Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Rockford IceHogs Playoff Chances 2013-2014a 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 53.3%

0 points 0 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Kilpatrick Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
San Antonio vs Rockford	-5.2-0.8-0.8+3.9+4.2+4.3		-0.9-0.3-0.2+0.6+0.8+0.8		-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Texas vs Chicago					+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Toronto vs Grand Rapids					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rockford finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Kilpatrick		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

113	-152						In		99.8	%	100															503	*
112		52	16		-	8	In		98.1		100	0														216	*
111		52	17		-	7	In		Yes		100															324	*
110		51	17		-	8	In		97.7		99	0		0												568	*
109		51	18		-	7	In		98.0		99	1		0												783	*
108		51	19		-	6	In		96.2		99	1		0												1,202	*
107		50	19		-	7	In		94.5		98	1		0												1,651	*
106		49	19		-	8	In		92.2		97	2		0												2,338	*
105		49	20		-	7	In		88.1		95	4		1												3,256	*
104		48	20		-	8	In		82.0		93	6	0	1	0											4,382	*
103		48	21		-	7	In		75.5		90	8	0	2												6,096	*
102		47	21		-	8	In		68.4		86	11	0	3	0											7,939	*
101		47	22		-	7	In		58.4		80	15	1	4	0											10,262	*
100		46	22		-	8	In		47.8		74	20	1	6	0											13,498	*
99		46	23		-	7	In		36.0		66	25	2	8	0	0										16,901	*
98		45	23		-	8	In		25.3		56	30	3	11	0											20,887	*
97		45	24		-	7	In		16.1		46	34	5	14	1	0										25,173	*
96		44	24		-	8	In		8.7		36	37	8	18	2	0										30,584	*
95		44	25		-	7	In		4.0		25	38	11	22	3	0	0									36,121	*
94		43	25		-	8	In		1.5		16	36	15	27	6	1	0									42,280	*
93		43	26		-	7	100.0	%	0.4		9	31	19	29	10	1	0	0	0							48,169	*
92		42	26		-	8	100.0		0.1		5	24	22	29	17	4	0	0	0							54,565	*
91		42	27		-	7	100.0		0.0		2	16	23	27	23	7	1	0	0	0						60,123	*
90		41	27		-	8	100.0		No		1	10	23	21	28	14	3	0	0							66,272	*
89		41	28		-	7	99.8		No		0	5	20	14	29	22	8	1	0	0						71,406	*
88		40	28		-	8	99.2		No		0	2	15	8	25	29	16	5	1	0	0	0				75,638	*
87		39	28		-	9	96.9		No		0	1	11	3	16	29	25	11	3	0	0	0				79,029	*
86		39	29		-	8	90.4		No			0	7	1	8	23	30	21	8	2	0	0	0			81,780	*
85		38	29		-	9	76.8		No			0	4	0	3	13	27	29	17	5	1	0	0			82,633	*
84		38	30		-	8	56.5		No			0	2	0	1	6	18	29	26	13	3	0	0	0		82,634	*
83		37	30		-	9	34.3		No			0	1	0	0	2	9	22	31	23	10	2	0	0		81,806	*
82		37	31		-	8	17.1		No				1	0	0	0	3	13	26	30	19	6	1	0		79,707	*
81		36	31		-	9	6.8		No				0		0	0	1	5	17	30	28	14	4	0	0	75,599	*
80		36	32		-	8	2.1		No				0		0	0	0	2	9	22	32	24	9	2	0	71,891	*
79		35	32		-	9	0.6		No				0			0	0	0	4	14	28	31	18	5	0	66,523	*
78		35	33		-	8	0.2		No				0			0	0	0	1	7	20	33	27	11	1	61,293	*
77		34	33		-	9	0.1		No				0			0	0	0	0	3	12	29	34	19	4	55,327	*
76		34	34		-	8	0.0		No								0	0	0	1	6	21	36	28	7	49,417	*
75		33	34		-	9	0.0		No									0	0	0	3	14	33	37	13	43,243	*
74		33	35		-	8	Out		No										0	0	1	8	27	42	22	37,323	*
73		32	35		-	9	0.0		No									0		0	1	5	20	43	31	31,696	*
72		32	36		-	8	Out		No											0	0	2	14	42	42	26,666	*
71		31	36		-	9	Out		No												0	1	9	38	53	22,246	*
70		31	37		-	8	Out		No												0	1	5	32	62	17,981	*
69		31	38		-	7	Out		No												0	0	3	27	70	14,430	*
68		30	38		-	8	Out		No													0	2	21	77	11,545	*
67		29	38		-	9	Out		No												0	0	1	16	83	8,933	*
66		29	39		-	8	Out		No														1	11	89	6,842	*
65		28	39		-	9	Out		No														0	8	92	5,228	*
64		28	40		-	8	Out		No														0	6	93	4,003	*
63		28	41		-	7	Out		No														0	5	95	2,825	*
62		27	41		-	8	Out		No															3	97	2,017	*
61		27	42		-	7	Out		No															2	98	1,479	*
60		26	42		-	8	Out		No															1	99	1,023	*
59		26	43		-	7	Out		No															1	99	665	*
58		25	43		-	8	Out		No															0	100	508	*
57		25	44		-	7	Out		No															0	100	297	*
56		25	45		-	6	Out		No														0		100	216	*
0	-55						Out		No																100	518	*

