Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPI
Lake Erie000-0053.4%3.3%7777777777777778.01Lake Erie Monsters
Toronto000-0053.33.47777777777777778.01Toronto Marlies
Hamilton000-0053.23.37777777777777778.01Hamilton Bulldogs
Utica000-0053.23.36767777777777768.01Utica Comets
Rochester000-0053.13.36776677777777768.01Rochester Americans

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Rochester vs Grand RapidsIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto8.08.18.08.0*8.08.0
Hamilton8.08.08.1*8.0*8.08.0
Utica*53.2*52.952.7*53.052.653.3
Rochester57.757.257.252.352.247.7
4.14.04.13.13.12.4
7.57.67.68.18.18.5
Lake Erie vs AbbotsfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lake Erie57.857.457.252.352.848.1
4.14.04.1*3.23.12.4
7.67.67.68.18.18.5
Hamilton8.08.08.1*8.08.08.0
Rochester8.08.18.08.08.08.0
Saturday
Toronto vs Grand RapidsIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto57.757.557.152.652.648.0
4.14.14.0*3.23.12.4
7.67.67.6*8.18.18.5
Hamilton8.08.08.0*8.18.18.0
Utica8.08.18.0*8.0*8.08.0
Lake Erie vs AbbotsfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lake Erie57.757.457.452.752.848.1
4.14.13.9*3.23.22.4
7.67.67.68.18.18.5
Utica8.0*8.08.1*8.0*8.08.0
Rochester8.08.18.08.0*8.08.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.