How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport vs W-B/Scranton-5.3-0.8-0.6+4.1+3.8+4.4
-1.0-0.2*-0.1+0.7+0.7+0.8
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5
Hartford vs Norfolk+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the W-B/Scranton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
112-152In99.9%100760*
1115217-7In98.81000335*
1105117-8In98.59910533*
1095118-7In97.9991798*
1085018-8In96.598201,167*
1075019-7In94.097301,540*
1064919-8In92.097302,325*
1054920-7In87.195413,168*
1044820-8In83.1936024,524*
1034821-7In76.6908026,013*
1024721-8In69.385120308,018*
1014722-7In58.7791614010,549*
1004622-8In47.8741916013,464*
994623-7In36.66525280016,809*
984523-8In24.9553031210020,828*
974524-7In15.845345151025,887*
964424-8In8.434378192030,559*
954425-7In4.02438112340035,973*
944325-8In1.615351527710042,287*
934326-7In0.593119291120047,932*
924226-8100.0%0.1424222917400054,360*
914227-7100.00.0216242624810060,159*
904127-8100.0No11023202815400065,981*
894128-799.8No05201329239200071,405*
884028-899.2No02167242916510076,070*
873928-996.7No011231529251230078,832*
863929-890.0No0818223021820080,991*
853829-976.7No0503132729175100083,172*
843830-856.3No0301618292613400083,146*
833730-934.9No020029233023920081,613*
823731-817.0No1000313263019710079,338*
813631-97.0No000161730281440076,178*
803632-82.2No00002923322492071,892*
793532-90.6No00014142831185066,686*
783533-80.1No0001721332710161,597*
773433-90.1No0000313293318455,266*
763434-80.0No00017223627749,204*
753334-90.0No000031433361343,491*
743335-80.0No0001927412136,909*
733235-9OutNo000421433131,746*
723236-8OutNo000215424126,591*
713136-9OutNo00110385122,183*
703137-8OutNo0006336017,772*
693037-9OutNo003277014,599*
683038-8OutNo02217711,410*
673039-7OutNo0116838,987*
662939-8OutNo0112876,857*
652839-9OutNo08915,121*
642840-8OutNo07933,840*
632841-7OutNo04962,870*
622741-8OutNo3972,056*
612742-7OutNo02981,414*
602642-8OutNo2981,028*
592643-7OutNo199717*
582543-8OutNo199431*
55-57OutNo100702*
542244-10OutNo19997*
0-53OutNo100280*
Total:53.3%3.3%7777777777777771,708,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Bridgeport vs W-B/Scranton+1.1+0.2+0.1-0.9-0.8-0.9
Hartford vs Norfolk-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Binghamton vs Syracuse-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
Texas vs Chicago*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0
St. John's vs Providence-0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0
Hershey vs Adirondack+0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0*+0.1-0.0
San Antonio vs Rockford*+0.0*+0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Toronto vs Grand Rapids*-0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114-152100
1135316-7991
1125216-8100
1115217-79910
1105117-898110
1095118-79811
1085018-896220
1075019-794330
1064919-892530
1054920-787841
1044820-88396002
1034821-777138002
1024721-869161100300
1014722-759211601400
1004622-848261911600
994623-7372823228000
984523-8253027330110100
974524-716292965014110
964424-8825281080172200
954425-742024141011944000
944325-8214181713220670100
934326-708111916319101012000
924226-804618166151415240000
914227-702214159916195801000
904127-81191112516181013140000
894128-700571321213151858020000
884028-800241207617181115250100
873928-9001210032131217197111300
863929-80170107517161417482000
853829-9005003112818191015620000
843830-80030010531512181915721000
833730-900200020841815201693100
823731-801000003112717211911520000
813631-900000105281722201473100
803632-80000020271521221693100
793532-900010026132023181041000
783533-80000002613212319114100
773433-9000000251221242011410
763434-80000025132226191020
753334-9000000261524261871
743335-80000128182826143
733235-900013112331237
723236-80001617313113
713136-9000311273821
703137-80016213932
693037-9003143943
683038-80293554
673039-70063163
662939-8032472
652839-9021880
642840-811485
632841-70990
622741-80792
612742-70694
602642-8496
592643-7397
582543-8397
572544-7298
55-56100
542244-10199
0-53100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333