Springfield Falcons Playoff Chances 2013-2014a 50/50Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 53.4% 0 points 0 0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Friday | None | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Kilpatrick Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Springfield vs Manchester | +4.4+4.2+3.8-0.7-0.8-5.3 | | +0.8+0.8+0.8-0.2-0.2-0.9 | | +0.4+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.5 | |
What IfChances based on how well the Springfield finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Kilpatrick | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | -152 | | In | 99.9 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 684 | * | 111 | | 51 | 16 | - | 9 | In | 98.1 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 323 | * | 110 | | 52 | 18 | - | 6 | In | 98.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 529 | * | 109 | | 51 | 18 | - | 7 | In | 97.0 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 812 | * | 108 | | 51 | 19 | - | 6 | In | 95.7 | | 98 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,196 | * | 107 | | 50 | 19 | - | 7 | In | 94.3 | | 98 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,698 | * | 106 | | 49 | 19 | - | 8 | In | 92.7 | | 98 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,362 | * | 105 | | 49 | 20 | - | 7 | In | 86.9 | | 95 | 4 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,322 | * | 104 | | 48 | 20 | - | 8 | In | 83.8 | | 93 | 6 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,523 | * | 103 | | 48 | 21 | - | 7 | In | 77.8 | | 91 | 7 | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 6,117 | * | 102 | | 47 | 21 | - | 8 | In | 68.2 | | 86 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 7,960 | * | 101 | | 47 | 22 | - | 7 | In | 57.8 | | 81 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 10,468 | * | 100 | | 46 | 22 | - | 8 | In | 47.5 | | 74 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 13,272 | * | 99 | | 46 | 23 | - | 7 | In | 36.2 | | 66 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 16,798 | * | 98 | | 45 | 23 | - | 8 | In | 25.7 | | 57 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 21,011 | * | 97 | | 45 | 24 | - | 7 | In | 16.3 | | 47 | 32 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 25,689 | * | 96 | | 44 | 24 | - | 8 | In | 8.5 | | 35 | 36 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 30,605 | * | 95 | | 44 | 25 | - | 7 | In | 4.1 | | 25 | 37 | 11 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 36,362 | * | 94 | | 43 | 25 | - | 8 | In | 1.5 | | 16 | 34 | 15 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 41,861 | * | 93 | | 43 | 26 | - | 7 | In | 0.4 | | 9 | 30 | 19 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 48,612 | * | 92 | | 42 | 26 | - | 8 | In | 0.1 | | 5 | 23 | 22 | 30 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 53,876 | * | 91 | | 42 | 27 | - | 7 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | | 2 | 16 | 23 | 28 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 60,789 | * | 90 | | 41 | 27 | - | 8 | 100.0 | | 0.0 | | 1 | 9 | 22 | 22 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 66,566 | * | 89 | | 41 | 28 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | No | 0 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 71,416 | * | 88 | | 40 | 28 | - | 8 | 99.2 | | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 75,631 | * | 87 | | 40 | 29 | - | 7 | 96.9 | | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 79,498 | * | 86 | | 39 | 29 | - | 8 | 90.4 | | No | | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 81,728 | * | 85 | | 38 | 29 | - | 9 | 77.4 | | No | | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 82,590 | * | 84 | | 38 | 30 | - | 8 | 57.0 | | No | | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 82,675 | * | 83 | | 37 | 30 | - | 9 | 34.6 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 81,692 | * | 82 | | 37 | 31 | - | 8 | 17.1 | | No | | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 80,050 | * | 81 | | 36 | 31 | - | 9 | 6.6 | | No | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 76,424 | * | 80 | | 36 | 32 | - | 8 | 2.1 | | No | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 71,790 | * | 79 | | 35 | 32 | - | 9 | 0.6 | | No | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 66,321 | * | 78 | | 35 | 33 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | No | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 60,983 | * | 77 | | 35 | 34 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | No | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 55,063 | * | 76 | | 34 | 34 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 28 | 7 | 49,410 | * | 75 | | 33 | 34 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 36 | 14 | 42,885 | * | 74 | | 33 | 35 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 41 | 22 | 36,993 | * | 73 | | 32 | 35 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 43 | 32 | 31,423 | * | 72 | | 32 | 36 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 42 | 26,242 | * | 71 | | 31 | 36 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | 21,797 | * | 70 | | 31 | 37 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 61 | 18,164 | * | 69 | | 30 | 37 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 70 | 14,396 | * | 68 | | 30 | 38 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 11,518 | * | 67 | | 29 | 38 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 8,864 | * | 66 | | 29 | 39 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 88 | 6,909 | * | 65 | | 29 | 40 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 5,162 | * | 64 | | 28 | 40 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 3,817 | * | 63 | | 28 | 41 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 2,877 | * | 62 | | 27 | 41 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 1,946 | * | 61 | | 26 | 41 