How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
St. John's vs Providence*+0.0*-0.2*-0.2*-0.2-0.4+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Binghamton vs Syracuse-5.3-0.7-0.9+4.2+4.2+4.5
-0.9-0.2-0.3+0.8+0.7+0.8
-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5
Hershey vs Adirondack*+0.1-0.4-0.4*-0.2-0.5+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Springfield vs Manchester*+0.0-0.3*-0.2-0.3-0.4+0.1
Bridgeport vs W-B/Scranton+0.1*-0.2-0.4*-0.2-0.3*+0.0
Hartford vs Norfolk+0.1*-0.2*-0.1*-0.2-0.3*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Syracuse finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
116-152In99.9%100667*
1155415-7In98.8991165*
1145416-6InYes100272*
1135316-7In99.51000365*
1125216-8In99.61000669*
1115217-7In98.699101,059*
1105117-8In97.89911,615*
1095118-7In97.899102,332*
1085018-8In96.398103,499*
1075019-7In94.098204,960*
1064919-8In92.597317,175*
1054920-7In87.99450109,823*
1044820-8In83.19260113,559*
1034821-7In76.589802017,937*
1024721-8In68.2851203023,942*
1014722-7In58.5791615031,289*
1004622-8In47.6722016040,149*
994623-7In36.263252900050,667*
984523-8In25.654313110062,568*
974524-7In16.044345151076,137*
964424-8In8.7333881920091,709*
954425-7In4.123381123400107,836*
944325-8In1.5153515277100126,378*
934326-7100.0%0.48301929112000144,603*
924226-8100.00.142322291840000162,667*
914227-7100.00.02162325248100181,176*
904127-8100.00.0110222029154000197,951*
894128-799.8No05201329239200214,075*
884028-899.1No0216723291751000227,968*
874029-796.6No011231529261230000237,944*
863929-889.8No008182230218200245,421*
853829-976.1No0503132729176100249,121*
843830-856.0No03016182927134100249,052*
833730-934.0No01002922312310200245,287*
823731-817.0No010003132630196100238,930*
813631-96.8No00001517302814400228,572*
803632-82.3No0000029233224920215,879*
793532-90.7No0000141428311750200,238*
783533-80.2No000017213326101182,902*
773433-90.0No000003132934183165,501*
763434-80.0No0000172236277147,152*
753334-90.0No0000315343513129,214*
743335-80.0No00019284121112,263*
733235-9OutNo000521443095,012*
723236-8OutNo00215434080,277*
713136-9OutNo000110395065,947*
703137-8OutNo0006336053,622*
693138-7OutNo003286842,886*
683038-8OutNo02227634,321*
673039-7OutNo01178226,771*
662939-8OutNo01138720,195*
652839-9OutNo0099015,369*
642840-8OutNo0079311,502*
632740-9OutNo05958,427*
622741-8OutNo03976,178*
612742-7OutNo02984,433*
602642-8OutNo02983,063*
592542-9OutNo1992,139*
582543-8OutNo1991,399*
572544-7OutNo0100975*
562444-8OutNo0100623*
552445-7OutNo0100410*
0-54OutNo1001,143*
Total:53.2%3.3%6777777777777765,125,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
St. John's vs Providence+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Binghamton vs Syracuse+1.1+0.1+0.2-0.9-0.9-1.0
Hershey vs Adirondack+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Norfolk-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Bridgeport vs W-B/Scranton-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Springfield vs Manchester*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118-152100
1175514-7991
1165414-8100
1155415-79911
1145416-6100
1135316-79900
1125216-810000
1115217-799110
1105117-89811
1095118-798110
1085018-896210
1075019-794420
1064919-892431
1054920-78875010
1044820-88396001
1034821-7761380020
1024721-868171200300
1014722-759201601500
1004622-8482420110600
994623-736272422090000
984523-826292833011000
974524-716282965015110
964424-8924289801822000
954425-7419241411120440000
944325-8113181714121670100
934326-7081119163191011120000
924226-8046171661514162400000
914227-702214159916195801000
904127-801191111515191014140000
894128-70057132111315195802000
884028-8002412077171811152501000
874029-700121003213121719711130000
863929-80001701075171614184820000
853829-90050003111818181115720000
843830-80030010531512171915721000
833730-90010000208418152116931000
823731-8001000003112716221912520000
813631-90000001052816222114731000
803632-8000000202715212216931000
793532-90000010026132123181041000
783533-800000002613202419114100
773433-900000000251221252011410
763434-8000000025132225201030
753334-9000000261524271871
743335-80000028182826143
733235-900013112431237
723236-800001617313113
713136-9000311273722
703137-80016214032
693138-70003153942
683038-8001103553
673039-700163064
662939-80032572
652839-90021979
642840-8011485
632740-911090
622741-80792
612742-70595
602642-800496
592542-9397
582543-8298
572544-70100
562444-8199
552445-7199
542345-80100
0-53100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333