Adirondack Phantoms Playoff Chances 2013-2014a 50/50Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 53.4% 0 points 0 0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Friday | None | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Kilpatrick Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Hershey vs Adirondack | -5.3-1.2-0.7+4.2+4.2+4.4 | | -0.9-0.2*-0.1+0.6+0.8+0.8 | | -0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Adirondack finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Kilpatrick | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | -152 | | In | 99.9 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 721 | * | 111 | | 52 | 17 | - | 7 | In | 99.4 | | 100 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 331 | * | 110 | | 51 | 17 | - | 8 | In | 98.7 | | 99 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 552 | * | 109 | | 51 | 18 | - | 7 | In | 96.9 | | 99 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 815 | * | 108 | | 50 | 18 | - | 8 | In | 96.5 | | 99 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,136 | * | 107 | | 50 | 19 | - | 7 | In | 95.7 | | 99 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,635 | * | 106 | | 49 | 19 | - | 8 | In | 92.8 | | 97 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,397 | * | 105 | | 49 | 20 | - | 7 | In | 88.9 | | 96 | 3 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,368 | * | 104 | | 48 | 20 | - | 8 | In | 82.6 | | 92 | 6 | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,612 | * | 103 | | 48 | 21 | - | 7 | In | 75.3 | | 89 | 9 | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 6,065 | * | 102 | | 47 | 21 | - | 8 | In | 68.6 | | 86 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 8,120 | * | 101 | | 47 | 22 | - | 7 | In | 58.4 | | 81 | 15 | 1 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 10,447 | * | 100 | | 46 | 22 | - | 8 | In | 48.0 | | 73 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 13,415 | * | 99 | | 46 | 23 | - | 7 | In | 36.7 | | 66 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 16,829 | * | 98 | | 45 | 23 | - | 8 | In | 25.7 | | 56 | 29 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 20,784 | * | 97 | | 45 | 24 | - | 7 | In | 16.0 | | 45 | 34 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 25,248 | * | 96 | | 44 | 24 | - | 8 | In | 9.0 | | 35 | 36 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 30,425 | * | 95 | | 44 | 25 | - | 7 | In | 4.1 | | 25 | 37 | 11 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 35,913 | * | 94 | | 43 | 25 | - | 8 | In | 1.5 | | 16 | 35 | 15 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 42,087 | * | 93 | | 43 | 26 | - | 7 | In | 0.5 | | 9 | 30 | 19 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 48,191 | * | 92 | | 42 | 26 | - | 8 | In | 0.1 | | 4 | 23 | 22 | 30 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 54,592 | * | 91 | | 42 | 27 | - | 7 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | | 2 | 15 | 23 | 27 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 60,524 | * | 90 | | 41 | 27 | - | 8 | 100.0 | | 0.0 | | 1 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 66,245 | * | 89 | | 40 | 27 | - | 9 | 99.8 | | No | 0 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 71,062 | * | 88 | | 40 | 28 | - | 8 | 99.2 | | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 75,755 | * | 87 | | 39 | 28 | - | 9 | 96.9 | | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 79,671 | * | 86 | | 39 | 29 | - | 8 | 90.3 | | No | | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 81,694 | * | 85 | | 38 | 29 | - | 9 | 77.1 | | No | | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 82,875 | * | 84 | | 38 | 30 | - | 8 | 57.1 | | No | | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 82,700 | * | 83 | | 37 | 30 | - | 9 | 34.8 | | No | | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 81,627 | * | 82 | | 37 | 31 | - | 8 | 17.3 | | No | | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 79,612 | * | 81 | | 36 | 31 | - | 9 | 6.7 | | No | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75,623 | * | 80 | | 36 | 32 | - | 8 | 2.4 | | No | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 71,939 | * | 79 | | 35 | 32 | - | 9 | 0.7 | | No | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 66,734 | * | 78 | | 35 | 33 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | No | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 61,050 | * | 77 | | 34 | 33 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | No | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 55,205 | * | 76 | | 34 | 34 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | No | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 7 | 49,054 | * | 75 | | 33 | 34 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 36 | 14 | 43,270 | * | 74 | | 33 | 35 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 41 | 22 | 37,462 | * | 73 | | 32 | 35 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 31 | 31,612 | * | 72 | | 32 | 36 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 41 | 26,717 | * | 71 | | 31 | 36 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | 21,961 | * | 70 | | 31 | 37 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 61 | 17,881 | * | 69 | | 30 | 37 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 14,541 | * | 68 | | 30 | 38 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 11,459 | * | 67 | | 29 | 38 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 8,798 | * | 66 | | 29 | 39 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 88 | 6,844 | * | 65 | | 28 | 39 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 5,174 | * | 64 | | 28 | 40 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 3,895 | * | 63 | | 28 | 41 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 2,919 | * | 62 | | 27 | 41 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 2,017 | * | 61 | | 26 | 41 