Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 1st

Lost to Colorado 4-5 (so), playoff odds down 5.3 to 52.5%
1 points   0 0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Colorado 5 Anaheim 4 (so)*-0.5
*-0.1
*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Phoenix vs NY Rangers-0.3*-0.0*-0.1*+0.1*-0.0+0.3
Washington vs Calgary+0.4*+0.1*-0.1*-0.3*-0.2-0.3
Dallas vs Florida-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.2*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
127-163InYes100155*
1265814-9InYes80205*
124-125InYes10034*
1235615-10InYes92838*
1225717-7InYes945262*
1215617-8In99.0%951112103*
1205517-9In98.791181159*
1195417-10In98.79451238*
1185418-9In98.489721380*
1175419-8In94.7901531566*
1165319-999.7%93.78331031000795*
1155320-899.692.28429310001,234*
1145220-999.788.9813114100001,761*
1135120-1099.285.078301142100002,501*
1125121-999.179.57451252110003,349*
1115021-1098.871.46970135211000004,503*
1105022-998.262.6669013632100006,046*
1094922-1097.652.460110015632110008,130*
1084923-997.442.45713101474211000010,527*
1074823-1096.130.34916201584321100013,529*
1064824-995.221.14319201595321100016,680*
1054724-1094.212.83720401595422110020,641*
1044725-992.56.63023501596432110025,236*
1034625-1091.32.824236115107532210030,286*
1024626-989.21.019239114107543211035,757*
1014526-1087.40.3142210114118653211041,721*
1004527-984.50.0102112214118754321048,324*
994427-1082.30.071814313119764321054,192*
984428-979.3No51515412119865432160,253*
974328-1076.3No31215612119876432166,272*
964329-972.7No29157111110986543171,560*
954229-1069.3No1714810109987653177,024*
944230-965.5No15131091010998754280,991*
934130-1062.1No03111189101098765383,957*
924030-1157.7No029127991099875385,230*
914031-1053.6No017127899109986485,708*
904032-949.6No0151268991010998586,004*
893932-1045.4No004125789101010109683,359*
883933-941.6No0031146891010111110781,110*
873833-1037.4No021046791010111211977,083*
863733-1133.7No01935789111212121072,728*
853734-1029.8No01835679111213141267,057*
843634-1126.5No00824579101214151461,103*
833635-1023.1No00623568101214161654,766*
823535-1120.0No00623468101215171948,980*
813536-1017.8No051245791215182142,970*
803436-1115.3No041235791115192437,019*
793437-1012.8No031234681115212731,557*
783337-1111.0No031124571115213026,325*
773338-109.0No021123571015213322,021*
763238-117.5No02012346914223618,032*
753239-106.6No02011246913224014,374*
743139-115.1No1011235812234411,472*
733140-103.8No100123571222488,824*
723040-113.6No100112461221516,901*
713041-102.7No100112361021555,261*
702941-111.8No00001235920603,970*
692942-101.8No000011241020612,905*
682943-91.5No0001124719662,166*
672843-101.0No000115818661,553*
662743-110.4No000112718701,078*
652744-100.3No0001361674740*
642644-110.4No0001341775510*
632544-120.5No0000151281370*
622545-110.4No00241281234*
612546-100.6No121385165*
602446-11OutNo11386109*
592548-8OutNo79359*
582347-11OutNo99143*
572348-10OutNo118927*
562349-9OutNo69416*
1-55OutNo100162*
Total:52.5%2.2%566777777888891,809,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 5 Anaheim 4 (so)+0.1
ThursdayNone

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-163100
1215617-8991
1205517-9991
1195417-10991
1185418-9982
1175419-8955
1165319-9946
1155320-89280
1145220-989110
1135120-1085141
1125121-9801910
1115021-10712530
1105022-96331600
1094922-1052379100
1084923-9423915300
1074823-103041226100
1064824-921382711200
1054724-10133131176100
1044725-97223224113100
1034625-103142728188200
1024626-91718272515620000
1014526-1003102026221351000
1004527-9014112025201251000
994427-1000151220242012510000
984428-900141119232012621000
974328-1000141018222114721000
964329-900139162221159310000
954229-1000127132022181051000
944230-90000251118222013721000
934130-1000013815212116941000
924030-1100001261319221812521000
914031-10000141017212014731000
904032-900001371420221710410000
893932-100000025121922191262000
883933-900000014101722211472100
873833-1000001381622221683100
863733-1100001381522231783100
853734-10000137152324178200
843634-1100013816242416720
833635-10001391826241451
823535-11001411222822102
813536-100015152630185
803436-110000282132279
793437-10001414303416
783337-110029253925
773338-100015194035
763238-11002133847
753239-100183456
743139-1100052966
733140-10032275
723040-110021980
713041-1011486
702941-110991
692942-100693
682943-90595
672843-10397
662743-110298
652744-10199
642644-11298
632544-12199
622545-11298
612546-10199
1-60100
Total:223333333333333333444444444444