Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Providence000-0053.4%3.3%7767777777777778.01.500Providence Bruins
Manchester000-0053.43.37777777777777778.01.500Manchester Monarchs
Worcester000-0053.33.37777777777777778.01.500Worcester Sharks
Portland000-0053.33.37777777777777778.01.500Portland Pirates
St. John's000-0053.33.37767777777777778.01.500St. John's IceCaps

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
St. John's vs ProvidenceIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Providence48.252.452.857.457.357.8
2.43.13.14.04.14.1
8.58.18.17.67.67.5
Portland*53.452.853.0*53.2*53.2*53.4
St. John's57.657.457.252.452.347.9
4.14.14.13.13.22.4
7.67.67.68.18.18.6
Saturday
St. John's vs ProvidenceIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Providence48.252.752.557.357.457.8
2.43.13.14.14.14.1
8.68.18.17.67.67.5
Portland53.452.953.053.0*53.2*53.4
St. John's57.657.157.252.452.347.9
4.14.04.03.23.12.4
7.57.67.68.18.18.6
Springfield vs ManchesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manchester48.152.752.757.557.557.8
2.43.13.24.14.04.1
8.58.18.17.67.67.5
Portland53.452.953.153.0*53.1*53.4
St. John's53.453.053.053.052.9*53.3
Bridgeport vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Providence*53.452.953.1*53.253.053.5
Manchester*53.4*53.253.052.9*53.2*53.4
Worcester*53.453.053.1*53.153.053.5
Portland53.5*53.353.0*53.1*53.2*53.3
St. John's*53.4*53.2*53.052.952.8*53.4
Hartford vs NorfolkHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Worcester*53.4*53.153.053.0*53.3*53.4
Portland*53.453.052.953.0*53.153.4
St. John's*53.453.053.0*53.152.853.4
Hershey vs AdirondackHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manchester*53.453.1*53.253.1*53.153.5
Worcester53.4*53.253.153.0*53.1*53.4
Binghamton vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Providence53.553.0*53.253.053.1*53.4
Worcester*53.4*53.153.153.053.0*53.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.