How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lake Erie vs Abbotsford+4.4+4.1+3.9-1.1-0.5-5.3
+0.8+0.6+0.7*-0.2-0.2-0.9
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.5
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte*+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lake Erie vs Abbotsford+4.3+4.1+4.0-0.6-0.6-5.3
+0.8+0.7+0.6*-0.2-0.2-0.9
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lake Erie finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
112-152In99.3%100687*
1115116-9In98.41000315*
1105117-8In99.19910529*
1095118-7In98.310000806*
1085018-8In97.099101,239*
1075019-7In93.998201,611*
1064919-8In91.897202,331*
1054920-7In88.196313,262*
1044820-8In83.8945014,475*
1034821-7In76.19080205,886*
1024721-8In68.786110307,991*
1014722-7In58.9811404010,421*
1004622-8In48.0741816013,385*
994623-7In36.4662419016,740*
984523-8In26.15728312021,054*
974524-7In16.246334151025,401*
964424-8In8.635377192030,863*
954425-7In4.02538102440035,886*
944325-8In1.51636142770041,841*
934326-7100.0%0.4931183011200047,792*
924226-8100.00.14242129174000054,336*
914227-7100.00.0217222624810060,771*
904127-8100.00.011022202814300066,322*
894128-799.8No05201429238200071,379*
884028-899.2No02167242916510075,486*
874029-796.8No11231629251130079,229*
863929-890.4No008182230218200081,777*
853829-977.0No050313272917510083,090*
843830-856.9No030161829261341083,076*
833730-935.1No02002923302310200082,307*
823731-817.1No1000313263019610079,594*
813631-96.9No0000151730281440075,995*
803632-82.2No00002922322492071,358*
793532-90.6No000004142831185066,010*
783533-80.2No00001720332711161,091*
773433-90.1No00000312283419456,033*
763434-80.0No0000016213628848,826*
753334-90.0No0000031433361443,510*
743335-8OutNo001827422237,442*
733235-90.0No0000420433231,747*
723236-8OutNo000214414226,552*
713136-9OutNo0019375322,062*
703137-8OutNo0005326217,723*
693138-7OutNo003267114,279*
683038-8OutNo02207811,554*
672938-9OutNo0115848,899*
662939-8OutNo012886,816*
652839-9OutNo08925,100*
642840-8OutNo06943,961*
632841-7OutNo4962,736*
622741-8OutNo03972,172*
612641-9OutNo02981,526*
602642-8OutNo1991,025*
592643-7OutNo199672*
582543-8OutNo199441*
0-57OutNo1001,048*
Total:53.4%3.3%7777777777777771,708,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Lake Erie vs Abbotsford-0.9-0.8-0.8+0.2+0.1+1.1
Rochester vs Grand Rapids+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Lake Erie vs Abbotsford-0.9-0.9-0.8+0.1+0.1+1.1
Toronto vs Grand Rapids+0.0+0.1*+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Texas vs Chicago*+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-152100
1195613-78813
1185614-6100
1175514-7964
1165515-6100
1155415-7982
113-114100
1125216-8991
1115116-99810
1105117-899010
1095118-798100
1085018-897210
1075019-794420
1064919-892620
1054920-788831
1044820-884105001
1034821-77614800200
1024721-86918110030
1014722-75922140040
1004622-848261811600
994623-736292221900
984523-82631253301100
974524-716302764014110
964424-8927271070172200
954425-74212315912044000
944325-8114181812221660000
934326-7091120153191110120000
924226-8046181561514152400000
914227-7022151391017195701000
904127-80111011125161810131300000
894128-700571321213161858020000
884028-800241207717181114250100
874029-701210032141217196101300
863929-800180107517161417482000
853829-900500311291918101562000
843830-8003001053151218191472100
833730-9002000208518152016941000
823731-801000003112716221911520000
813631-900000105281622211472100
803632-80000020271521221693100
793532-900000002614212318104100
783533-800000002512202419114100
773433-90000000251321242011410
763434-8000000015132226201030
753334-9000000261524271871
743335-8000028182826143
733235-9000014112431237
723236-80001617313113
713136-900310273722
703137-80016214032
693138-70003154042
683038-80001103554
672938-90062964
662939-8032571
652839-9022078
642840-8011584
632841-71990
622741-80892
612641-90694
602642-80496
592643-7496
582543-8298
572443-9199
562444-8199
552445-7199
0-54100
Total:333434333333333333333333333333