Worcester Sharks Playoff Chances 2013-2014a 50/50Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 53.4% 0 points 0 0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | St. John's vs Providence | | | *+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Springfield vs Manchester | +0.2*-0.3*-0.2-0.7*-0.2*+0.0 | | +0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0 | | St. John's vs Providence | | | *+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Worcester finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Kilpatrick | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | -152 | | In | 99.5 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 758 | * | 111 | | 52 | 17 | - | 7 | In | 98.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 365 | * | 110 | | 51 | 17 | - | 8 | In | 98.3 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 574 | * | 109 | | 51 | 18 | - | 7 | In | 98.2 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 779 | * | 108 | | 50 | 18 | - | 8 | In | 95.1 | | 98 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,172 | * | 107 | | 50 | 19 | - | 7 | In | 94.1 | | 98 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,683 | * | 106 | | 49 | 19 | - | 8 | In | 92.0 | | 97 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,492 | * | 105 | | 49 | 20 | - | 7 | In | 86.5 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,219 | * | 104 | | 48 | 20 | - | 8 | In | 82.7 | | 93 | 6 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,446 | * | 103 | | 48 | 21 | - | 7 | In | 76.4 | | 90 | 8 | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,974 | * | 102 | | 47 | 21 | - | 8 | In | 68.6 | | 87 | 11 | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 8,025 | * | 101 | | 47 | 22 | - | 7 | In | 58.6 | | 81 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 10,687 | * | 100 | | 46 | 22 | - | 8 | In | 48.0 | | 75 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 13,367 | * | 99 | | 46 | 23 | - | 7 | In | 36.6 | | 66 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 16,866 | * | 98 | | 45 | 23 | - | 8 | In | 25.5 | | 57 | 29 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 20,945 | * | 97 | | 45 | 24 | - | 7 | In | 15.6 | | 46 | 34 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 25,290 | * | 96 | | 44 | 24 | - | 8 | In | 8.9 | | 36 | 37 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 30,664 | * | 95 | | 44 | 25 | - | 7 | In | 3.9 | | 25 | 38 | 11 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 36,105 | * | 94 | | 43 | 25 | - | 8 | In | 1.5 | | 16 | 36 | 15 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 42,413 | * | 93 | | 43 | 26 | - | 7 | In | 0.5 | | 9 | 31 | 19 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 48,435 | * | 92 | | 42 | 26 | - | 8 | In | 0.1 | | 5 | 24 | 22 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 54,314 | * | 91 | | 42 | 27 | - | 7 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | | 2 | 17 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 60,295 | * | 90 | | 41 | 27 | - | 8 | 100.0 | | 0.0 | | 1 | 10 | 23 | 21 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 66,149 | * | 89 | | 41 | 28 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | No | 0 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 71,264 | * | 88 | | 40 | 28 | - | 8 | 99.2 | | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 76,229 | * | 87 | | 40 | 29 | - | 7 | 96.9 | | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 79,122 | * | 86 | | 39 | 29 | - | 8 | 90.4 | | No | | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 81,857 | * | 85 | | 38 | 29 | - | 9 | 77.2 | | No | | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 83,268 | * | 84 | | 38 | 30 | - | 8 | 56.6 | | No | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | 83,060 | * | 83 | | 37 | 30 | - | 9 | 34.5 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 81,734 | * | 82 | | 37 | 31 | - | 8 | 17.0 | | No | | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 79,510 | * | 81 | | 36 | 31 | - | 9 | 6.7 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 76,167 | * | 80 | | 36 | 32 | - | 8 | 2.3 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 71,141 | * | 79 | | 35 | 32 | - | 9 | 0.6 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 66,466 | * | 78 | | 35 | 33 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | No | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 60,775 | * | 77 | | 34 | 33 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | No | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 55,499 | * | 76 | | 34 | 34 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 49,044 | * | 75 | | 33 | 34 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | No | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 36 | 14 | 43,077 | * | 74 | | 33 | 35 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 42 | 22 | 37,126 | * | 73 | | 32 | 35 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 44 | 31 | 31,608 | * | 72 | | 32 | 36 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 42 | 26,630 | * | 71 | | 31 | 36 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 22,114 | * | 70 | | 31 | 37 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 62 | 17,911 | * | 69 | | 30 | 37 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 69 | 14,290 | * | 68 | | 30 | 38 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 11,355 | * | 67 | | 30 | 39 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 8,941 | * | 66 | | 29 | 39 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 87 | 6,793 | * | 65 | | 29 | 40 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 5,111 | * | 64 | | 28 | 40 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 3,762 | * | 63 | | 28 | 41 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 2,885 | * | 62 | | 27 | 41 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 2,037 | * | 61 | | 27 | 42 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 1,417 | * | 60 | | 26 | 42 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 993 | * | 59 | | 25 | 42 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 705 | * | 58 | | 25 | 43 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 466 | * | 57 | | 25 | 44 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 344 | * | 56 | | 24 | 44 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 215 | * | 0 | -55 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 527 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 53.4 | % | 3.3 | % | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 1,708,460 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | St. John's vs Providence | *-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Springfield vs Manchester | -0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0 | | St. John's vs Providence | *-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | -152 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 54 | 16 | - | 6 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 53 | 16 | - | 7 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 53 | 17 | - | 6 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 52 | 17 | - | 7 | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 52 | 18 | - | 6 | 98 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 51 | 18 | - | 7 | 98 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 50 | 18 | - | 8 | 95 | 3 | 2 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 50 | 19 | - | 7 | 94 | 4 | 2 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 49 | 19 | - | 8 | 92 | 5 | 2 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 49 | 20 | - | 7 | 87 | 8 | 5 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 48 | 20 | - | 8 | 83 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 48 | 21 | - | 7 | 76 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 47 | 21 | - | 8 | 69 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 47 | 22 | - | 7 | 59 | 22 | 15 | 0 | 0 | | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 46 | 22 | - | 8 | 48 | 27 | 18 | 1 | 1 | | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 46 | 23 | - | 7 | 37 | 29 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 45 | 23 | - | 8 | 25 | 31 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 45 | 24 | - | 7 | 16 | 31 | 28 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 44 | 24 | - | 8 | 9 | 27 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 44 | 25 | - | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 43 | 25 | - | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 43 | 26 | - | 7 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 42 | 26 | - | 8 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | | 42 | 27 | - | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | | 41 | 27 | - | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89 | | 41 | 28 | - | 7 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | | 40 | 28 | - | 8 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | | 40 | 29 | - | 7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 86 | | 39 | 29 | - | 8 | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 85 | | 38 | 29 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 84 | | 38 | 30 | - | 8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 83 | | 37 | 30 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 82 | | 37 | 31 | - | 8 | | | | | | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 81 | | 36 | 31 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 80 | | 36 | 32 | - | 8 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 79 | | 35 | 32 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78 | | 35 | 33 | - | 8 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 23 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 77 | | 34 | 33 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 76 | | 34 | 34 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 75 | | 33 | 34 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 74 | | 33 | 35 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 73 | | 32 | 35 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 7 | 72 | | 32 | 36 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 32 | 13 | 71 | | 31 | 36 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 70 | | 31 | 37 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 40 | 31 | 69 | | 30 | 37 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 42 | 68 | | 30 | 38 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 55 | 67 | | 30 | 39 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 64 | 66 | | 29 | 39 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 71 | 65 | | 29 | 40 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 64 | | 28 | 40 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 63 | | 28 | 41 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 89 | 62 | | 27 | 41 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 61 | | 27 | 42 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 60 | | 26 | 42 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 97 | 59 | | 25 | 42 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 58 | | 25 | 43 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 57 | | 25 | 44 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 56 | | 23 | 43 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 0 | -55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
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