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 1,489 | * | 60 | | 26 | 42 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 1,021 | * | 59 | | 26 | 43 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 687 | * | 58 | | 25 | 43 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 484 | * | 57 | | 25 | 44 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 317 | * | 56 | | 25 | 45 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 227 | * | 54 | -55 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 250 | * | 53 | | 23 | 46 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 60 | * | 0 | -52 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 226 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 53.4 | % | 3.3 | % | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 1,708,460 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | St. John's vs Providence | *+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Springfield vs Manchester | -0.9-0.9-0.8+0.1+0.2+1.1 | | Hartford vs Norfolk | +0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Hershey vs Adirondack | -0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Binghamton vs Syracuse | *-0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0*+0.1*+0.0 | | Texas vs Chicago | *+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0*-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | -152 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 53 | 17 | - | 6 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 51 | 16 | - | 9 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 52 | 18 | - | 6 | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 51 | 18 | - | 7 | 97 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 51 | 19 | - | 6 | 96 | 3 | 1 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 50 | 19 | - | 7 | 94 | 3 | 2 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 49 | 19 | - | 8 | 93 | 5 | 2 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 49 | 20 | - | 7 | 87 | 8 | 4 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 48 | 20 | - | 8 | 84 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 48 | 21 | - | 7 | 78 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 47 | 21 | - | 8 | 68 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 47 | 22 | - | 7 | 58 | 23 | 14 | 0 | 1 | | 4 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 46 | 22 | - | 8 | 48 | 26 | 18 | 1 | 1 | | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 46 | 23 | - | 7 | 36 | 30 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 45 | 23 | - | 8 | 26 | 32 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 45 | 24 | - | 7 | 16 | 30 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 44 | 24 | - | 8 | 9 | 26 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 44 | 25 | - | 7 | 4 | 21 | 23 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 43 | 25 | - | 8 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 43 | 26 | - | 7 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 42 | 26 | - | 8 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | | 42 | 27 | - | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | | 41 | 27 | - | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89 | | 41 | 28 | - | 7 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | | 40 | 28 | - | 8 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | | 40 | 29 | - | 7 | | 0 | | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 86 | | 39 | 29 | - | 8 | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 85 | | 38 | 29 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 84 | | 38 | 30 | - | 8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 83 | | 37 | 30 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 82 | | 37 | 31 | - | 8 | | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 81 | | 36 | 31 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 80 | | 36 | 32 | - | 8 | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 79 | | 35 | 32 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 78 | | 35 | 33 | - | 8 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 77 | | 35 | 34 | - | 7 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 76 | | 34 | 34 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 75 | | 33 | 34 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 74 | | 33 | 35 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 73 | | 32 | 35 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 7 | 72 | | 32 | 36 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 32 | 13 | 71 | | 31 | 36 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 70 | | 31 | 37 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 40 | 31 | 69 | | 30 | 37 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 43 | 68 | | 30 | 38 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 53 | 67 | | 29 | 38 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 64 | 66 | | 29 | 39 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 72 | 65 | | 29 | 40 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 64 | | 28 | 40 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 63 | | 28 | 41 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 10 | 89 | 62 | | 27 | 41 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 61 | | 26 | 41 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 60 | | 26 | 42 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 59 | | 26 | 43 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 58 | | 25 | 43 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 57 | | 25 | 44 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 56 | | 25 | 45 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 54 | -55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 53 | | 23 | 46 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 0 | -52 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
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