6	8	10	13	14	15	14	9			22,002	*
85		37	34		-	10	21.0		No			0	0	5	1	3	5	7	10	12	15	16	16	11			19,903	*
84		36	34		-	11	17.2		No			0	0	4	1	2	4	6	8	12	15	17	17	14			17,892	*
83		36	35		-	10	13.4		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	8	11	14	17	19	17			15,802	*
82		36	36		-	9	10.7		No				0	3	0	1	2	4	6	10	13	18	22	21			13,523	*
81		35	36		-	10	8.6		No					2	0	1	2	3	5	9	12	17	23	25			11,776	*
80		34	36		-	11	6.0		No				0	1	0	1	1	3	4	7	11	17	24	29			10,068	*
79		34	37		-	10	5.0		No					1	0	0	1	2	4	6	10	17	25	33			8,290	*
78		34	38		-	9	3.4		No					1	0	0	1	2	3	5	9	15	26	38			6,820	*
77		33	38		-	10	2.6		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	5	8	14	26	43			5,610	*
76		33	39		-	9	1.4		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	13	25	48			4,539	*
75		32	39		-	10	1.4		No					0		0	0	1	2	3	6	12	23	52			3,660	*
74		32	40		-	9	0.7		No					0	0		0	0	1	2	4	10	25	57			2,727	*
73		31	40		-	10	0.9		No					0			0	1	0	2	3	9	22	62			2,109	*
72		31	41		-	9	0.3		No					0			0	0	1	1	3	7	22	66			1,598	*
71		30	41		-	10	0.2		No					0			0		0	1	2	6	18	72			1,258	*
70		30	42		-	9	Out		No										0	1	1	5	20	73			940	*
69		29	42		-	10	Out		No										0	0	1	4	16	78			624	*
68		28	42		-	11	Out		No											0	1	3	12	83			473	*
67		28	43		-	10	Out		No											0	1	2	11	85			365	*
66		28	44		-	9	Out		No													1	9	89			203	*
65		27	44		-	10	Out		No													1	13	85			144	*
64		26	44		-	11	Out		No													2	4	93			90	*
63		26	45		-	10	Out		No													1	3	96			75	*
62		26	46		-	9	Out		No														4	96			47	*
61		25	46		-	10	Out		No														7	93			30	*
60		24	46		-	11	Out		No														4	96			23	*
59		26	49		-	6	Out		No															100			9	*
58		24	48		-	9	Out		No														13	88			8	*
1	-57						Out		No															100			57	*

Total:							56.6	%	3.1	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7			603,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado 5 Anaheim 4 (so)	*+0.1
Detroit 3 Buffalo 4 (ot)	*+0.1

Thursday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

121	-163						100
120		55	17		-	9	99	1
119		55	18		-	8	99	1
118		53	17		-	11	98	2
117		53	18		-	10	97	3
116		53	19		-	9	95	4	0
115		53	20		-	8	92	7	0
114		52	20		-	9	90	10	0
113		52	21		-	8	87	12	1
112		51	21		-	9	81	18	1
111		50	21		-	10	74	23	3	0
110		50	22		-	9	66	29	5	0		0
109		49	22		-	10	56	34	9	1	0	0
108		49	23		-	9	44	39	14	2	0	0
107		48	23		-	10	33	41	20	5	1	0	0
106		48	24		-	9	23	38	26	10	2	0	0
105		47	24		-	10	14	32	31	17	5	1	0	0
104		47	25		-	9	7	24	32	23	10	3	1	0
103		46	25		-	10	4	14	27	29	17	7	2	0	0	0
102		46	26		-	9	1	7	20	28	23	14	5	1	0	0	0
101		45	26		-	10	0	3	10	21	26	22	12	5	1	0	0	0
100		45	27		-	9	0	1	4	12	21	25	20	11	4	1	0	0
99		44	27		-	10	0	0	1	5	12	21	24	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
98		44	28		-	9		0	0	1	5	12	19	24	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
97		43	28		-	10			0	0	1	5	10	18	23	20	13	6	2	1	0
96		43	29		-	9			0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0	0		0
95		42	29		-	10					0	0	1	3	7	14	20	22	18	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
94		42	30		-	9						0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0
93		41	30		-	10							0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	21	16	9	4	1	0	0	0		0
92		41	31		-	9								0	0	0	1	2	6	13	19	22	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
91		40	31		-	10									0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
90		40	32		-	9										0	0	0	0	1	3	7	14	20	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
89		39	32		-	10													0	0	0	2	5	12	19	22	19	13	6	2	0	0	0
88		38	32		-	11													0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	21	21	15	7	3	1	0	0	0
87		38	33		-	10													0		0	0	0	1	3	8	16	21	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
86		38	34		-	9																0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
85		37	34		-	10																0		0	0	1	2	7	15	22	24	18	9	3	0	0
84		36	34		-	11																			0	0	0	2	7	16	23	25	17	7	2	0
83		36	35		-	10																				0	0	1	3	8	17	25	25	15	5	1
82		36	36		-	9																				0	0	0	1	3	10	21	29	23	11	2
81		35	36		-	10																						0	0	1	5	13	27	30	20	5
80		34	36		-	11																							0	0	2	8	21	32	27	10
79		34	37		-	10																								0	1	4	13	29	36	18
78		34	38		-	9																									0	2	8	25	39	27
77		33	38		-	10																									0	1	4	17	40	37
76		33	39		-	9																									0	0	2	13	38	48
75		32	39		-	10																										0	1	8	34	58
74		32	40		-	9																											1	4	27	69
73		31	40		-	10																											0	3	22	75
72		31	41		-	9																												1	17	82
71		30	41		-	10																												1	11	88
70		30	42		-	9																												0	8	92
69		29	42		-	10																												0	6	94
68		28	42		-	11																												1	5	95
67		28	43		-	10																													2	98
66		28	44		-	9																													2	98
65		27	44		-	10																													1	99
64		26	44		-	11																													2	98
63		26	45		-	10																														100
62		26	46		-	9																													2	98
1	-61																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3