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 1,455 | * | 60 | | 26 | 42 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 1,072 | * | 59 | | 25 | 42 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 744 | * | 58 | | 25 | 43 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 494 | * | 57 | | 25 | 44 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 323 | * | 56 | | 24 | 44 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 221 | * | 55 | | 24 | 45 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 143 | * | 54 | | 24 | 46 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 84 | * | 0 | -53 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 321 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 53.4 | % | 3.4 | % | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 1,708,460 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | St. John's vs Providence | *-0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.0*+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Hershey vs Adirondack | +1.1+0.2+0.1-0.9-0.9-0.9 | | Springfield vs Manchester | +0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | Hartford vs Norfolk | +0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0 | | Bridgeport vs W-B/Scranton | +0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | -152 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 54 | 15 | - | 7 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | -114 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 52 | 17 | - | 7 | 99 | 0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 51 | 17 | - | 8 | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 51 | 18 | - | 7 | 97 | 2 | 1 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 50 | 18 | - | 8 | 96 | 3 | 1 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 50 | 19 | - | 7 | 96 | 3 | 1 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 49 | 19 | - | 8 | 93 | 4 | 2 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 49 | 20 | - | 7 | 89 | 7 | 3 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 48 | 20 | - | 8 | 83 | 10 | 6 | | 0 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 48 | 21 | - | 7 | 75 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 47 | 21 | - | 8 | 69 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 47 | 22 | - | 7 | 58 | 22 | 14 | 0 | 1 | | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 46 | 22 | - | 8 | 48 | 25 | 19 | 1 | 1 | | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 46 | 23 | - | 7 | 37 | 29 | 22 | 2 | 2 | | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 45 | 23 | - | 8 | 26 | 31 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 45 | 24 | - | 7 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 44 | 24 | - | 8 | 9 | 26 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 44 | 25 | - | 7 | 4 | 21 | 23 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 43 | 25 | - | 8 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 43 | 26 | - | 7 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 42 | 26 | - | 8 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | | 42 | 27 | - | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | | 41 | 27 | - | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89 | | 40 | 27 | - | 9 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | | 40 | 28 | - | 8 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | | 39 | 28 | - | 9 | | 0 | | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 86 | | 39 | 29 | - | 8 | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 85 | | 38 | 29 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 84 | | 38 | 30 | - | 8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 83 | | 37 | 30 | - | 9 | | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 82 | | 37 | 31 | - | 8 | | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 81 | | 36 | 31 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 80 | | 36 | 32 | - | 8 | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 79 | | 35 | 32 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 78 | | 35 | 33 | - | 8 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 77 | | 34 | 33 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 76 | | 34 | 34 | - | 8 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 75 | | 33 | 34 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 74 | | 33 | 35 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 73 | | 32 | 35 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 7 | 72 | | 32 | 36 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 31 | 13 | 71 | | 31 | 36 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 70 | | 31 | 37 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 41 | 31 | 69 | | 30 | 37 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 43 | 68 | | 30 | 38 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 53 | 67 | | 29 | 38 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 64 | 66 | | 29 | 39 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | 65 | | 28 | 39 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 64 | | 28 | 40 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 63 | | 28 | 41 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 89 | 62 | | 27 | 41 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 61 | | 26 | 41 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 60 | | 26 | 42 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 59 | | 25 | 42 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 58 | | 25 | 43 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 57 | | 25 | 44 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 56 | | 24 | 44 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 55 | | 24 | 45 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 54 | | 24 | 46 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 0 | -53 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
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