Total:							53.3	%	3.3	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	1,708,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rochester vs Grand Rapids	-0.0+0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Lake Erie vs Abbotsford	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Antonio vs Rockford	+1.1+0.2+0.1-0.8-0.9-0.9
Toronto vs Grand Rapids	-0.1*+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Texas vs Chicago	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0
Bridgeport vs W-B/Scranton	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Lake Erie vs Abbotsford	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Hartford vs Norfolk	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

117	-152						100
116		54	14		-	8	97	3
113	-115						100
112		52	16		-	8	98	1	0
111		52	17		-	7	100
110		51	17		-	8	98	2	0				0
109		51	18		-	7	98	1	1				0
108		51	19		-	6	96	2	1				0
107		50	19		-	7	94	4	1				0
106		49	19		-	8	92	5	2				0
105		49	20		-	7	88	7	4				1
104		48	20		-	8	82	11	6		0		1		0
103		48	21		-	7	76	14	8	0	0		2
102		47	21		-	8	68	17	11	0	0		3		0
101		47	22		-	7	58	22	15	0	1		4	0	0
100		46	22		-	8	48	26	19	1	1		6	0	0
99		46	23		-	7	36	30	23	1	2		7	0	0		0
98		45	23		-	8	25	31	27	3	3	0	10	0	0
97		45	24		-	7	16	30	28	6	5	0	13	1	1		0
96		44	24		-	8	9	27	27	10	8	0	17	2	2	0	0
95		44	25		-	7	4	21	24	14	11	1	18	4	3	0	0		0
94		43	25		-	8	1	15	18	18	14	1	20	7	6	0	1		0
93		43	26		-	7	0	9	11	20	16	3	18	11	10	1	1	0	0		0		0
92		42	26		-	8	0	4	6	18	16	6	14	15	15	2	3	0	0		0		0
91		42	27		-	7	0	2	2	14	15	9	9	17	18	5	7	0	1		0		0	0
90		41	27		-	8		1	1	9	11	11	4	16	18	11	13	1	3	0	0	0	0
89		41	28		-	7		0	0	5	7	12	2	12	13	16	18	5	8	0	1	0	0	0
88		40	28		-	8		0	0	2	4	11	0	7	6	18	18	11	14	2	5	0	1	0	0	0
87		39	28		-	9		0	0	1	2	9	0	3	2	14	12	17	18	7	11	1	3	0	0	0
86		39	29		-	8				0	1	7	0	1	0	8	5	18	16	14	17	4	7	2	0	0	0
85		38	29		-	9				0	0	4		0	0	3	1	12	8	19	18	11	15	6	2	0	0	0
84		38	30		-	8				0	0	2		0	0	1	0	6	2	16	12	18	19	15	7	2	1	0	0	0
83		37	30		-	9				0	0	1		0		0	0	2	0	8	5	18	15	20	17	9	3	1	0	0	0	0
82		37	31		-	8					0	1		0		0	0	0	0	3	1	12	7	16	21	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
81		36	31		-	9					0	0				0		0	0	1	0	5	2	8	16	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
80		36	32		-	8						0				0		0		0	0	2	0	2	7	15	21	22	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
79		35	32		-	9						0						0		0	0	0	0	0	2	6	14	20	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
78		35	33		-	8						0						0		0		0	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
77		34	33		-	9						0						0		0		0		0	0	0	2	5	12	21	24	20	11	4	1	0
76		34	34		-	8														0		0			0	0	0	2	5	13	22	26	20	9	2	0
75		33	34		-	9																0			0	0	0	0	2	6	15	24	27	18	7	1
74		33	35		-	8																					0	0	0	2	8	19	28	26	14	3
73		32	35		-	9																0					0	0	0	1	4	11	24	31	22	7
72		32	36		-	8																							0	0	1	6	17	31	31	13
71		31	36		-	9																							0	0	0	2	11	27	38	22
70		31	37		-	8																								0	0	1	6	21	40	32
69		31	38		-	7																									0	0	3	15	40	42
68		30	38		-	8																									0	0	2	10	36	53
67		29	38		-	9																									0	0	1	6	31	63
66		29	39		-	8																										0	0	3	24	73
65		28	39		-	9																											0	2	18	79
64		28	40		-	8																											0	1	14	85
63		28	41		-	7																											0	0	12	88
62		27	41		-	8																												0	8	92
61		27	42		-	7																												0	5	95
60		26	42		-	8																													2	98
59		26	43		-	7																												0	3	97
58		25	43		-	8																													2	98
57		25	44		-	7																												0	1	98
56		25	45		-	6																												0		100
55		23	44		-	9																													1	99
50	-54																																			100
49		21	48		-	7																													10	90
0	-48																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3