How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey vs Adirondack-5.2-0.5-0.9+3.9+4.1+4.5
-0.9-0.2-0.2+0.7+0.7+0.8
-0.5-0.0-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Springfield vs Manchester*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3*-0.3+0.1
Bridgeport vs W-B/Scranton*+0.0-0.3-0.3*-0.2*-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Adirondack finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
114-152In99.8%1001,100*
1135316-7In99.31000430*
1125317-6In98.81000665*
1115217-7In98.410001,018*
1105117-8In98.710001,525*
1095118-7In97.299102,366*
1085018-8In96.298103,503*
1075019-7In94.098205,067*
1064919-8In92.397207,048*
1054920-7In87.8954019,864*
1044820-8In82.99360113,550*
1034821-7In76.290802018,133*
1024721-8In68.5861103023,839*
1014722-7In58.3811414031,410*
1004622-8In47.5741916039,875*
994623-7In36.5662428050,579*
984523-8In25.456293120062,684*
974524-7In15.846335151076,010*
964424-8In8.9343681920092,058*
954425-7In4.125371124300108,679*
944325-8In1.616351527610126,547*
934326-7In0.5930193011100144,377*
924226-8100.0%0.14232230173000163,179*
914227-7100.00.021623272381000180,770*
904127-8100.00.019232129143000197,880*
894128-799.8No052014292282000212,607*
884028-899.2No021682429165100227,464*
874029-796.9No01113162925113000237,416*
863929-890.5No08182330218200245,141*
853829-977.1No0503132729175100248,639*
843830-856.6No03016182926133000248,920*
833730-934.8No01002922302392000246,471*
823731-817.3No10003132630196100237,607*
813631-96.9No00001617302814400227,897*
803632-82.2No0000029233224920215,766*
793532-90.6No0000141428311850200,009*
783533-80.2No000017203327101184,185*
773433-90.1No000003122934184166,393*
763434-80.0No0000162136288148,136*
753334-90.0No00000314333514128,625*
743335-80.0No00018284121111,876*
733235-9OutNo000421443194,901*
723236-8OutNo000215424280,107*
713136-9OutNo00019385265,870*
703137-8OutNo0006336154,195*
693138-7OutNo003267143,424*
683038-8OutNo002217734,343*
672938-9OutNo01168326,692*
662939-8OutNo01128820,692*
652940-7OutNo0089115,406*
642840-8OutNo0069311,567*
632740-9OutNo04968,495*
622741-8OutNo03976,243*
612742-7OutNo02984,323*
602642-8OutNo1993,095*
592542-9OutNo1992,128*
582543-8OutNo1991,480*
572443-9OutNo0100992*
562444-8OutNo0100637*
0-55OutNo1001,482*
Total:53.3%3.3%7777777777777775,125,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Hershey vs Adirondack+1.1+0.1+0.2-0.8-0.9-0.9
Bridgeport vs W-B/Scranton+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Springfield vs Manchester+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Hartford vs Norfolk+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
St. John's vs Providence*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
117-152100
1165515-6991
1155415-7100
1145315-81000
1135316-79900
1125317-69910
1115217-79810
1105117-89910
1095118-797210
1085018-896210
1075019-794420
1064919-892520
1054920-7888401
1044820-8831060010
1034821-7761480020
1024721-869171100300
1014722-758221401400
1004622-848261811600
994623-7362923220800
984523-8253126330110000
974524-716302865014110
964424-89262710801722000
954425-742123141112043000
944325-8214181714120760100
934326-709111916319111011000
924226-804617176151515230000
914227-7022131599181857010000
904127-8011811115161811131300000
894128-700471221313161858020000
884028-800241207618181114250100
874029-70012100321412171871013000
863929-80170108518161417472000
853829-90040003112819181114620000
843830-80030010631512181915721000
833730-9001000209518152016941000
823731-80100000311271622191252000
813631-90000001052816222114731000
803632-8000000202715212217931000
793532-90000010026132023181041000
783533-800000002512202419114100
773433-900000000251221242011410
763434-80000002513222520930
753334-90000000261525261871
743335-8000128182826143
733235-900014112431237
723236-80001617313113
713136-9000311273821
703137-80016214032
693138-70003153943
683038-80001103553
672938-900163063
662939-80032572
652940-70021979
642840-8011584
632740-9001090
622741-80793
612742-70694
602642-80397
592542-90298
582543-8298
572443-9199
562444-8199
552445-70100
542446-60100
0-53100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333